US stock / ETF

Nebius Group N.V.

NBIS · NASDAQ · USD

1 weekBearish75%
Weekly Downside probability 75%Bearish

NBIS 1W chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Weekly: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $186.31 and stabilize above resistance $299.86.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $299.86 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

Weekly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 38.0, MACD -14.810

Weekly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $40.06 (31.14%)

Weekly

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$166.27Bearish
EMA 21$186.31Bearish
EMA 50$166.08Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 38.0 · MACD -14.810

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $40.06 · BB 75.66%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 43.3 · OBV -51.15%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$89.65 - $299.86

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+164.24% · 5.3 ATR above latest close

$339.92
Nearest resistance

+133.1% · 4.3 ATR above · 34-bar high

$299.86
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$128.64
Nearest support

-30.31% · 1.0 ATR below · 34-bar low

$89.65
Deeper support zone

-61.45% · 2.0 ATR below latest close

$49.59
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$88.58 - $168.7

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $255.1, invalidation $194.8

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

11.8 / 17.8 / 27.1Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$38.4Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$195.39 / $186.69Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

9%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$40.06 (31.14%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 75.66%

3%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$255.11 / $117.28Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$88.58 / $168.7Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$299.86Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$89.65Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

38.0Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-14.810Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

9.3 / 8.4Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-90.7Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-154.3Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 6Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

43.3Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-51.15%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.91xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $255.1, invalidation $194.8

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

11.8 / 17.8 / 27.1Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$38.4Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$195.39 / $186.69Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

9%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

38.0Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-14.810Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

9.3 / 8.4Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-90.7Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-154.3Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 6Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$40.06 (31.14%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 75.66%

3%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$255.11 / $117.28Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$88.58 / $168.7Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

43.3Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-51.15%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.91xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$299.86Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$89.65Range

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