US stock / ETF

Merck & Co., Inc.

MRK · NYSE · USD

1 dayBearish68%
Daily Downside probability 68%Bearish

MRK 1D chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

Daily: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $145.3 and stabilize above resistance $156.92.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $156.92 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

Daily
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 43.2, MACD -1.059

Daily
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is $3.17 (2.23%)

Daily

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$144.05Bearish
EMA 21$145.3Bearish
EMA 50$141.96Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 43.2 · MACD -1.059

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $3.17 · BB 6.83%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 57.6 · OBV -4.32%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$139.6 - $156.92

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+12.79% · 5.7 ATR above latest close

$160.09
Nearest resistance

+10.55% · 4.7 ATR above · 34-bar high

$156.92
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$141.94
Nearest support

-1.65% · 0.7 ATR below · 34-bar low

$139.6
Deeper support zone

-3.88% · 1.7 ATR below latest close

$136.43
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$138.77 - $145.11

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $142.32, invalidation $150.36

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

10.8 / 19.9 / 22.5Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$132.53Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$145.78 / $141.57Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

17%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$3.17 (2.23%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 6.83%

11%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$150.92 / $139.7Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$138.77 / $145.11Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$156.92Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$139.6Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

43.2Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-1.059Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

16.8 / 12.2Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-83.2Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-144.4Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 6Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

57.6Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-4.32%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.99xRange

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $142.32, invalidation $150.36

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

10.8 / 19.9 / 22.5Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$132.53Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$145.78 / $141.57Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

17%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

43.2Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-1.059Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

16.8 / 12.2Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-83.2Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-144.4Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 6Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$3.17 (2.23%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 6.83%

11%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$150.92 / $139.7Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$138.77 / $145.11Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

57.6Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-4.32%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.99xRange

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$156.92Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$139.6Range

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