US stock / ETF

The Hershey Company

HSY · NYSE · USD

1 monthBearish85%
Monthly Downside probability 85%Bearish

HSY 1M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Monthly: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $181.76 and stabilize above resistance $239.48.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $239.48 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Monthly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 42.7, MACD -2.738

Monthly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $23.58 (14.66%)

Monthly

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$174.87Bearish
EMA 21$181.76Bearish
EMA 50$182.68Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 42.7 · MACD -2.738

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $23.58 · BB 39.37%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 43.3 · OBV -63.96%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$140.13 - $239.48

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+63.59% · 4.3 ATR above latest close

$263.06
Nearest resistance

+48.93% · 3.3 ATR above · 34-bar high

$239.48
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$160.8
Nearest support

-12.85% · 0.9 ATR below · 34-bar low

$140.13
Deeper support zone

-27.52% · 1.9 ATR below latest close

$116.55
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$137.22 - $184.38

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $239.48, invalidation $167.77

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

17.5 / 16.6 / 23.2Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$87.04Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$193.81 / $208.51Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

12%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$23.58 (14.66%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 39.37%

21%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$229.43 / $133.47Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$137.22 / $184.38Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$239.48Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$140.13Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

42.7Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-2.738Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

5.6 / 9.3Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-94.4Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-128.8Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 6Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

43.3Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-63.96%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.16xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $239.48, invalidation $167.77

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

17.5 / 16.6 / 23.2Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$87.04Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$193.81 / $208.51Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

12%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

42.7Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-2.738Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

5.6 / 9.3Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-94.4Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-128.8Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 6Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$23.58 (14.66%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 39.37%

21%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$229.43 / $133.47Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$137.22 / $184.38Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

43.3Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-63.96%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.16xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$239.48Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$140.13Range

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