US stock / ETF

The Mosaic Company

MOS · NYSE · USD

1 hourBearish76%
1h Downside probability 76%Bearish

MOS 1H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

1h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $20.85 and stabilize above resistance $21.5.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $21.5 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

1h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 26.6, MACD -0.107

1h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $0.2363 (1.18%)

1h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$20.53Bearish
EMA 21$20.85Bearish
EMA 50$21.15Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 26.6 · MACD -0.107

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $0.2363 · BB 7.15%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 38.9 · OBV -4.26%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$19.92 - $21.5

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+8.19% · 7.0 ATR above latest close

$21.74
Nearest resistance

+7.02% · 6.0 ATR above · 34-bar high

$21.5
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$20.09
Nearest support

-0.85% · 0.7 ATR below · 34-bar low

$19.92
Deeper support zone

-2.02% · 1.7 ATR below latest close

$19.68
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$19.85 - $20.33

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $20.8, invalidation $21.15

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

49.0 / 13.9 / 40.5Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$19.21Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$20.64 / $20.89Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

11%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$0.2363 (1.18%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 7.15%

-8%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$21.37 / $20.3Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$19.85 / $20.33Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$21.5Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$19.92Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

26.6Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.107Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

12.9 / 4.5Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-87.1Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-248.5Bearish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 8Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

38.9Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-4.26%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.81xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $20.8, invalidation $21.15

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

49.0 / 13.9 / 40.5Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$19.21Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$20.64 / $20.89Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

11%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

26.6Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.107Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

12.9 / 4.5Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-87.1Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-248.5Bearish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 8Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$0.2363 (1.18%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 7.15%

-8%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$21.37 / $20.3Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$19.85 / $20.33Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

38.9Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-4.26%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.81xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$21.5Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$19.92Range

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