US stock / ETF

McDonald's Corporation

MCD · NYSE · USD

1 monthBearish62%
Monthly Downside probability 62%Bearish

MCD 1M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

Monthly: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $283.32 and stabilize above resistance $341.75.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $341.75 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

Monthly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 47.0, MACD -6.296

Monthly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $25.2 (9.21%)

Monthly

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$270.16Bullish
EMA 21$283.32Bearish
EMA 50$277.14Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 47.0 · MACD -6.296

Neutral zone

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $25.2 · BB 34.61%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 40.7 · OBV -87.14%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$229.61 - $341.75

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+34.1% · 3.7 ATR above latest close

$366.95
Nearest resistance

+24.89% · 2.7 ATR above · 34-bar high

$341.75
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$273.63
Nearest support

-16.09% · 1.7 ATR below · 34-bar low

$229.61
Deeper support zone

-25.3% · 2.7 ATR below latest close

$204.41
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$248.43 - $298.83

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $341.75, invalidation $292.04

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

20.0 / 15.2 / 26.3Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$190.08Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$285.68 / $285.68Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

39%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$25.2 (9.21%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 34.61%

31%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$337.31 / $228.56Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$248.43 / $298.83Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$341.75Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$229.61Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

47.0Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-6.296Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

39.3 / 21.6Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-60.7Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-73.5Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 1Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

40.7Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-87.14%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.65xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $341.75, invalidation $292.04

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

20.0 / 15.2 / 26.3Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$190.08Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$285.68 / $285.68Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

39%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

47.0Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-6.296Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

39.3 / 21.6Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-60.7Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-73.5Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 1Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$25.2 (9.21%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 34.61%

31%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$337.31 / $228.56Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$248.43 / $298.83Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

40.7Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-87.14%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.65xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$341.75Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$229.61Range

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