US stock / ETF

McDonald's Corporation

MCD · NYSE · USD

4 hoursBearish89%
4h Downside probability 89%Bearish

MCD 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $272.63 and stabilize above resistance $286.07.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $286.07 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 32.2, MACD -0.703

4h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $2.24 (0.84%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$270.05Bearish
EMA 21$272.63Bearish
EMA 50$274.24Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 32.2 · MACD -0.703

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $2.24 · BB 4.86%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 22.1 · OBV -19.13%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$265.45 - $286.07

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+7.33% · 8.8 ATR above latest close

$288.31
Nearest resistance

+6.5% · 7.8 ATR above · 34-bar high

$286.07
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$268.62
Nearest support

-1.18% · 1.4 ATR below · 34-bar low

$265.45
Deeper support zone

-2.02% · 2.4 ATR below latest close

$263.21
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$266.38 - $270.86

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $268.62, invalidation $273.81

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

58.2 / 9.1 / 52.8Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$261.87Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$272.69 / $275.31Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

23%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$2.24 (0.84%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 4.86%

14%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$276.6 / $268.42Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$266.38 / $270.86Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$286.07Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$265.45Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

32.2Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.703Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

23.7 / 18.6Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-76.3Range
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-120.0Bearish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 13Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

22.1Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-19.13%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.38xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $268.62, invalidation $273.81

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

58.2 / 9.1 / 52.8Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$261.87Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$272.69 / $275.31Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

23%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

32.2Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.703Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

23.7 / 18.6Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-76.3Range
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-120.0Bearish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 13Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$2.24 (0.84%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 4.86%

14%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$276.6 / $268.42Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$266.38 / $270.86Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

22.1Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-19.13%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.38xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$286.07Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$265.45Range

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