US stock / ETF

The Hershey Company

HSY · NYSE · USD

4 hoursBearish77%
4h Downside probability 77%Bearish

HSY 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $173.22 and stabilize above resistance $183.38.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $183.38 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 43.8, MACD 0.190

4h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $1.88 (1.09%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$172.69Bearish
EMA 21$173.22Bearish
EMA 50$174.98Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 43.8 · MACD 0.190

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $1.88 · BB 4.24%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 28.8 · OBV -23.24%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$169.58 - $183.38

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+7.92% · 7.2 ATR above latest close

$185.26
Nearest resistance

+6.83% · 6.2 ATR above · 34-bar high

$183.38
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$171.66
Nearest support

-1.21% · 1.1 ATR below · 34-bar low

$169.58
Deeper support zone

-2.31% · 2.1 ATR below latest close

$167.7
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$169.79 - $173.54

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $177.3, invalidation $169.58

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

18.3 / 31.7 / 39.7Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$165.9Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$173.54 / $176.48Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

27%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$1.88 (1.09%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 4.24%

33%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$176.92 / $169.4Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$169.79 / $173.54Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$183.38Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$169.58Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

43.8Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.190Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

27.0 / 37.7Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-73.0Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-57.7Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 2Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

28.8Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-23.24%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.96xRange

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $177.3, invalidation $169.58

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

18.3 / 31.7 / 39.7Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$165.9Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$173.54 / $176.48Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

27%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

43.8Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.190Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

27.0 / 37.7Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-73.0Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-57.7Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 2Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$1.88 (1.09%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 4.24%

33%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$176.92 / $169.4Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$169.79 / $173.54Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

28.8Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-23.24%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.96xRange

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$183.38Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$169.58Range

Related Forecasts