US stock / ETF

The Mosaic Company

MOS · NYSE · USD

1 weekBearish92%
Weekly Downside probability 92%Bearish

MOS 1W chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Weekly: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $24.3 and stabilize above resistance $32.24.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $32.24 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Weekly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 41.5, MACD -0.034

Weekly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $2.21 (9.85%)

Weekly

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$22.93Bearish
EMA 21$24.3Bearish
EMA 50$26.41Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 41.5 · MACD -0.034

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $2.21 · BB 40.59%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 21.9 · OBV -31.14%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$19.8 - $32.24

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+53.91% · 5.5 ATR above latest close

$34.45
Nearest resistance

+44.06% · 4.5 ATR above · 34-bar high

$32.24
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$22.38
Nearest support

-11.53% · 1.2 ATR below · 34-bar low

$19.8
Deeper support zone

-21.38% · 2.2 ATR below latest close

$17.59
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$20.17 - $24.59

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $19.8, invalidation $24.49

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

20.6 / 12.9 / 24.1Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$15.4Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$24.08 / $29Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

21%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$2.21 (9.85%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 40.59%

27%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$28.41 / $20Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$20.17 / $24.59Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$32.24Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$19.8Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

41.5Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.034Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

35.2 / 30.3Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-64.8Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-90.7Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

21.9Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-31.14%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.80xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $19.8, invalidation $24.49

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

20.6 / 12.9 / 24.1Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$15.4Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$24.08 / $29Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

21%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

41.5Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.034Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

35.2 / 30.3Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-64.8Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-90.7Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$2.21 (9.85%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 40.59%

27%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$28.41 / $20Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$20.17 / $24.59Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

21.9Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-31.14%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.80xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$32.24Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$19.8Range

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