US stock / ETF

Factset Research Systems

FDS · NYSE · USD

1 monthBearish87%
Monthly Downside probability 87%Bearish

FDS 1M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Monthly: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $310.24 and stabilize above resistance $499.87.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $499.87 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Monthly
Momentum StateRange
Momentum mixed

RSI 42.4, MACD 1.297

Monthly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $52.58 (18.86%)

Monthly

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$270.11Bullish
EMA 21$310.24Bearish
EMA 50$349.19Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 42.4 · MACD 1.297

Momentum is weak

Strength
Range
Volatility
ATR $52.58 · BB 110.32%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 44.0 · OBV -13.62%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$185 - $499.87

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+98.12% · 5.2 ATR above latest close

$552.45
Nearest resistance

+79.26% · 4.2 ATR above · 34-bar high

$499.87
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$278.85
Nearest support

-33.66% · 1.8 ATR below · 34-bar low

$185
Deeper support zone

-52.51% · 2.8 ATR below latest close

$132.42
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$226.27 - $331.43

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $185, invalidation $306.1

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

56.1 / 15.1 / 32.0Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$126.3Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$297.59 / $342.44Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

32%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$52.58 (18.86%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 110.32%

38%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$415.18 / $199.35Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$226.27 / $331.43Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$499.87Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$185Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

42.4Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

1.297Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

42.8 / 39.0Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-57.2Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-30.3Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 4Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

44.0Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-13.62%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.60xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $185, invalidation $306.1

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

56.1 / 15.1 / 32.0Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$126.3Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$297.59 / $342.44Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

32%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

42.4Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

1.297Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

42.8 / 39.0Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-57.2Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-30.3Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 4Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$52.58 (18.86%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 110.32%

38%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$415.18 / $199.35Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$226.27 / $331.43Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

44.0Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-13.62%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.60xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$499.87Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$185Range

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