US stock / ETF

McDonald's Corporation

MCD · NYSE · USD

1 monthBearish58%
Monthly Downside probability 58%Bearish

MCD 1M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

Monthly: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $283.37 and stabilize above resistance $341.75.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $341.75 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

Monthly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 39.4, MACD -8.848

Monthly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $24.21 (9.76%)

Monthly

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$266.92Bearish
EMA 21$283.37Bearish
EMA 50$276.89Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 39.4 · MACD -8.848

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $24.21 · BB 35.43%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 34.4 · OBV -61.30%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$229.61 - $341.75

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+47.56% · 4.9 ATR above latest close

$365.96
Nearest resistance

+37.8% · 3.9 ATR above · 34-bar high

$341.75
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$248
Nearest support

-7.42% · 0.8 ATR below · 34-bar low

$229.61
Deeper support zone

-17.18% · 1.8 ATR below latest close

$205.4
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$223.79 - $272.21

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $341.75, invalidation $292.04

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

20.6 / 10.5 / 27.4Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$164.58Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$285.68 / $285.68Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

16%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$24.21 (9.76%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 35.43%

5%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$334.06 / $231.85Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$223.79 / $272.21Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$341.75Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$229.61Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

39.4Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-8.848Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

16.4 / 7.1Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-83.6Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-182.6Bearish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 8Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

34.4Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-61.30%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.07xRange

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $341.75, invalidation $292.04

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

20.6 / 10.5 / 27.4Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$164.58Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$285.68 / $285.68Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

16%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

39.4Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-8.848Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

16.4 / 7.1Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-83.6Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-182.6Bearish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 8Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$24.21 (9.76%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 35.43%

5%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$334.06 / $231.85Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$223.79 / $272.21Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

34.4Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-61.30%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.07xRange

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$341.75Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$229.61Range

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