US stock / ETF

Marsh

MRSH · NYSE · USD

1 monthBearish84%
Monthly Downside probability 84%Bearish

MRSH 1M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

Monthly: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $189.58 and stabilize above resistance $248.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $248 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

Monthly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 46.3, MACD -4.374

Monthly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $17.72 (9.72%)

Monthly

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$177.48Bullish
EMA 21$189.58Bearish
EMA 50$183.6Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 46.3 · MACD -4.374

Neutral zone

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $17.72 · BB 49.34%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 24.2 · OBV -12.56%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$156.6 - $248

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+45.85% · 4.7 ATR above latest close

$265.72
Nearest resistance

+36.13% · 3.7 ATR above · 34-bar high

$248
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$182.18
Nearest support

-14.04% · 1.4 ATR below · 34-bar low

$156.6
Deeper support zone

-23.77% · 2.4 ATR below latest close

$138.88
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$164.46 - $199.9

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $174.18, invalidation $193.32

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

48.3 / 7.8 / 27.9Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$124.09Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$188.63 / $195.67Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

28%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$17.72 (9.72%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 49.34%

33%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$224.13 / $154.13Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$164.46 / $199.9Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$248Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$156.6Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

46.3Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-4.374Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

32.3 / 15.8Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-67.7Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-63.6Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 1Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

24.2Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-12.56%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.46xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $174.18, invalidation $193.32

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

48.3 / 7.8 / 27.9Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$124.09Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$188.63 / $195.67Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

28%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

46.3Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-4.374Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

32.3 / 15.8Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-67.7Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-63.6Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 1Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$17.72 (9.72%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 49.34%

33%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$224.13 / $154.13Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$164.46 / $199.9Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

24.2Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-12.56%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.46xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$248Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$156.6Range

Related Forecasts