US stock / ETF

The Mosaic Company

MOS · NYSE · USD

1 monthBearish92%
Monthly Downside probability 92%Bearish

MOS 1M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Monthly: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $28.04 and stabilize above resistance $40.62.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $40.62 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Monthly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 39.3, MACD -0.532

Monthly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $5.16 (23.06%)

Monthly

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$25.27Bearish
EMA 21$28.04Bearish
EMA 50$31.77Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 39.3 · MACD -0.532

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $5.16 · BB 64.98%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 36.5 · OBV -73.99%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$19.8 - $40.62

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+104.56% · 4.5 ATR above latest close

$45.78
Nearest resistance

+81.5% · 3.5 ATR above · 34-bar high

$40.62
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$22.38
Nearest support

-11.53% · 0.5 ATR below · 34-bar low

$19.8
Deeper support zone

-34.58% · 1.5 ATR below latest close

$14.64
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$17.22 - $27.54

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $32.24, invalidation $23.34

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

10.1 / 19.0 / 26.7Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$6.32Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$28.39 / $49.54Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

14%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$5.16 (23.06%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 64.98%

18%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$38.36 / $17.39Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$17.22 / $27.54Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$40.62Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$19.8Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

39.3Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.532Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

14.0 / 12.3Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-86.0Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-114.5Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 3Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

36.5Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-73.99%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.53xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $32.24, invalidation $23.34

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

10.1 / 19.0 / 26.7Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$6.32Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$28.39 / $49.54Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

14%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

39.3Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.532Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

14.0 / 12.3Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-86.0Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-114.5Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 3Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$5.16 (23.06%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 64.98%

18%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$38.36 / $17.39Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$17.22 / $27.54Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

36.5Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-73.99%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.53xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$40.62Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$19.8Range

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