US stock / ETF

McDonald's Corporation

MCD · NYSE · USD

1 monthBearish69%
Monthly Downside probability 69%Bearish

MCD 1M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Monthly: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $295.18 and stabilize above resistance $341.75.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $341.75 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

Monthly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 41.9, MACD -6.135

Monthly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $23.11 (8.6%)

Monthly

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$289.5Bearish
EMA 21$295.18Bearish
EMA 50$280.57Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 41.9 · MACD -6.135

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $23.11 · BB 22.50%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 43.9 · OBV -36.49%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$243.53 - $341.75

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+35.83% · 4.2 ATR above latest close

$364.86
Nearest resistance

+27.22% · 3.2 ATR above · 34-bar high

$341.75
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$268.62
Nearest support

-9.34% · 1.1 ATR below · 34-bar low

$243.53
Deeper support zone

-17.94% · 2.1 ATR below latest close

$220.42
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$245.51 - $291.73

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $341.75, invalidation $292.04

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

18.4 / 14.5 / 24.5Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$205.04Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$297.89 / $285.05Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

5%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$23.11 (8.6%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 22.50%

1%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$342.8 / $247.82Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$245.51 / $291.73Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$341.75Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$243.53Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

41.9Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-6.135Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

5.3 / 7.7Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-94.7Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-169.7Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 5Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

43.9Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-36.49%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.45xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $341.75, invalidation $292.04

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

18.4 / 14.5 / 24.5Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$205.04Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$297.89 / $285.05Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

5%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

41.9Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-6.135Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

5.3 / 7.7Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-94.7Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-169.7Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 5Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$23.11 (8.6%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 22.50%

1%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$342.8 / $247.82Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$245.51 / $291.73Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

43.9Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-36.49%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.45xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$341.75Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$243.53Range

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