US stock / ETF

New Oriental Education and Technology Group, Inc.

EDU · NYSE · USD

4 hoursBearish57%
4h Downside probability 57%Bearish

EDU 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $56.09 and stabilize above resistance $59.51.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $59.51 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 41.5, MACD 0.001

4h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $0.4054 (0.73%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$55.83Bearish
EMA 21$56.09Bearish
EMA 50$56.44Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 41.5 · MACD 0.001

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $0.4054 · BB 4.94%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 39.6 · OBV -3.41%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$54.47 - $59.51

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+7.82% · 10.7 ATR above latest close

$59.92
Nearest resistance

+7.09% · 9.7 ATR above · 34-bar high

$59.51
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$55.57
Nearest support

-1.98% · 2.7 ATR below · 34-bar low

$54.47
Deeper support zone

-2.71% · 3.7 ATR below latest close

$54.06
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$55.16 - $55.98

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $56.83, invalidation $56.01

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

36.4 / 42.6 / 25.5Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$54.45Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$55.99 / $57.33Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

41%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$0.4054 (0.73%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 4.94%

38%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$56.85 / $55.28Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$55.16 / $55.98Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$59.51Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$54.47Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

41.5Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.001Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

3.7 / 9.2Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-96.3Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-39.0Range
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 10Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

39.6Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-3.41%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.48xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $56.83, invalidation $56.01

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

36.4 / 42.6 / 25.5Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$54.45Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$55.99 / $57.33Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

41%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

41.5Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.001Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

3.7 / 9.2Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-96.3Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-39.0Range
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 10Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$0.4054 (0.73%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 4.94%

38%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$56.85 / $55.28Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$55.16 / $55.98Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

39.6Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-3.41%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.48xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$59.51Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$54.47Range

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