US stock / ETF

Marsh

MRSH · NYSE · USD

4 hoursBearish89%
4h Downside probability 89%Bearish

MRSH 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $178.32 and stabilize above resistance $191.22.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $191.22 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 32.1, MACD -0.089

4h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $1.56 (0.89%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$176.14Bearish
EMA 21$178.32Bearish
EMA 50$182.03Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 32.1 · MACD -0.089

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $1.56 · BB 4.28%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 55.2 · OBV -5.34%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$173.26 - $191.22

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+10.43% · 11.7 ATR above latest close

$192.78
Nearest resistance

+9.53% · 10.7 ATR above · 34-bar high

$191.22
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$174.58
Nearest support

-0.76% · 0.8 ATR below · 34-bar low

$173.26
Deeper support zone

-1.65% · 1.8 ATR below latest close

$171.7
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$173.02 - $176.14

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $181.4, invalidation $173.26

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

25.0 / 22.7 / 42.7Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$170.15Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$178.42 / $184.2Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

16%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$1.56 (0.89%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 4.28%

12%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$181.11 / $175.21Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$173.02 / $176.14Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$191.22Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$173.26Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

32.1Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.089Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

16.2 / 14.0Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-83.8Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-135.1Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 7Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

55.2Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-5.34%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.49xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $181.4, invalidation $173.26

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

25.0 / 22.7 / 42.7Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$170.15Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$178.42 / $184.2Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

16%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

32.1Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.089Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

16.2 / 14.0Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-83.8Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-135.1Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 7Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$1.56 (0.89%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 4.28%

12%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$181.11 / $175.21Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$173.02 / $176.14Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

55.2Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-5.34%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.49xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$191.22Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$173.26Range

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