US stock / ETF

Marsh

MRSH · NYSE · USD

1 monthBearish91%
Monthly Downside probability 91%Bearish

MRSH 1M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Monthly: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $188.89 and stabilize above resistance $248.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $248 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

Monthly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 43.7, MACD -2.024

Monthly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $17.57 (10.06%)

Monthly

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$180.18Bearish
EMA 21$188.89Bearish
EMA 50$183.8Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 43.7 · MACD -2.024

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $17.57 · BB 49.50%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 33.3 · OBV -18.03%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$156.6 - $248

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+52.12% · 5.2 ATR above latest close

$265.57
Nearest resistance

+42.06% · 4.2 ATR above · 34-bar high

$248
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$174.58
Nearest support

-10.3% · 1.0 ATR below · 34-bar low

$156.6
Deeper support zone

-20.36% · 2.0 ATR below latest close

$139.03
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$157.01 - $192.15

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $198.49, invalidation $156.6

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

49.9 / 12.9 / 24.4Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$130.53Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$189.92 / $195.67Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

20%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$17.57 (10.06%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 49.50%

28%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$223.15 / $153.82Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$157.01 / $192.15Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$248Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$156.6Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

43.7Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-2.024Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

31.4 / 42.6Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-68.6Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-53.7Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 3Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

33.3Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-18.03%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.48xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $198.49, invalidation $156.6

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

49.9 / 12.9 / 24.4Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$130.53Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$189.92 / $195.67Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

20%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

43.7Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-2.024Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

31.4 / 42.6Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-68.6Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-53.7Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 3Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$17.57 (10.06%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 49.50%

28%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$223.15 / $153.82Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$157.01 / $192.15Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

33.3Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-18.03%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.48xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$248Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$156.6Range

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