US stock / ETF

The Hershey Company

HSY · NYSE · USD

1 weekBearish85%
Weekly Downside probability 85%Bearish

HSY 1W chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

Weekly: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $176.68 and stabilize above resistance $239.48.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $239.48 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Weekly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 34.5, MACD -1.508

Weekly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $8.65 (5.38%)

Weekly

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$168.61Bearish
EMA 21$176.68Bearish
EMA 50$182.86Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 34.5 · MACD -1.508

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $8.65 · BB 18.81%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 38.5 · OBV -16.43%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$156.16 - $239.48

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+54.31% · 10.1 ATR above latest close

$248.13
Nearest resistance

+48.93% · 9.1 ATR above · 34-bar high

$239.48
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$160.8
Nearest support

-2.89% · 0.5 ATR below · 34-bar low

$156.16
Deeper support zone

-8.27% · 1.5 ATR below latest close

$147.51
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$152.15 - $169.45

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $190.46, invalidation $168.8

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

24.9 / 15.8 / 26.0Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$136.93Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$176.04 / $197.82Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

11%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$8.65 (5.38%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 18.81%

3%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$192.06 / $160.38Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$152.15 / $169.45Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$239.48Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$156.16Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

34.5Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-1.508Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

13.5 / 8.9Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-86.5Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-175.4Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 6Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

38.5Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-16.43%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.29xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $190.46, invalidation $168.8

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

24.9 / 15.8 / 26.0Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$136.93Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$176.04 / $197.82Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

11%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

34.5Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-1.508Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

13.5 / 8.9Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-86.5Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-175.4Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 6Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$8.65 (5.38%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 18.81%

3%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$192.06 / $160.38Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$152.15 / $169.45Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

38.5Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-16.43%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.29xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$239.48Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$156.16Range

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