US stock / ETF

Nebius Group N.V.

NBIS · NASDAQ · USD

1 weekBearish70%
Weekly Downside probability 70%Bearish

NBIS 1W chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Weekly: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $202.75 and stabilize above resistance $299.86.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $299.86 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

Weekly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 42.7, MACD -10.095

Weekly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $43.19 (27.21%)

Weekly

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$201.03Bearish
EMA 21$202.75Bearish
EMA 50$169.78Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 42.7 · MACD -10.095

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $43.19 · BB 59.20%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 46.2 · OBV -21.17%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$83.53 - $299.86

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+116.11% · 4.3 ATR above latest close

$343.05
Nearest resistance

+88.9% · 3.3 ATR above · 34-bar high

$299.86
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$158.74
Nearest support

-47.38% · 1.7 ATR below · 34-bar low

$83.53
Deeper support zone

-74.59% · 2.7 ATR below latest close

$40.34
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$115.55 - $201.93

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $255.1, invalidation $194.8

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

12.7 / 20.3 / 24.7Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$63.9Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$210.85 / $186.69Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

8%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$43.19 (27.21%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 59.20%

5%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$272.5 / $134.64Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$115.55 / $201.93Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$299.86Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$83.53Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

42.7Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-10.095Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

9.7 / 27.1Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-90.3Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-167.0Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 3Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

46.2Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-21.17%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.09xRange

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $255.1, invalidation $194.8

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

12.7 / 20.3 / 24.7Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$63.9Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$210.85 / $186.69Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

8%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

42.7Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-10.095Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

9.7 / 27.1Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-90.3Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-167.0Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 3Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$43.19 (27.21%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 59.20%

5%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$272.5 / $134.64Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$115.55 / $201.93Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

46.2Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-21.17%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.09xRange

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$299.86Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$83.53Range

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