US stock / ETF

McDonald's Corporation

MCD · NYSE · USD

1 weekBearish92%
Weekly Downside probability 92%Bearish

MCD 1W chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

Weekly: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $260.46 and stabilize above resistance $341.75.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $341.75 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Weekly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 37.9, MACD -0.971

Weekly
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is $10.41 (4.2%)

Weekly

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$246.43Bullish
EMA 21$260.46Bearish
EMA 50$278.21Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 37.9 · MACD -0.971

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $10.41 · BB 24.16%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 42.5 · OBV -34.54%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$229.61 - $341.75

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+42% · 10.0 ATR above latest close

$352.16
Nearest resistance

+37.8% · 9.0 ATR above · 34-bar high

$341.75
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$248
Nearest support

-7.42% · 1.8 ATR below · 34-bar low

$229.61
Deeper support zone

-11.61% · 2.8 ATR below latest close

$219.2
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$237.59 - $258.41

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $229.61, invalidation $278.7

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

28.7 / 18.1 / 29.9Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$216.48Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$257.7 / $285.68Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

31%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$10.41 (4.2%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 24.16%

29%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$279.61 / $239.39Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$237.59 / $258.41Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$341.75Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$229.61Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

37.9Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.971Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

37.5 / 24.8Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-62.5Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-72.8Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 1Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

42.5Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-34.54%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.84xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $229.61, invalidation $278.7

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

28.7 / 18.1 / 29.9Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$216.48Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$257.7 / $285.68Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

31%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

37.9Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.971Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

37.5 / 24.8Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-62.5Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-72.8Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 1Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$10.41 (4.2%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 24.16%

29%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$279.61 / $239.39Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$237.59 / $258.41Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

42.5Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-34.54%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.84xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$341.75Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$229.61Range

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