US stock / ETF

McDonald's Corporation

MCD · NYSE · USD

4 hoursBearish74%
4h Downside probability 74%Bearish

MCD 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $233.84 and stabilize above resistance $253.7.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $253.7 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateRange
Momentum mixed

RSI 36.3, MACD 0.505

4h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $1.86 (0.8%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$232.02Bearish
EMA 21$233.84Bearish
EMA 50$239.53Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 36.3 · MACD 0.505

Momentum is weak

Strength
Range
Volatility
ATR $1.86 · BB 2.69%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 46.6 · OBV -61.93%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$227.95 - $253.7

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+10.16% · 12.7 ATR above latest close

$255.56
Nearest resistance

+9.35% · 11.7 ATR above · 34-bar high

$253.7
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$232
Nearest support

-1.75% · 2.2 ATR below · 34-bar low

$227.95
Deeper support zone

-2.55% · 3.2 ATR below latest close

$226.09
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$230.14 - $233.86

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $233.78, invalidation $230.97

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

46.5 / 7.9 / 30.9Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$226.31Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$232.96 / $241.08Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

40%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$1.86 (0.8%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 2.69%

35%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$237.51 / $229.8Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$230.14 / $233.86Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$253.7Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$227.95Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

36.3Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.505Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

53.6 / 50.8Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-46.4Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-48.5Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

46.6Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-61.93%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.42xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $233.78, invalidation $230.97

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

46.5 / 7.9 / 30.9Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$226.31Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$232.96 / $241.08Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

40%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

36.3Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.505Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

53.6 / 50.8Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-46.4Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-48.5Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$1.86 (0.8%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 2.69%

35%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$237.51 / $229.8Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$230.14 / $233.86Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

46.6Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-61.93%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.42xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$253.7Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$227.95Range

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