US stock / ETF

McDonald's Corporation

MCD · NYSE · USD

4 hoursBearish92%
4h Downside probability 92%Bearish

MCD 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $278.65 and stabilize above resistance $289.11.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $289.11 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 42.2, MACD -1.252

4h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $3.41 (1.24%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$275.7Bearish
EMA 21$278.65Bearish
EMA 50$280.78Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 42.2 · MACD -1.252

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $3.41 · BB 8.20%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 26.3 · OBV -139.67%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$270.13 - $289.11

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+6.38% · 5.1 ATR above latest close

$292.52
Nearest resistance

+5.14% · 4.1 ATR above · 34-bar high

$289.11
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$274.97
Nearest support

-1.76% · 1.4 ATR below · 34-bar low

$270.13
Deeper support zone

-3% · 2.4 ATR below latest close

$266.72
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$271.56 - $278.38

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $289.11, invalidation $270.13

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

52.9 / 10.0 / 36.7Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$264.12Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$278.74 / $279.62Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

26%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$3.41 (1.24%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 8.20%

23%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$285.61 / $271.47Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$271.56 / $278.38Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$289.11Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$270.13Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

42.2Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-1.252Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

25.5 / 19.6Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-74.5Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-86.1Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 1Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

26.3Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-139.67%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.01xRange

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $289.11, invalidation $270.13

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

52.9 / 10.0 / 36.7Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$264.12Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$278.74 / $279.62Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

26%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

42.2Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-1.252Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

25.5 / 19.6Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-74.5Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-86.1Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 1Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$3.41 (1.24%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 8.20%

23%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$285.61 / $271.47Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$271.56 / $278.38Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

26.3Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-139.67%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.01xRange

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$289.11Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$270.13Range

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