US stock / ETF

McDonald's Corporation

MCD · NYSE · USD

1 weekBearish92%
Weekly Downside probability 92%Bearish

MCD 1W chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

Weekly: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $266.41 and stabilize above resistance $341.75.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $341.75 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Weekly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 23.2, MACD -2.940

Weekly
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is $11.16 (4.81%)

Weekly

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$250.16Bearish
EMA 21$266.41Bearish
EMA 50$282.79Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 23.2 · MACD -2.940

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $11.16 · BB 21.78%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 34.0 · OBV -49.40%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$229.61 - $341.75

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+52.19% · 10.8 ATR above latest close

$352.91
Nearest resistance

+47.38% · 9.8 ATR above · 34-bar high

$341.75
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$231.89
Nearest support

-0.98% · 0.2 ATR below · 34-bar low

$229.61
Deeper support zone

-5.8% · 1.2 ATR below latest close

$218.45
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$220.73 - $243.05

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $260.96, invalidation $278.7

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

29.1 / 12.6 / 33.2Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$201.57Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$262.53 / $285.68Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

4%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$11.16 (4.81%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 21.78%

-10%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$286.51 / $244.39Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$220.73 / $243.05Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$341.75Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$229.61Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

23.2Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-2.940Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

4.0 / 3.3Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-96.0Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-222.1Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 6Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

34.0Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-49.40%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.30xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $260.96, invalidation $278.7

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

29.1 / 12.6 / 33.2Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$201.57Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$262.53 / $285.68Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

4%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

23.2Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-2.940Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

4.0 / 3.3Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-96.0Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-222.1Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 6Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$11.16 (4.81%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 21.78%

-10%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$286.51 / $244.39Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$220.73 / $243.05Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

34.0Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-49.40%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.30xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$341.75Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$229.61Range

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