US stock / ETF

The Mosaic Company

MOS · NYSE · USD

4 hoursBearish77%
4h Downside probability 77%Bearish

MOS 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $21.24 and stabilize above resistance $23.8.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $23.8 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 27.7, MACD -0.040

4h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is $0.4577 (2.29%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$20.68Bearish
EMA 21$21.24Bearish
EMA 50$22.24Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 27.7 · MACD -0.040

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $0.4577 · BB 9.05%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 24.3 · OBV 3.48%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$19.86 - $23.8

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+21.44% · 9.4 ATR above latest close

$24.26
Nearest resistance

+19.15% · 8.4 ATR above · 34-bar high

$23.8
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$19.98
Nearest support

-0.6% · 0.3 ATR below · 34-bar low

$19.86
Deeper support zone

-2.89% · 1.3 ATR below latest close

$19.4
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$19.52 - $20.43

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $21.85, invalidation $20.57

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

49.9 / 8.4 / 34.3Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$18.63Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$21.02 / $22.45Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

6%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$0.4577 (2.29%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 9.05%

-11%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$22.1 / $20.3Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$19.52 / $20.43Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$23.8Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$19.86Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

27.7Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.040Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

6.0 / 12.3Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-94.0Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-250.9Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 5Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

24.3Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

3.48%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.24xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $21.85, invalidation $20.57

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

49.9 / 8.4 / 34.3Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$18.63Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$21.02 / $22.45Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

6%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

27.7Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.040Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

6.0 / 12.3Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-94.0Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-250.9Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 5Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$0.4577 (2.29%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 9.05%

-11%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$22.1 / $20.3Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$19.52 / $20.43Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

24.3Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

3.48%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.24xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$23.8Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$19.86Range

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