US stock / ETF

McDonald's Corporation

MCD · NYSE · USD

1 weekBearish92%
Weekly Downside probability 92%Bearish

MCD 1W chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

Weekly: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $288.43 and stabilize above resistance $341.75.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $341.75 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Weekly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 35.4, MACD -1.801

Weekly
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is $11.69 (4.35%)

Weekly

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$277.18Bearish
EMA 21$288.43Bearish
EMA 50$297.15Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 35.4 · MACD -1.801

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $11.69 · BB 24.65%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 35.1 · OBV -16.99%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$264.53 - $341.75

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+31.58% · 7.3 ATR above latest close

$353.44
Nearest resistance

+27.22% · 6.3 ATR above · 34-bar high

$341.75
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$268.62
Nearest support

-1.52% · 0.3 ATR below · 34-bar low

$264.53
Deeper support zone

-5.87% · 1.3 ATR below latest close

$252.84
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$256.93 - $280.31

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $264.53, invalidation $289.29

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

44.5 / 14.8 / 34.9Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$237.81Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$290.03 / $303.14Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

5%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$11.69 (4.35%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 24.65%

18%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$309.72 / $265.82Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$256.93 / $280.31Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$341.75Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$264.53Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

35.4Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-1.801Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

8.5 / 21.0Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-91.5Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-90.4Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 2Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

35.1Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-16.99%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.28xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $264.53, invalidation $289.29

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

44.5 / 14.8 / 34.9Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$237.81Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$290.03 / $303.14Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

5%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

35.4Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-1.801Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

8.5 / 21.0Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-91.5Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-90.4Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 2Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$11.69 (4.35%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 24.65%

18%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$309.72 / $265.82Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$256.93 / $280.31Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

35.1Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-16.99%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.28xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$341.75Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$264.53Range

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