US stock / ETF

The Mosaic Company

MOS · NYSE · USD

1 weekBearish62%
Weekly Downside probability 62%Bearish

MOS 1W chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

Weekly: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $23.36 and stabilize above resistance $32.25.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $32.25 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Weekly
Momentum StateRange
Momentum mixed

RSI 46.6, MACD 0.184

Weekly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $1.99 (8.63%)

Weekly

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$22.42Bullish
EMA 21$23.36Bearish
EMA 50$25.48Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 46.6 · MACD 0.184

Neutral zone

Strength
Range
Volatility
ATR $1.99 · BB 22.21%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 34.6 · OBV -10.21%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$19.8 - $32.25

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+48.48% · 5.6 ATR above latest close

$34.24
Nearest resistance

+39.85% · 4.6 ATR above · 34-bar high

$32.25
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$23.06
Nearest support

-14.16% · 1.6 ATR below · 34-bar low

$19.8
Deeper support zone

-22.79% · 2.6 ATR below latest close

$17.8
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$21.07 - $25.05

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $23.4, invalidation $20.42

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

21.1 / 21.0 / 19.3Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$16.78Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$24.03 / $28.4Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

44%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$1.99 (8.63%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 22.21%

51%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$27.22 / $19.32Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$21.07 / $25.05Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$32.25Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$19.8Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

46.6Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.184Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

69.5 / 55.8Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-30.5Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-15.0Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 2Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

34.6Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-10.21%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.96xRange

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $23.4, invalidation $20.42

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

21.1 / 21.0 / 19.3Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$16.78Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$24.03 / $28.4Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

44%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

46.6Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.184Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

69.5 / 55.8Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-30.5Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-15.0Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 2Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$1.99 (8.63%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 22.21%

51%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$27.22 / $19.32Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$21.07 / $25.05Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

34.6Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-10.21%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.96xRange

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$32.25Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$19.8Range

Related Forecasts