US stock / ETF

Dollar Tree Inc.

DLTR · NASDAQ · USD

4 hoursBearish70%
4h Downside probability 70%Bearish

DLTR 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

4h: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $124.58 and stabilize above resistance $131.04.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $131.04 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 47.9, MACD -0.537

4h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Low volatility

ATR is $2.1 (1.69%)

4h

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$124.42Bearish
EMA 21$124.58Bearish
EMA 50$122.69Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 47.9 · MACD -0.537

Neutral zone

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $2.1 · BB 5.58%

Low volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 40.2 · OBV 3.89%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$118.44 - $131.04

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+7.61% · 4.5 ATR above latest close

$133.14
Nearest resistance

+5.92% · 3.5 ATR above · 34-bar high

$131.04
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$123.72
Nearest support

-4.27% · 2.5 ATR below · 34-bar low

$118.44
Deeper support zone

-5.96% · 3.5 ATR below latest close

$116.34
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$121.62 - $125.81

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $122.69, invalidation $126

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

27.4 / 22.4 / 40.0Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$117.33Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$125.59 / $123.5Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

12%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$2.1 (1.69%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 5.58%

26%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$128.86 / $120.39Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$121.62 / $125.81Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$131.04Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$118.44Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

47.9Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.537Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

12.3 / 14.5Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-87.7Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-97.7Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 1Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

40.2Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

3.89%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

3.03xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $122.69, invalidation $126

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

27.4 / 22.4 / 40.0Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$117.33Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$125.59 / $123.5Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

12%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

47.9Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.537Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

12.3 / 14.5Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-87.7Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-97.7Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 1Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$2.1 (1.69%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 5.58%

26%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$128.86 / $120.39Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$121.62 / $125.81Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

40.2Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

3.89%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

3.03xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$131.04Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$118.44Range

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