US stock / ETF

The Mosaic Company

MOS · NYSE · USD

4 hoursBearish62%
4h Downside probability 62%Bearish

MOS 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bullish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $23.84 and stabilize above resistance $25.2.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $25.2 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBullish
Constructive Trend

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateRange
Momentum mixed

RSI 51.7, MACD -0.132

4h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Low volatility

ATR is $0.5186 (2.18%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bullish
EMA 8$23.99Bearish
EMA 21$23.84Bearish
EMA 50$23.31Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 51.7 · MACD -0.132

Neutral zone

Strength
Range
Volatility
ATR $0.5186 · BB 7.02%

Low volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 29.1 · OBV 6.00%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$20.82 - $25.2

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bullish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+7.95% · 3.7 ATR above latest close

$25.72
Nearest resistance

+5.78% · 2.7 ATR above · 34-bar high

$25.2
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$23.82
Nearest support

-12.61% · 5.8 ATR below · 34-bar low

$20.82
Deeper support zone

-14.79% · 6.8 ATR below latest close

$20.3
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$23.31 - $24.34

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $23.39, invalidation $24.74

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

45.6 / 21.5 / 23.2Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$22.23Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$23.97 / $23.01Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

26%Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$0.5186 (2.18%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 7.02%

29%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$24.92 / $22.79Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$23.31 / $24.34Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$25.2Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$20.82Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

51.7Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.132Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

24.2 / 17.4Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-75.8Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-70.8Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 4Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

29.1Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

6.00%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.68xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $23.39, invalidation $24.74

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

45.6 / 21.5 / 23.2Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$22.23Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$23.97 / $23.01Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

26%Bullish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

51.7Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.132Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

24.2 / 17.4Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-75.8Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-70.8Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 4Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$0.5186 (2.18%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 7.02%

29%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$24.92 / $22.79Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$23.31 / $24.34Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

29.1Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

6.00%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.68xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$25.2Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$20.82Range

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