US stock / ETF

Marsh

MRSH · NYSE · USD

1 monthBearish91%
Monthly Downside probability 91%Bearish

MRSH 1M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Monthly: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $187.19 and stabilize above resistance $248.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $248 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

Monthly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 43.8, MACD -1.964

Monthly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $17.28 (9.95%)

Monthly

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$178.06Bearish
EMA 21$187.19Bearish
EMA 50$183.26Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 43.8 · MACD -1.964

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $17.28 · BB 47.36%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 34.1 · OBV -24.19%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$156.6 - $248

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+52.76% · 5.3 ATR above latest close

$265.28
Nearest resistance

+42.81% · 4.3 ATR above · 34-bar high

$248
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$173.66
Nearest support

-9.82% · 1.0 ATR below · 34-bar low

$156.6
Deeper support zone

-19.77% · 2.0 ATR below latest close

$139.32
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$156.38 - $190.94

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $198.49, invalidation $156.6

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

51.4 / 13.1 / 26.7Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$116.8Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$189.92 / $197.41Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

19%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$17.28 (9.95%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 47.36%

30%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$222.35 / $151.13Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$156.38 / $190.94Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$248Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$156.6Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

43.8Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-1.964Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

33.3 / 37.5Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-66.7Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-77.1Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 4Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

34.1Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-24.19%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.21xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $198.49, invalidation $156.6

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

51.4 / 13.1 / 26.7Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$116.8Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$189.92 / $197.41Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

19%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

43.8Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-1.964Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

33.3 / 37.5Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-66.7Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-77.1Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 4Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$17.28 (9.95%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 47.36%

30%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$222.35 / $151.13Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$156.38 / $190.94Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

34.1Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-24.19%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.21xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$248Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$156.6Range

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