US stock / ETF

The Mosaic Company

MOS · NYSE · USD

4 hoursBullish54%
4h Upside probability 54%Bullish

MOS 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Hold above $19.8 and reclaim $24.29.

Invalidation Trigger

Lose $19.8 and MACD turns lower again.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is above EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBullish
Momentum improving

RSI 55.0, MACD 0.051

4h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is $0.5064 (2.25%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$21.93Bullish
EMA 21$21.96Bullish
EMA 50$22.22Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 55.0 · MACD 0.051

Momentum is strong

Strength
Bullish
Volatility
ATR $0.5064 · BB 11.26%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 46.7 · OBV -124.44%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$19.8 - $24.29

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+10.21% · 4.5 ATR above latest close

$24.79
Nearest resistance

+7.96% · 3.5 ATR above · 34-bar high

$24.29
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$22.5
Nearest support

-11.98% · 5.3 ATR below · 34-bar low

$19.8
Deeper support zone

-14.23% · 6.3 ATR below latest close

$19.29
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$21.99 - $23

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $20.89, invalidation $23.38

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

23.8 / 26.5 / 27.3Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$21.03Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$21.89 / $22.15Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

47%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$0.5064 (2.25%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 11.26%

64%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$22.88 / $21.02Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$21.99 / $23Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$24.29Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$19.8Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

55.0Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.051Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

64.6 / 50.7Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-35.4Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

36.9Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 4Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

46.7Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-124.44%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.37xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $20.89, invalidation $23.38

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

23.8 / 26.5 / 27.3Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$21.03Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$21.89 / $22.15Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

47%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

55.0Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.051Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

64.6 / 50.7Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-35.4Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

36.9Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 4Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$0.5064 (2.25%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 11.26%

64%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$22.88 / $21.02Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$21.99 / $23Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

46.7Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-124.44%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.37xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$24.29Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$19.8Range

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