US stock / ETF

McDonald's Corporation

MCD · NYSE · USD

1 monthBearish57%
Monthly Downside probability 57%Bearish

MCD 1M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

Monthly: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $293.15 and stabilize above resistance $341.75.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $341.75 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

Monthly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 42.5, MACD -6.284

Monthly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $22.23 (8.2%)

Monthly

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$285.73Bearish
EMA 21$293.15Bearish
EMA 50$280.27Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 42.5 · MACD -6.284

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $22.23 · BB 23.83%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 43.3 · OBV 9.54%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$243.53 - $341.75

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+34.33% · 4.2 ATR above latest close

$363.98
Nearest resistance

+26.13% · 3.2 ATR above · 34-bar high

$341.75
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$270.95
Nearest support

-10.12% · 1.2 ATR below · 34-bar low

$243.53
Deeper support zone

-18.32% · 2.2 ATR below latest close

$221.3
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$248.72 - $293.18

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $341.75, invalidation $292.04

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

18.7 / 15.1 / 19.7Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$200.76Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$297 / $285.05Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

12%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$22.23 (8.2%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 23.83%

8%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$340.22 / $246.11Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$248.72 / $293.18Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$341.75Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$243.53Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

42.5Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-6.284Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

12.4 / 10.6Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-87.6Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-158.6Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 6Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

43.3Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

9.54%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.76xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $341.75, invalidation $292.04

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

18.7 / 15.1 / 19.7Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$200.76Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$297 / $285.05Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

12%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

42.5Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-6.284Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

12.4 / 10.6Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-87.6Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-158.6Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 6Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$22.23 (8.2%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 23.83%

8%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$340.22 / $246.11Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$248.72 / $293.18Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

43.3Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

9.54%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.76xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$341.75Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$243.53Range

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