Cryptocurrency

Ethereum / Bitcoin

ETHBTC · Binance · BTC

1 monthBearish65%
Monthly Downside probability 65%Bearish

ETHBTC 1M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

Monthly: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover 0.0331 and stabilize above resistance 0.0612.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above 0.0612 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Monthly
Momentum StateBullish
Momentum improving

RSI 45.9, MACD 0.001

Monthly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is 0.005256 (16.5%)

Monthly

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 80.0301Bullish
EMA 210.0331Bearish
EMA 500.0416Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 45.9 · MACD 0.001

Neutral zone

Strength
Bullish
Volatility
ATR 0.005256 · BB 67.92%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 45.9 · OBV -29.32%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
0.0177 - 0.0612

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+108.56% · 6.6 ATR above latest close

0.0664
Nearest resistance

+92.06% · 5.6 ATR above · 34-bar high

0.0612
Current price

Price shown is delayed

0.0319
Nearest support

-44.55% · 2.7 ATR below · 34-bar low

0.0177
Deeper support zone

-61.05% · 3.7 ATR below latest close

0.0124
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

0.0266 - 0.0371

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation 0.0253, invalidation 0.0321

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

19.5 / 32.7 / 16.9Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

0.0199Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

0.0338 / 0.0516Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

55%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

0.005256 (16.5%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 67.92%

61%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

0.0403 / 0.0252Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

0.0266 / 0.0371Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

0.0612Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

0.0177Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

45.9Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.001Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

44.8 / 38.6Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-55.2Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

29.4Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 1Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

45.9Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-29.32%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.24xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation 0.0253, invalidation 0.0321

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

19.5 / 32.7 / 16.9Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

0.0199Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

0.0338 / 0.0516Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

55%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

45.9Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.001Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

44.8 / 38.6Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-55.2Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

29.4Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 1Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

0.005256 (16.5%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 67.92%

61%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

0.0403 / 0.0252Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

0.0266 / 0.0371Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

45.9Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-29.32%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.24xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

0.0612Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

0.0177Range

Related Forecasts