US stock / ETF

McDonald's Corporation

MCD · NYSE · USD

1 weekBearish92%
Weekly Downside probability 92%Bearish

MCD 1W chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

Weekly: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $275.69 and stabilize above resistance $341.75.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $341.75 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Weekly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 30.6, MACD -1.104

Weekly
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is $11.29 (4.47%)

Weekly

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$264.35Bearish
EMA 21$275.69Bearish
EMA 50$288.42Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 30.6 · MACD -1.104

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $11.29 · BB 12.72%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 43.7 · OBV -21.80%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$252.15 - $341.75

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+39.8% · 8.9 ATR above latest close

$353.04
Nearest resistance

+35.33% · 7.9 ATR above · 34-bar high

$341.75
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$252.53
Nearest support

-0.15% · 0.0 ATR below · 34-bar low

$252.15
Deeper support zone

-4.62% · 1.0 ATR below latest close

$240.86
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$241.24 - $263.82

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $260.96, invalidation $278.7

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

32.3 / 17.9 / 27.1Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$222.54Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$278.37 / $296.95Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

1%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$11.29 (4.47%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 12.72%

-9%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$296.14 / $253.76Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$241.24 / $263.82Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$341.75Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$252.15Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

30.6Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-1.104Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

1.0 / 6.4Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-99.0Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-199.1Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 3Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

43.7Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-21.80%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.79xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $260.96, invalidation $278.7

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

32.3 / 17.9 / 27.1Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$222.54Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$278.37 / $296.95Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

1%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

30.6Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-1.104Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

1.0 / 6.4Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-99.0Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-199.1Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 3Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$11.29 (4.47%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 12.72%

-9%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$296.14 / $253.76Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$241.24 / $263.82Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

43.7Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-21.80%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.79xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$341.75Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$252.15Range

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