Cryptocurrency

Ethereum / Bitcoin

ETHBTC · Binance · BTC

1 monthBearish89%
Monthly Downside probability 89%Bearish

ETHBTC 1M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

Monthly: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover 0.0322 and stabilize above resistance 0.0605.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above 0.0605 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Monthly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 41.9, MACD 0.001

Monthly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is 0.003840 (13.69%)

Monthly

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 80.0297Bearish
EMA 210.0322Bearish
EMA 500.0413Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 41.9 · MACD 0.001

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR 0.003840 · BB 62.17%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 30.6 · OBV -7.55%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
0.0177 - 0.0605

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+129.38% · 9.5 ATR above latest close

0.0643
Nearest resistance

+115.69% · 8.5 ATR above · 34-bar high

0.0605
Current price

Price shown is delayed

0.0280
Nearest support

-37.04% · 2.7 ATR below · 34-bar low

0.0177
Deeper support zone

-50.73% · 3.7 ATR below latest close

0.0138
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

0.0242 - 0.0319

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation 0.0253, invalidation 0.0321

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

18.7 / 13.1 / 28.9Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

0.0192Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

0.0299 / 0.0516Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

41%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

0.003840 (13.69%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 62.17%

39%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

0.0385 / 0.0254Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

0.0242 / 0.0319Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

0.0605Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

0.0177Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

41.9Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.001Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

21.8 / 28.0Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-78.2Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-28.0Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

30.6Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-7.55%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.17xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation 0.0253, invalidation 0.0321

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

18.7 / 13.1 / 28.9Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

0.0192Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

0.0299 / 0.0516Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

41%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

41.9Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.001Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

21.8 / 28.0Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-78.2Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-28.0Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

0.003840 (13.69%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 62.17%

39%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

0.0385 / 0.0254Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

0.0242 / 0.0319Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

30.6Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-7.55%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.17xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

0.0605Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

0.0177Range

Related Forecasts