US stock / ETF

McDonald's Corporation

MCD · NYSE · USD

1 monthBearish69%
Monthly Downside probability 69%Bearish

MCD 1M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Monthly: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $288.87 and stabilize above resistance $341.75.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $341.75 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

Monthly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 37.7, MACD -7.603

Monthly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $22.34 (8.85%)

Monthly

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$277.13Bearish
EMA 21$288.87Bearish
EMA 50$278.91Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 37.7 · MACD -7.603

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $22.34 · BB 28.41%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 37.0 · OBV -36.77%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$243.53 - $341.75

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+44.18% · 5.0 ATR above latest close

$364.09
Nearest resistance

+35.33% · 4.0 ATR above · 34-bar high

$341.75
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$252.53
Nearest support

-3.56% · 0.4 ATR below · 34-bar low

$243.53
Deeper support zone

-12.41% · 1.4 ATR below latest close

$221.19
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$230.19 - $274.87

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $341.75, invalidation $292.04

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

18.6 / 15.0 / 22.4Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$188.36Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$296.95 / $286.17Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

0%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$22.34 (8.85%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 28.41%

-5%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$335.33 / $242.05Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$230.19 / $274.87Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$341.75Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$243.53Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

37.7Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-7.603Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

0.4 / 5.8Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-99.6Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-196.2Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 7Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

37.0Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-36.77%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.46xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $341.75, invalidation $292.04

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

18.6 / 15.0 / 22.4Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$188.36Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$296.95 / $286.17Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

0%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

37.7Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-7.603Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

0.4 / 5.8Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-99.6Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-196.2Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 7Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$22.34 (8.85%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 28.41%

-5%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$335.33 / $242.05Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$230.19 / $274.87Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

37.0Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-36.77%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.46xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$341.75Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$243.53Range

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