US stock / ETF

New Oriental Education and Technology Group, Inc.

EDU · NYSE · USD

3 monthsBearish60%
3M Downside probability 60%Bearish

EDU 3M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

3M: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $63.83 and stabilize above resistance $199.74.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $199.74 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

3M
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 42.0, MACD --

3M
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $18.97 (38.59%)

3M

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$53.72Bearish
EMA 21$63.83Bearish
EMA 50--Range

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 42.0 · MACD --

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $18.97 · BB 162.67%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 43.5 · OBV 156.41%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$8.4 - $199.74

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+344.98% · 8.9 ATR above latest close

$218.71
Nearest resistance

+306.39% · 7.9 ATR above · 29-bar high

$199.74
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$49.15
Nearest support

-82.91% · 2.1 ATR below · 29-bar low

$8.4
Deeper support zone

-121.5% · 3.1 ATR below latest close

-$10.57
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$30.18 - $68.12

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $64.97, invalidation $44.25

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

28.6 / 22.8 / 13.3Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

-$4.17Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$84.02 / --Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

45%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$18.97 (38.59%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 162.67%

50%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$98.46 / $28.29Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$30.18 / $68.12Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$199.74Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$8.4Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

42.0Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

--Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

21.5 / 29.8Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-78.5Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-1.9Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 2Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

43.5Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

156.41%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.06xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $64.97, invalidation $44.25

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

28.6 / 22.8 / 13.3Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

-$4.17Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$84.02 / --Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

45%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

42.0Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

--Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

21.5 / 29.8Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-78.5Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-1.9Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 2Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$18.97 (38.59%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 162.67%

50%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$98.46 / $28.29Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$30.18 / $68.12Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

43.5Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

156.41%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.06xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$199.74Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$8.4Range

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