US stock / ETF

Factset Research Systems

FDS · NYSE · USD

1 monthBearish92%
Monthly Downside probability 92%Bearish

FDS 1M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Monthly: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $319.23 and stabilize above resistance $498.86.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $498.86 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Monthly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 30.7, MACD -13.177

Monthly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $49.29 (21.27%)

Monthly

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$254.93Bearish
EMA 21$319.23Bearish
EMA 50$361.34Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 30.7 · MACD -13.177

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $49.29 · BB 117.67%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 35.5 · OBV -79.12%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$185.04 - $498.86

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+136.58% · 6.4 ATR above latest close

$548.15
Nearest resistance

+115.3% · 5.4 ATR above · 34-bar high

$498.86
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$231.7
Nearest support

-20.14% · 0.9 ATR below · 34-bar low

$185.04
Deeper support zone

-41.41% · 1.9 ATR below latest close

$135.75
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$182.41 - $280.99

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $185.04, invalidation $305.55

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

49.4 / 11.2 / 39.2Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$88.41Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$293.62 / $341.95Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

15%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$49.29 (21.27%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 117.67%

21%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$416.88 / $214.6Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$182.41 / $280.99Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$498.86Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$185.04Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

30.7Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-13.177Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

16.1 / 17.3Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-83.9Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-78.8Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 1Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

35.5Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-79.12%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.31xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $185.04, invalidation $305.55

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

49.4 / 11.2 / 39.2Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$88.41Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$293.62 / $341.95Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

15%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

30.7Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-13.177Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

16.1 / 17.3Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-83.9Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-78.8Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 1Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$49.29 (21.27%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 117.67%

21%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$416.88 / $214.6Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$182.41 / $280.99Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

35.5Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-79.12%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.31xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$498.86Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$185.04Range

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