US stock / ETF

McDonald's Corporation

MCD · NYSE · USD

1 monthBearish65%
Monthly Downside probability 65%Bearish

MCD 1M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Monthly: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $297.92 and stabilize above resistance $341.4.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $341.4 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

Monthly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 42.7, MACD -5.026

Monthly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $22.08 (8.13%)

Monthly

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$295.75Bearish
EMA 21$297.92Bearish
EMA 50$282.6Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 42.7 · MACD -5.026

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $22.08 · BB 19.90%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 48.7 · OBV -108.42%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$243.61 - $341.4

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+33.84% · 4.2 ATR above latest close

$363.48
Nearest resistance

+25.71% · 3.2 ATR above · 34-bar high

$341.4
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$271.58
Nearest support

-10.3% · 1.3 ATR below · 34-bar low

$243.61
Deeper support zone

-18.43% · 2.3 ATR below latest close

$221.53
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$249.5 - $293.66

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $341.4, invalidation $292.18

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

18.0 / 15.4 / 23.9Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$211.19Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$299.26 / $279.54Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

1%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$22.08 (8.13%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 19.90%

-3%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$344 / $252.42Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$249.5 / $293.66Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$341.4Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$243.61Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

42.7Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-5.026Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

1.3 / 9.8Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-98.7Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-175.6Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 4Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

48.7Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-108.42%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.08xRange

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $341.4, invalidation $292.18

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

18.0 / 15.4 / 23.9Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$211.19Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$299.26 / $279.54Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

1%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

42.7Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-5.026Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

1.3 / 9.8Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-98.7Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-175.6Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 4Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$22.08 (8.13%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 19.90%

-3%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$344 / $252.42Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$249.5 / $293.66Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

48.7Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-108.42%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.08xRange

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$341.4Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$243.61Range

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