US stock / ETF

The Mosaic Company

MOS · NYSE · USD

1 monthBearish90%
Monthly Downside probability 90%Bearish

MOS 1M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

Monthly: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $27.42 and stabilize above resistance $38.3.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $38.3 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Monthly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 39.4, MACD -0.561

Monthly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $4.96 (22.41%)

Monthly

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$24.37Bearish
EMA 21$27.42Bearish
EMA 50$29.6Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 39.4 · MACD -0.561

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $4.96 · BB 69.18%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 36.1 · OBV -29.88%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$19.8 - $38.3

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+95.48% · 4.3 ATR above latest close

$43.26
Nearest resistance

+73.07% · 3.3 ATR above · 34-bar high

$38.3
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$22.13
Nearest support

-10.55% · 0.5 ATR below · 34-bar low

$19.8
Deeper support zone

-32.96% · 1.5 ATR below latest close

$14.84
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$17.17 - $27.09

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $32.25, invalidation $23.32

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

13.3 / 11.4 / 28.7Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$6.64Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$27.52 / $49.54Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

13%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$4.96 (22.41%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 69.18%

20%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$37.42 / $17.06Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$17.17 / $27.09Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$38.3Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$19.8Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

39.4Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.561Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

12.7 / 12.5Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-87.3Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-107.2Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 4Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

36.1Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-29.88%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.59xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $32.25, invalidation $23.32

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

13.3 / 11.4 / 28.7Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$6.64Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$27.52 / $49.54Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

13%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

39.4Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.561Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

12.7 / 12.5Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-87.3Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-107.2Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 4Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$4.96 (22.41%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 69.18%

20%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$37.42 / $17.06Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$17.17 / $27.09Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

36.1Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-29.88%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.59xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$38.3Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$19.8Range

Related Forecasts