US stock / ETF

The Mosaic Company

MOS · NYSE · USD

4 hoursRange52%
4h Range probability 96%Range

MOS 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bullish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Break either side of $20.47 - $23.4 with volume.

Invalidation Trigger

A trend close outside the ATR band changes the range thesis.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBullish
Constructive Trend

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 46.2, MACD -0.117

4h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Low volatility

ATR is $0.4011 (1.82%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bullish
EMA 8$22.36Bearish
EMA 21$22.29Bearish
EMA 50$22Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 46.2 · MACD -0.117

Neutral zone

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $0.4011 · BB 6.73%

Low volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 54.2 · OBV -9.11%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$20.47 - $23.4

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+8.06% · 4.4 ATR above latest close

$23.8
Nearest resistance

+6.24% · 3.4 ATR above · 34-bar high

$23.4
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$22.02
Nearest support

-7.07% · 3.9 ATR below · 34-bar low

$20.47
Deeper support zone

-8.89% · 4.9 ATR below latest close

$20.06
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$21.62 - $22.42

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $22.77, invalidation $22.35

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

57.5 / 20.2 / 20.0Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$20.85Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$22.39 / $21.93Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

32%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$0.4011 (1.82%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 6.73%

18%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$23.13 / $21.49Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$21.62 / $22.42Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$23.4Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$20.47Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

46.2Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.117Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

0.0 / 3.1Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-100.0Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-97.6Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 6Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

54.2Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-9.11%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.15xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $22.77, invalidation $22.35

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

57.5 / 20.2 / 20.0Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$20.85Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$22.39 / $21.93Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

32%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

46.2Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.117Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

0.0 / 3.1Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-100.0Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-97.6Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 6Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$0.4011 (1.82%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 6.73%

18%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$23.13 / $21.49Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$21.62 / $22.42Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

54.2Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-9.11%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.15xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$23.4Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$20.47Range

Related Forecasts