US stock / ETF

Dollar Tree Inc.

DLTR · NASDAQ · USD

4 hoursBearish87%
4h Downside probability 87%Bearish

DLTR 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

4h: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $130.32 and stabilize above resistance $140.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $140 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 39.5, MACD -0.889

4h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is $3.84 (3.05%)

4h

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$128.49Bearish
EMA 21$130.32Bearish
EMA 50$130.32Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 39.5 · MACD -0.889

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $3.84 · BB 10.67%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 23.3 · OBV 96.42%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$118.11 - $140

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+14.09% · 4.6 ATR above latest close

$143.84
Nearest resistance

+11.04% · 3.6 ATR above · 34-bar high

$140
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$126.08
Nearest support

-6.32% · 2.1 ATR below · 34-bar low

$118.11
Deeper support zone

-9.37% · 3.1 ATR below latest close

$114.27
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$122.24 - $129.92

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $118.11, invalidation $134.13

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

30.6 / 6.7 / 44.0Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$113.62Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$127.61 / $129.06Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

36%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$3.84 (3.05%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 10.67%

10%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$138.8 / $121.72Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$122.24 / $129.92Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$140Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$118.11Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

39.5Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.889Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

36.4 / 41.2Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-63.6Range
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-120.8Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

23.3Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

96.42%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.19xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $118.11, invalidation $134.13

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

30.6 / 6.7 / 44.0Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$113.62Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$127.61 / $129.06Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

36%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

39.5Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.889Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

36.4 / 41.2Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-63.6Range
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-120.8Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$3.84 (3.05%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 10.67%

10%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$138.8 / $121.72Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$122.24 / $129.92Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

23.3Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

96.42%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.19xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$140Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$118.11Range

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