US stock / ETF

New Oriental Education and Technology Group, Inc.

EDU · NYSE · USD

1 weekBearish78%
Weekly Downside probability 78%Bearish

EDU 1W chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

Weekly: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $50.34 and stabilize above resistance $64.97.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $64.97 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Weekly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 45.9, MACD -0.267

Weekly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $3.73 (7.58%)

Weekly

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$48.1Bullish
EMA 21$50.34Bearish
EMA 50$52.42Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 45.9 · MACD -0.267

Neutral zone

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $3.73 · BB 33.44%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 43.4 · OBV 2.67%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$44.25 - $64.97

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+39.77% · 5.2 ATR above latest close

$68.7
Nearest resistance

+32.19% · 4.2 ATR above · 34-bar high

$64.97
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$49.15
Nearest support

-9.97% · 1.3 ATR below · 34-bar low

$44.25
Deeper support zone

-17.55% · 2.3 ATR below latest close

$40.52
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$45.42 - $52.88

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $59.83, invalidation $44.25

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

25.8 / 13.7 / 25.1Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$40.98Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$51.25 / $53.3Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

31%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$3.73 (7.58%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 33.44%

39%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$56.12 / $44.3Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$45.42 / $52.88Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$64.97Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$44.25Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

45.9Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.267Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

31.5 / 25.6Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-68.5Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-28.7Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 4Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

43.4Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

2.67%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.19xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $59.83, invalidation $44.25

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

25.8 / 13.7 / 25.1Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$40.98Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$51.25 / $53.3Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

31%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

45.9Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.267Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

31.5 / 25.6Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-68.5Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-28.7Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 4Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$3.73 (7.58%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 33.44%

39%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$56.12 / $44.3Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$45.42 / $52.88Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

43.4Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

2.67%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.19xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$64.97Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$44.25Range

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