Cryptocurrency

Ethereum / Bitcoin

ETHBTC · Binance · BTC

1 monthBearish71%
Monthly Downside probability 71%Bearish

ETHBTC 1M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

Monthly: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover 0.0332 and stabilize above resistance 0.0626.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above 0.0626 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Monthly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 42.1, MACD 0.001

Monthly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is 0.005232 (18.04%)

Monthly

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 80.0295Bearish
EMA 210.0332Bearish
EMA 500.0416Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 42.1 · MACD 0.001

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR 0.005232 · BB 69.57%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 47.7 · OBV -9898.33%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
0.0177 - 0.0626

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+133.72% · 7.4 ATR above latest close

0.0678
Nearest resistance

+115.68% · 6.4 ATR above · 34-bar high

0.0626
Current price

Price shown is delayed

0.0290
Nearest support

-39.12% · 2.2 ATR below · 34-bar low

0.0177
Deeper support zone

-57.16% · 3.2 ATR below latest close

0.0124
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

0.0238 - 0.0342

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation 0.0321, invalidation 0.0283

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

21.5 / 27.4 / 17.0Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

0.0165Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

0.0341 / 0.0516Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

44%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

0.005232 (18.04%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 69.57%

46%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

0.0406 / 0.0251Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

0.0238 / 0.0342Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

0.0626Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

0.0177Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

42.1Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.001Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

34.8 / 35.2Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-65.2Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-26.7Range
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 8Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

47.7Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-9898.33%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.14xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation 0.0321, invalidation 0.0283

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

21.5 / 27.4 / 17.0Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

0.0165Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

0.0341 / 0.0516Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

44%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

42.1Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.001Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

34.8 / 35.2Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-65.2Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-26.7Range
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 8Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

0.005232 (18.04%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 69.57%

46%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

0.0406 / 0.0251Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

0.0238 / 0.0342Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

47.7Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-9898.33%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.14xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

0.0626Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

0.0177Range

Related Forecasts