US stock / ETF

The Mosaic Company

MOS · NYSE · USD

1 monthBearish92%
Monthly Downside probability 92%Bearish

MOS 1M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Monthly: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $26.03 and stabilize above resistance $38.23.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $38.23 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Monthly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 37.8, MACD -0.446

Monthly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $4.82 (24.15%)

Monthly

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$22.9Bearish
EMA 21$26.03Bearish
EMA 50$28.73Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 37.8 · MACD -0.446

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $4.82 · BB 76.53%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 31.8 · OBV -34.99%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$19.8 - $38.23

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+115.54% · 4.8 ATR above latest close

$43.05
Nearest resistance

+91.39% · 3.8 ATR above · 34-bar high

$38.23
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$19.98
Nearest support

-0.9% · 0.0 ATR below · 34-bar low

$19.8
Deeper support zone

-25.05% · 1.0 ATR below latest close

$14.97
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$15.15 - $24.8

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $19.8, invalidation $32.25

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

17.2 / 14.2 / 25.1Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$6.98Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$27.52 / $41.48Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

1%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$4.82 (24.15%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 76.53%

15%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$35.13 / $16.53Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$15.15 / $24.8Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$38.23Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$19.8Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

37.8Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.446Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

1.0 / 12.0Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-99.0Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-111.3Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 2Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

31.8Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-34.99%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.22xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $19.8, invalidation $32.25

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

17.2 / 14.2 / 25.1Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$6.98Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$27.52 / $41.48Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

1%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

37.8Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.446Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

1.0 / 12.0Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-99.0Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-111.3Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 2Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$4.82 (24.15%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 76.53%

15%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$35.13 / $16.53Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$15.15 / $24.8Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

31.8Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-34.99%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.22xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$38.23Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$19.8Range

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