US stock / ETF

Marsh

MRSH · NYSE · USD

1 monthBearish92%
Monthly Downside probability 92%Bearish

MRSH 1M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Monthly: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $190.48 and stabilize above resistance $247.99.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $247.99 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

Monthly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 39.9, MACD -5.968

Monthly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $16.81 (9.96%)

Monthly

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$176.62Bearish
EMA 21$190.48Bearish
EMA 50$183.49Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 39.9 · MACD -5.968

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $16.81 · BB 50.07%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 25.3 · OBV -54.50%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$156.68 - $247.99

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+56.8% · 5.7 ATR above latest close

$264.8
Nearest resistance

+46.84% · 4.7 ATR above · 34-bar high

$247.99
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$168.88
Nearest support

-7.23% · 0.7 ATR below · 34-bar low

$156.68
Deeper support zone

-17.18% · 1.7 ATR below latest close

$139.86
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$152.07 - $185.69

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $174.26, invalidation $193.27

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

45.8 / 1.3 / 29.3Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$115.11Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$192.29 / $195.66Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

13%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$16.81 (9.96%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 50.07%

18%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$222.22 / $157.87Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$152.07 / $185.69Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$247.99Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$156.68Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

39.9Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-5.968Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

15.5 / 7.0Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-84.5Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-113.1Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 4Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

25.3Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-54.50%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.23xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $174.26, invalidation $193.27

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

45.8 / 1.3 / 29.3Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$115.11Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$192.29 / $195.66Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

13%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

39.9Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-5.968Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

15.5 / 7.0Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-84.5Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-113.1Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 4Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$16.81 (9.96%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 50.07%

18%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$222.22 / $157.87Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$152.07 / $185.69Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

25.3Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-54.50%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.23xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$247.99Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$156.68Range

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