US stock / ETF

The Mosaic Company

MOS · NYSE · USD

1 weekBearish68%
Weekly Downside probability 68%Bearish

MOS 1W chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Weekly: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $23.15 and stabilize above resistance $32.25.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $32.25 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Weekly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 38.4, MACD -0.057

Weekly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $2.06 (10.32%)

Weekly

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$22.48Bearish
EMA 21$23.15Bearish
EMA 50$24.78Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 38.4 · MACD -0.057

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $2.06 · BB 25.17%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 53.6 · OBV -5.84%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$19.8 - $32.25

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+72.01% · 7.0 ATR above latest close

$34.31
Nearest resistance

+61.69% · 6.0 ATR above · 34-bar high

$32.25
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$19.95
Nearest support

-0.75% · 0.1 ATR below · 34-bar low

$19.8
Deeper support zone

-11.07% · 1.1 ATR below latest close

$17.74
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$17.89 - $22

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $26.96, invalidation $21.05

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

22.4 / 20.4 / 19.4Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$13.75Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$23.4 / $26.02Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

2%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$2.06 (10.32%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 25.17%

1%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$27.73 / $18.47Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$17.89 / $22Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$32.25Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$19.8Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

38.4Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.057Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

0.8 / 17.0Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-99.2Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-150.7Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 3Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

53.6Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-5.84%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.29xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $26.96, invalidation $21.05

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

22.4 / 20.4 / 19.4Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$13.75Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$23.4 / $26.02Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

2%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

38.4Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.057Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

0.8 / 17.0Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-99.2Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-150.7Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 3Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$2.06 (10.32%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 25.17%

1%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$27.73 / $18.47Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$17.89 / $22Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

53.6Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-5.84%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.29xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$32.25Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$19.8Range

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