US stock / ETF

The Mosaic Company

MOS · NYSE · USD

1 weekBearish77%
Weekly Downside probability 77%Bearish

MOS 1W chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Weekly: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $21.91 and stabilize above resistance $32.25.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $32.25 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Weekly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 37.8, MACD -0.442

Weekly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $2.1 (11.2%)

Weekly

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$20.24Bearish
EMA 21$21.91Bearish
EMA 50$24.02Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 37.8 · MACD -0.442

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $2.1 · BB 39.14%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 40.7 · OBV -27.43%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$16.99 - $32.25

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+82.84% · 7.4 ATR above latest close

$34.35
Nearest resistance

+71.63% · 6.4 ATR above · 34-bar high

$32.25
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$18.79
Nearest support

-9.58% · 0.9 ATR below · 34-bar low

$16.99
Deeper support zone

-20.78% · 1.9 ATR below latest close

$14.89
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$16.69 - $20.89

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $26.96, invalidation $21.05

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

23.0 / 14.4 / 27.5Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$12.24Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$21.98 / $24.62Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

18%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$2.1 (11.2%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 39.14%

12%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$25.81 / $17.83Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$16.69 / $20.89Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$32.25Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$16.99Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

37.8Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.442Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

18.1 / 10.0Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-81.9Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-153.5Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 6Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

40.7Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-27.43%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.52xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $26.96, invalidation $21.05

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

23.0 / 14.4 / 27.5Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$12.24Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$21.98 / $24.62Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

18%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

37.8Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.442Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

18.1 / 10.0Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-81.9Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-153.5Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 6Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$2.1 (11.2%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 39.14%

12%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$25.81 / $17.83Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$16.69 / $20.89Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

40.7Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-27.43%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.52xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$32.25Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$16.99Range

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