US stock / ETF

Marsh

MRSH · NYSE · USD

1 monthBearish65%
Monthly Downside probability 65%Bearish

MRSH 1M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Monthly: price is above EMA21, short trend is constructive

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $190.39 and stabilize above resistance $248.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $248 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is above EMA21

Monthly
Momentum StateRange
Momentum mixed

RSI 50.1, MACD -2.153

Monthly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $17.44 (9.1%)

Monthly

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$181.93Bullish
EMA 21$190.39Bullish
EMA 50$184.2Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 50.1 · MACD -2.153

Neutral zone

Strength
Range
Volatility
ATR $17.44 · BB 48.79%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 29.4 · OBV -12.91%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$156.6 - $248

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+38.5% · 4.2 ATR above latest close

$265.44
Nearest resistance

+29.4% · 3.2 ATR above · 34-bar high

$248
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$191.65
Nearest support

-18.29% · 2.0 ATR below · 34-bar low

$156.6
Deeper support zone

-27.39% · 3.0 ATR below latest close

$139.16
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$174.21 - $209.09

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $156.6, invalidation $193.32

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

48.3 / 13.0 / 25.8Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$143.24Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$189.92 / $195.67Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

38%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$17.44 (9.1%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 48.79%

44%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$222.31 / $157.72Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$174.21 / $209.09Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$248Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$156.6Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

50.1Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-2.153Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

55.5 / 36.7Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-44.5Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-19.6Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 2Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

29.4Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-12.91%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.17xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $156.6, invalidation $193.32

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

48.3 / 13.0 / 25.8Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$143.24Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$189.92 / $195.67Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

38%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

50.1Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-2.153Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

55.5 / 36.7Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-44.5Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-19.6Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 2Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$17.44 (9.1%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 48.79%

44%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$222.31 / $157.72Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$174.21 / $209.09Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

29.4Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-12.91%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.17xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$248Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$156.6Range

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