US stock / ETF

Merck & Co., Inc.

MRK · NYSE · USD

12 hoursBearish76%
12h Downside probability 76%Bearish

MRK 12H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

12h: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $146.35 and stabilize above resistance $157.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $157 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

12h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 44.2, MACD -0.638

12h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $1.94 (1.34%)

12h

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$144.86Bearish
EMA 21$146.35Bearish
EMA 50$144.41Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 44.2 · MACD -0.638

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $1.94 · BB 8.23%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 11.9 · OBV -29.93%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$142.25 - $157

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+9.79% · 7.3 ATR above latest close

$158.94
Nearest resistance

+8.45% · 6.3 ATR above · 34-bar high

$157
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$144.77
Nearest support

-1.74% · 1.3 ATR below · 34-bar low

$142.25
Deeper support zone

-3.08% · 2.3 ATR below latest close

$140.31
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$142.83 - $146.71

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $142.25, invalidation $147.09

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

38.3 / 14.1 / 39.5Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$138.44Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$147.2 / $142.95Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

19%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$1.94 (1.34%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 8.23%

27%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$150.18 / $142.44Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$142.83 / $146.71Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$157Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$142.25Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

44.2Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.638Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

32.9 / 21.3Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-67.1Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-80.1Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 2Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

11.9Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-29.93%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.82xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $142.25, invalidation $147.09

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

38.3 / 14.1 / 39.5Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$138.44Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$147.2 / $142.95Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

19%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

44.2Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.638Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

32.9 / 21.3Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-67.1Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-80.1Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 2Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$1.94 (1.34%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 8.23%

27%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$150.18 / $142.44Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$142.83 / $146.71Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

11.9Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-29.93%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.82xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$157Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$142.25Range

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