US stock / ETF

McDonald's Corporation

MCD · NYSE · USD

4 hoursBearish92%
4h Downside probability 92%Bearish

MCD 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $255.21 and stabilize above resistance $266.07.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $266.07 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 32.3, MACD 0.132

4h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $1.51 (0.6%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$253.3Bearish
EMA 21$255.21Bearish
EMA 50$259.22Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 32.3 · MACD 0.132

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $1.51 · BB 2.68%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 14.4 · OBV -19.76%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$252.15 - $266.07

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+5.92% · 9.9 ATR above latest close

$267.58
Nearest resistance

+5.32% · 8.9 ATR above · 34-bar high

$266.07
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$252.62
Nearest support

-0.19% · 0.3 ATR below · 34-bar low

$252.15
Deeper support zone

-0.78% · 1.3 ATR below latest close

$250.64
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$251.11 - $254.13

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $252.15, invalidation $254.99

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

76.9 / 8.0 / 22.2Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$248.12Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$255.55 / $262.43Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

6%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$1.51 (0.6%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 2.68%

19%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$258.08 / $252.03Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$251.11 / $254.13Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$266.07Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$252.15Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

32.3Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.132Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

10.8 / 12.6Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-89.2Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-109.0Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 6Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

14.4Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-19.76%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.51xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $252.15, invalidation $254.99

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

76.9 / 8.0 / 22.2Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$248.12Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$255.55 / $262.43Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

6%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

32.3Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.132Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

10.8 / 12.6Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-89.2Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-109.0Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 6Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$1.51 (0.6%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 2.68%

19%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$258.08 / $252.03Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$251.11 / $254.13Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

14.4Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-19.76%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.51xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$266.07Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$252.15Range

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