US stock / ETF

McDonald's Corporation

MCD · NYSE · USD

1 monthBearish65%
Monthly Downside probability 65%Bearish

MCD 1M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

Monthly: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $281.91 and stabilize above resistance $341.75.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $341.75 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

Monthly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 33.6, MACD -9.877

Monthly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $22.84 (9.85%)

Monthly

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$263.34Bearish
EMA 21$281.91Bearish
EMA 50$276.26Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 33.6 · MACD -9.877

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $22.84 · BB 37.74%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 29.4 · OBV -77.83%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$229.61 - $341.75

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+57.23% · 5.8 ATR above latest close

$364.59
Nearest resistance

+47.38% · 4.8 ATR above · 34-bar high

$341.75
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$231.89
Nearest support

-0.98% · 0.1 ATR below · 34-bar low

$229.61
Deeper support zone

-10.83% · 1.1 ATR below latest close

$206.77
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$209.05 - $254.73

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $341.75, invalidation $292.04

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

20.6 / 11.1 / 29.0Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$160.76Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$285.68 / $285.68Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

2%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$22.84 (9.85%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 37.74%

-6%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$328.71 / $234.13Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$209.05 / $254.73Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$341.75Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$229.61Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

33.6Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-9.877Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

2.0 / 2.3Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-98.0Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-212.6Bearish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 8Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

29.4Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-77.83%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.21xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $341.75, invalidation $292.04

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

20.6 / 11.1 / 29.0Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$160.76Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$285.68 / $285.68Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

2%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

33.6Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-9.877Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

2.0 / 2.3Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-98.0Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-212.6Bearish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 8Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$22.84 (9.85%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 37.74%

-6%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$328.71 / $234.13Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$209.05 / $254.73Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

29.4Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-77.83%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.21xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$341.75Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$229.61Range

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