US stock / ETF

Factset Research Systems

FDS · NYSE · USD

1 monthBearish92%
Monthly Downside probability 92%Bearish

FDS 1M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Monthly: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $311.47 and stabilize above resistance $499.87.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $499.87 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Monthly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 42.6, MACD -2.964

Monthly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $50.79 (17.79%)

Monthly

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$262.95Bullish
EMA 21$311.47Bearish
EMA 50$351.24Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 42.6 · MACD -2.964

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $50.79 · BB 114.67%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 40.8 · OBV -19.88%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$185 - $499.87

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+92.83% · 5.2 ATR above latest close

$550.66
Nearest resistance

+75.04% · 4.2 ATR above · 34-bar high

$499.87
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$285.57
Nearest support

-35.22% · 2.0 ATR below · 34-bar low

$185
Deeper support zone

-53% · 3.0 ATR below latest close

$134.21
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$234.78 - $336.36

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $185, invalidation $306.1

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

54.5 / 12.1 / 36.9Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$130.59Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$293.99 / $342.44Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

34%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$50.79 (17.79%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 114.67%

39%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$404.93 / $211.57Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$234.78 / $336.36Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$499.87Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$185Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

42.6Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-2.964Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

37.5 / 27.3Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-62.5Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-38.7Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 3Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

40.8Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-19.88%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.28xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $185, invalidation $306.1

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

54.5 / 12.1 / 36.9Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$130.59Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$293.99 / $342.44Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

34%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

42.6Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-2.964Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

37.5 / 27.3Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-62.5Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-38.7Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 3Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$50.79 (17.79%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 114.67%

39%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$404.93 / $211.57Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$234.78 / $336.36Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

40.8Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-19.88%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.28xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$499.87Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$185Range

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