US stock / ETF

Merck & Co., Inc.

MRK · NYSE · USD

3 monthsBullish75%
3M Upside probability 75%Bullish

MRK 3M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

3M: price is above EMA21, short trend is constructive

Confirmation Trigger

Hold above $15.32 and reclaim $156.92.

Invalidation Trigger

Lose $15.32 and MACD turns lower again.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is above EMA21

3M
Momentum StateBullish
Momentum improving

RSI 66.1, MACD --

3M
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $19.23 (13.27%)

3M

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$116.65Bullish
EMA 21$102.8Bullish
EMA 50--Range

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 66.1 · MACD --

Momentum is strong

Strength
Bullish
Volatility
ATR $19.23 · BB 70.97%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 57.5 · OBV 212.13%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bullish
Price Levels
$15.32 - $156.92

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bullish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+21.56% · 1.6 ATR above latest close

$176.15
Nearest resistance

+8.29% · 0.6 ATR above · 29-bar high

$156.92
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$144.91
Nearest support

-89.43% · 6.7 ATR below · 29-bar low

$15.32
Deeper support zone

-102.7% · 7.7 ATR below latest close

-$3.91
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$125.68 - $164.14

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $134.63, invalidation $73.31

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

15.0 / 36.6 / 20.1Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$76.06Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$100.62 / --Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

86%Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$19.23 (13.27%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 70.97%

103%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$145.3 / $61.99Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$125.68 / $164.14Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$156.92Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$15.32Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

66.1Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

--Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

85.6 / 84.1Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Overbought zone

-14.4Bearish
CCI (20)

Strong expansion

172.6Bullish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 4Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

57.5Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

212.13%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.61xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $134.63, invalidation $73.31

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

15.0 / 36.6 / 20.1Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$76.06Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$100.62 / --Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

86%Bullish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

66.1Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

--Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

85.6 / 84.1Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Overbought zone

-14.4Bearish
CCI (20)

Strong expansion

172.6Bullish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 4Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$19.23 (13.27%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 70.97%

103%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$145.3 / $61.99Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$125.68 / $164.14Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

57.5Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

212.13%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.61xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$156.92Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$15.32Range

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