US stock / ETF

The Mosaic Company

MOS · NYSE · USD

1 monthBearish92%
Monthly Downside probability 92%Bearish

MOS 1M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Monthly: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $25.92 and stabilize above resistance $38.23.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $38.23 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Monthly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 36.5, MACD -0.521

Monthly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $5.03 (26.76%)

Monthly

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$22.64Bearish
EMA 21$25.92Bearish
EMA 50$28.69Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 36.5 · MACD -0.521

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $5.03 · BB 78.00%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 30.2 · OBV -50.79%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$16.99 - $38.23

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+130.22% · 4.9 ATR above latest close

$43.26
Nearest resistance

+103.46% · 3.9 ATR above · 34-bar high

$38.23
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$18.79
Nearest support

-9.58% · 0.4 ATR below · 34-bar low

$16.99
Deeper support zone

-36.34% · 1.4 ATR below latest close

$11.96
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$13.76 - $23.82

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $19.8, invalidation $32.25

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

17.7 / 13.6 / 28.2Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$4.68Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$26.12 / $40.07Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

8%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$5.03 (26.76%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 78.00%

10%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$35.59 / $15.84Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$13.76 / $23.82Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$38.23Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$16.99Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

36.5Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.521Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

9.0 / 14.6Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-91.0Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-130.4Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 2Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

30.2Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-50.79%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.18xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $19.8, invalidation $32.25

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

17.7 / 13.6 / 28.2Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$4.68Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$26.12 / $40.07Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

8%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

36.5Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.521Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

9.0 / 14.6Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-91.0Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-130.4Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 2Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$5.03 (26.76%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 78.00%

10%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$35.59 / $15.84Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$13.76 / $23.82Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

30.2Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-50.79%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.18xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$38.23Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$16.99Range

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