US stock / ETF

Merck & Co., Inc.

MRK · NYSE · USD

1 monthBullish90%
Monthly Upside probability 90%Bullish

MRK 1M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

Monthly: EMA8/21/50 are in bullish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Hold above $73.31 and reclaim $156.92.

Invalidation Trigger

Lose $73.31 and MACD turns lower again.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBullish
Constructive Trend

Price is above EMA21

Monthly
Momentum StateBullish
Momentum improving

RSI 70.0, MACD 5.344

Monthly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $14.38 (9.92%)

Monthly

EMA Structure

Bullish
EMA 8$128.7Bullish
EMA 21$114.82Bullish
EMA 50$105.18Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 70.0 · MACD 5.344

Momentum is strong

Strength
Bullish
Volatility
ATR $14.38 · BB 83.28%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 79.2 · OBV 125.15%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bullish
Price Levels
$73.31 - $156.92

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bullish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+18.21% · 1.8 ATR above latest close

$171.3
Nearest resistance

+8.29% · 0.8 ATR above · 34-bar high

$156.92
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$144.91
Nearest support

-49.41% · 5.0 ATR below · 34-bar low

$73.31
Deeper support zone

-59.33% · 6.0 ATR below latest close

$58.93
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$130.53 - $159.29

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $125.14, invalidation $107.9

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

50.3 / 37.6 / 2.4Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$102.22Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$122.89 / $115.11Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

86%Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$14.38 (9.92%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 83.28%

96%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$145.6 / $85.15Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$130.53 / $159.29Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$156.92Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$73.31Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

70.0Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

5.344Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

84.9 / 87.9Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Overbought zone

-15.1Bearish
CCI (20)

Strong expansion

153.4Bullish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

sell 13Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

79.2Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

125.15%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.29xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $125.14, invalidation $107.9

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

50.3 / 37.6 / 2.4Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$102.22Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$122.89 / $115.11Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

86%Bullish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

70.0Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

5.344Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

84.9 / 87.9Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Overbought zone

-15.1Bearish
CCI (20)

Strong expansion

153.4Bullish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

sell 13Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$14.38 (9.92%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 83.28%

96%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$145.6 / $85.15Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$130.53 / $159.29Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

79.2Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

125.15%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.29xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$156.92Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$73.31Range

Related Forecasts