US stock / ETF

McDonald's Corporation

MCD · NYSE · USD

1 weekBearish92%
Weekly Downside probability 92%Bearish

MCD 1W chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

Weekly: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $288.29 and stabilize above resistance $341.75.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $341.75 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Weekly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 34.8, MACD -1.902

Weekly
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is $11.69 (4.38%)

Weekly

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$276.82Bearish
EMA 21$288.29Bearish
EMA 50$297.09Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 34.8 · MACD -1.902

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $11.69 · BB 24.80%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 35.1 · OBV -17.03%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$264.53 - $341.75

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+32.36% · 7.4 ATR above latest close

$353.44
Nearest resistance

+27.98% · 6.4 ATR above · 34-bar high

$341.75
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$267.03
Nearest support

-0.94% · 0.2 ATR below · 34-bar low

$264.53
Deeper support zone

-5.31% · 1.2 ATR below latest close

$252.84
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$255.34 - $278.72

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $264.53, invalidation $289.29

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

44.5 / 14.8 / 34.9Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$237.81Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$290.03 / $303.14Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

3%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$11.69 (4.38%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 24.80%

16%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$309.57 / $265.67Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$255.34 / $278.72Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$341.75Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$264.53Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

34.8Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-1.902Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

5.2 / 19.9Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-94.8Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-92.3Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 2Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

35.1Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-17.03%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.29xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $264.53, invalidation $289.29

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

44.5 / 14.8 / 34.9Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$237.81Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$290.03 / $303.14Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

3%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

34.8Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-1.902Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

5.2 / 19.9Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-94.8Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-92.3Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 2Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$11.69 (4.38%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 24.80%

16%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$309.57 / $265.67Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$255.34 / $278.72Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

35.1Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-17.03%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.29xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$341.75Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$264.53Range

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