US stock / ETF

The Mosaic Company

MOS · NYSE · USD

1 monthBearish85%
Monthly Downside probability 85%Bearish

MOS 1M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Monthly: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $26.92 and stabilize above resistance $38.3.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $38.3 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Monthly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 44.4, MACD -0.176

Monthly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $4.96 (20%)

Monthly

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$24.44Bullish
EMA 21$26.92Bearish
EMA 50$29.21Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 44.4 · MACD -0.176

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $4.96 · BB 70.47%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 34.3 · OBV 7.64%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$19.8 - $38.3

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+74.5% · 3.7 ATR above latest close

$43.26
Nearest resistance

+54.5% · 2.7 ATR above · 34-bar high

$38.3
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$24.79
Nearest support

-20.15% · 1.0 ATR below · 34-bar low

$19.8
Deeper support zone

-40.15% · 2.0 ATR below latest close

$14.84
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$19.83 - $29.75

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $19.8, invalidation $32.25

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

15.8 / 13.8 / 28.7Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$11.56Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$27.52 / $41.48Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

27%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$4.96 (20%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 70.47%

35%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$35.84 / $17.66Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$19.83 / $29.75Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$38.3Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$19.8Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

44.4Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.176Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

29.0 / 21.9Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-71.0Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-46.8Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 2Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

34.3Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

7.64%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.57xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $19.8, invalidation $32.25

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

15.8 / 13.8 / 28.7Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$11.56Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$27.52 / $41.48Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

27%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

44.4Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.176Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

29.0 / 21.9Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-71.0Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-46.8Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 2Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$4.96 (20%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 70.47%

35%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$35.84 / $17.66Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$19.83 / $29.75Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

34.3Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

7.64%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.57xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$38.3Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$19.8Range

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