US stock / ETF

The Mosaic Company

MOS · NYSE · USD

1 weekBearish92%
Weekly Downside probability 92%Bearish

MOS 1W chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Weekly: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $23.64 and stabilize above resistance $32.25.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $32.25 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Weekly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 42.3, MACD -0.011

Weekly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $2 (9.05%)

Weekly

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$22.26Bearish
EMA 21$23.64Bearish
EMA 50$25.86Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 42.3 · MACD -0.011

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $2 · BB 32.83%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 21.3 · OBV -4.56%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$19.8 - $32.25

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+54.78% · 6.1 ATR above latest close

$34.25
Nearest resistance

+45.73% · 5.1 ATR above · 34-bar high

$32.25
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$22.13
Nearest support

-10.55% · 1.2 ATR below · 34-bar low

$19.8
Deeper support zone

-19.6% · 2.2 ATR below latest close

$17.79
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$20.13 - $24.13

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $19.8, invalidation $24.29

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

20.8 / 18.0 / 25.4Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$16.21Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$24.08 / $28.66Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

19%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$2 (9.05%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 32.83%

31%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$27.76 / $19.31Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$20.13 / $24.13Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$32.25Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$19.8Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

42.3Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.011Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

40.6 / 27.4Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-59.4Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-53.9Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 4Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

21.3Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-4.56%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.68xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $19.8, invalidation $24.29

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

20.8 / 18.0 / 25.4Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$16.21Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$24.08 / $28.66Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

19%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

42.3Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.011Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

40.6 / 27.4Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-59.4Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-53.9Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 4Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$2 (9.05%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 32.83%

31%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$27.76 / $19.31Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$20.13 / $24.13Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

21.3Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-4.56%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.68xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$32.25Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$19.8Range

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