US stock / ETF

Factset Research Systems

FDS · NYSE · USD

1 monthBearish85%
Monthly Downside probability 85%Bearish

FDS 1M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Monthly: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $313.37 and stabilize above resistance $499.87.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $499.87 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Monthly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 46.3, MACD -1.627

Monthly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $52.41 (17.1%)

Monthly

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$267.61Bullish
EMA 21$313.37Bearish
EMA 50$352.06Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 46.3 · MACD -1.627

Neutral zone

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $52.41 · BB 113.87%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 43.5 · OBV -8.27%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$185 - $499.87

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+80.17% · 4.7 ATR above latest close

$552.28
Nearest resistance

+63.07% · 3.7 ATR above · 34-bar high

$499.87
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$306.53
Nearest support

-39.65% · 2.3 ATR below · 34-bar low

$185
Deeper support zone

-56.74% · 3.3 ATR below latest close

$132.59
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$254.12 - $358.94

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $185, invalidation $306.1

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

54.1 / 13.6 / 35.8Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$135.13Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$294.82 / $342.44Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

41%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$52.41 (17.1%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 113.87%

44%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$411.46 / $209.04Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$254.12 / $358.94Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$499.87Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$185Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

46.3Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-1.627Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

45.3 / 29.9Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-54.7Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-28.3Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 3Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

43.5Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-8.27%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.95xRange

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $185, invalidation $306.1

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

54.1 / 13.6 / 35.8Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$135.13Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$294.82 / $342.44Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

41%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

46.3Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-1.627Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

45.3 / 29.9Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-54.7Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-28.3Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 3Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$52.41 (17.1%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 113.87%

44%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$411.46 / $209.04Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$254.12 / $358.94Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

43.5Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-8.27%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.95xRange

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$499.87Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$185Range

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