US stock / ETF

The Mosaic Company

MOS · NYSE · USD

1 hourBearish72%
1h Downside probability 72%Bearish

MOS 1H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

1h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $23.99 and stabilize above resistance $25.2.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $25.2 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

1h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 43.4, MACD -0.039

1h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $0.2232 (0.94%)

1h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$23.77Bullish
EMA 21$23.99Bearish
EMA 50$24.04Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 43.4 · MACD -0.039

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $0.2232 · BB 6.25%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 62.0 · OBV 3.15%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bullish
Price Levels
$23.39 - $25.2

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+6.71% · 7.2 ATR above latest close

$25.42
Nearest resistance

+5.78% · 6.2 ATR above · 34-bar high

$25.2
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$23.82
Nearest support

-1.84% · 2.0 ATR below · 34-bar low

$23.39
Deeper support zone

-2.78% · 3.0 ATR below latest close

$23.16
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$23.6 - $24.05

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $23.39, invalidation $24.74

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

9.9 / 21.6 / 31.5Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$23.17Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$24.1 / $24.29Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

32%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$0.2232 (0.94%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 6.25%

34%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$24.41 / $23.54Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$23.6 / $24.05Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$25.2Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$23.39Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

43.4Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.039Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

32.4 / 28.6Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-67.6Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-48.9Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 3Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

62.0Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

3.15%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

3.29xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $23.39, invalidation $24.74

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

9.9 / 21.6 / 31.5Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$23.17Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$24.1 / $24.29Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

32%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

43.4Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.039Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

32.4 / 28.6Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-67.6Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-48.9Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 3Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$0.2232 (0.94%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 6.25%

34%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$24.41 / $23.54Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$23.6 / $24.05Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

62.0Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

3.15%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

3.29xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$25.2Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$23.39Range

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