US stock / ETF

The Mosaic Company

MOS · NYSE · USD

1 hourBearish92%
1h Downside probability 92%Bearish

MOS 1H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

1h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $22.43 and stabilize above resistance $23.4.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $23.4 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

1h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 35.9, MACD -0.051

1h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $0.1906 (0.87%)

1h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$22.25Bearish
EMA 21$22.43Bearish
EMA 50$22.44Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 35.9 · MACD -0.051

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $0.1906 · BB 4.43%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 32.8 · OBV -7.77%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$22.02 - $23.4

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+7.1% · 8.2 ATR above latest close

$23.59
Nearest resistance

+6.24% · 7.2 ATR above · 34-bar high

$23.4
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$22.02
Nearest support

+0% · 0.0 ATR below · 34-bar low

$22.02
Deeper support zone

-0.87% · 1.0 ATR below latest close

$21.83
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$21.83 - $22.21

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $22.77, invalidation $22.24

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

18.3 / 17.4 / 30.3Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$21.43Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$22.55 / $22.71Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

0%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$0.1906 (0.87%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 4.43%

6%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$22.86 / $21.99Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$21.83 / $22.21Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$23.4Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$22.02Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

35.9Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.051Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

0.0 / 8.0Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-100.0Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-142.5Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 6Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

32.8Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-7.77%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

3.24xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $22.77, invalidation $22.24

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

18.3 / 17.4 / 30.3Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$21.43Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$22.55 / $22.71Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

0%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

35.9Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.051Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

0.0 / 8.0Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-100.0Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-142.5Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 6Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$0.1906 (0.87%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 4.43%

6%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$22.86 / $21.99Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$21.83 / $22.21Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

32.8Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-7.77%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

3.24xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$23.4Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$22.02Range

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