US stock / ETF

Factset Research Systems

FDS · NYSE · USD

1 monthBearish92%
Monthly Downside probability 92%Bearish

FDS 1M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Monthly: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $313.59 and stabilize above resistance $499.87.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $499.87 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Monthly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 37.0, MACD -8.654

Monthly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $50.17 (19.44%)

Monthly

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$255.35Bullish
EMA 21$313.59Bearish
EMA 50$353.72Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 37.0 · MACD -8.654

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $50.17 · BB 117.63%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 35.3 · OBV -38.63%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$185 - $499.87

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+113.12% · 5.8 ATR above latest close

$550.04
Nearest resistance

+93.68% · 4.8 ATR above · 34-bar high

$499.87
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$258.09
Nearest support

-28.32% · 1.5 ATR below · 34-bar low

$185
Deeper support zone

-47.76% · 2.5 ATR below latest close

$134.83
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$207.92 - $308.26

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $185, invalidation $306.1

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

51.7 / 8.9 / 38.4Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$105.79Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$293.99 / $342.44Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

23%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$50.17 (19.44%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 117.63%

30%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$403.31 / $217Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$207.92 / $308.26Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$499.87Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$185Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

37.0Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-8.654Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

26.9 / 21.1Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-73.1Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-63.9Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 2Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

35.3Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-38.63%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.80xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $185, invalidation $306.1

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

51.7 / 8.9 / 38.4Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$105.79Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$293.99 / $342.44Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

23%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

37.0Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-8.654Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

26.9 / 21.1Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-73.1Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-63.9Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 2Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$50.17 (19.44%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 117.63%

30%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$403.31 / $217Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$207.92 / $308.26Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

35.3Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-38.63%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.80xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$499.87Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$185Range

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