US stock / ETF

The Mosaic Company

MOS · NYSE · USD

1 monthBearish92%
Monthly Downside probability 92%Bearish

MOS 1M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

Monthly: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $27.09 and stabilize above resistance $38.3.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $38.3 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Monthly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 42.5, MACD -0.401

Monthly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $4.96 (20.86%)

Monthly

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$24.23Bearish
EMA 21$27.09Bearish
EMA 50$29.37Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 42.5 · MACD -0.401

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $4.96 · BB 69.74%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 35.9 · OBV -16.62%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$19.8 - $38.3

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+82.06% · 3.9 ATR above latest close

$43.26
Nearest resistance

+61.2% · 2.9 ATR above · 34-bar high

$38.3
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$23.76
Nearest support

-16.69% · 0.8 ATR below · 34-bar low

$19.8
Deeper support zone

-37.55% · 1.8 ATR below latest close

$14.84
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$18.8 - $28.72

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $19.8, invalidation $32.25

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

15.2 / 12.0 / 28.7Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$9.2Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$27.52 / $44.27Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

22%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$4.96 (20.86%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 69.74%

29%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$36.19 / $17.63Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$18.8 / $28.72Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$38.3Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$19.8Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

42.5Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.401Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

21.5 / 13.9Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-78.5Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-79.5Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 1Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

35.9Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-16.62%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.90xRange

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $19.8, invalidation $32.25

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

15.2 / 12.0 / 28.7Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$9.2Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$27.52 / $44.27Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

22%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

42.5Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.401Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

21.5 / 13.9Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-78.5Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-79.5Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 1Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$4.96 (20.86%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 69.74%

29%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$36.19 / $17.63Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$18.8 / $28.72Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

35.9Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-16.62%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.90xRange

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$38.3Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$19.8Range

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