US stock / ETF

Dollar Tree Inc.

DLTR · NASDAQ · USD

4 hoursBearish76%
4h Downside probability 76%Bearish

DLTR 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $116.74 and stabilize above resistance $133.63.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $133.63 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateRange
Momentum mixed

RSI 35.1, MACD 0.041

4h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Low volatility

ATR is $2 (1.76%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$113.7Bearish
EMA 21$116.74Bearish
EMA 50$121.53Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 35.1 · MACD 0.041

Momentum is weak

Strength
Range
Volatility
ATR $2 · BB 10.02%

Low volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 31.3 · OBV 16.81%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$111.43 - $133.63

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+19.78% · 11.2 ATR above latest close

$135.63
Nearest resistance

+18.02% · 10.2 ATR above · 34-bar high

$133.63
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$113.23
Nearest support

-1.59% · 0.9 ATR below · 34-bar low

$111.43
Deeper support zone

-3.35% · 1.9 ATR below latest close

$109.43
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$111.23 - $115.23

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $111.43, invalidation $115.07

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

40.5 / 18.0 / 35.2Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$106.29Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$118.06 / $123.06Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

19%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$2 (1.76%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 10.02%

25%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$120.9 / $112.11Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$111.23 / $115.23Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$133.63Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$111.43Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

35.1Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.041Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

19.2 / 18.4Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-80.8Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-85.0Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

31.3Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

16.81%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.52xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $111.43, invalidation $115.07

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

40.5 / 18.0 / 35.2Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$106.29Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$118.06 / $123.06Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

19%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

35.1Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.041Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

19.2 / 18.4Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-80.8Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-85.0Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$2 (1.76%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 10.02%

25%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$120.9 / $112.11Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$111.23 / $115.23Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

31.3Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

16.81%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.52xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$133.63Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$111.43Range

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