US stock / ETF

The Mosaic Company

MOS · NYSE · USD

1 monthBearish92%
Monthly Downside probability 92%Bearish

MOS 1M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Monthly: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $27.03 and stabilize above resistance $38.3.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $38.3 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Monthly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 41.2, MACD -0.446

Monthly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $4.84 (20.99%)

Monthly

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$24.08Bearish
EMA 21$27.03Bearish
EMA 50$29.35Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 41.2 · MACD -0.446

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $4.84 · BB 70.29%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 33.4 · OBV -26.33%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$19.8 - $38.3

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+87.08% · 4.1 ATR above latest close

$43.14
Nearest resistance

+66.09% · 3.1 ATR above · 34-bar high

$38.3
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$23.06
Nearest support

-14.16% · 0.7 ATR below · 34-bar low

$19.8
Deeper support zone

-35.15% · 1.7 ATR below latest close

$14.96
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$18.22 - $27.9

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $19.8, invalidation $32.25

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

15.7 / 10.5 / 29.4Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$9.27Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$27.52 / $44.27Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

18%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$4.84 (20.99%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 70.29%

26%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$35.79 / $17.89Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$18.22 / $27.9Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$38.3Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$19.8Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

41.2Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.446Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

17.7 / 12.6Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-82.3Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-87.8Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 5Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

33.4Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-26.33%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.29xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $19.8, invalidation $32.25

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

15.7 / 10.5 / 29.4Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$9.27Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$27.52 / $44.27Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

18%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

41.2Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.446Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

17.7 / 12.6Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-82.3Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-87.8Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 5Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$4.84 (20.99%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 70.29%

26%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$35.79 / $17.89Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$18.22 / $27.9Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

33.4Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-26.33%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.29xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$38.3Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$19.8Range

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