US stock / ETF

Dollar Tree Inc.

DLTR · NASDAQ · USD

4 hoursBearish55%
4h Downside probability 55%Bearish

DLTR 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bullish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $126.56 and stabilize above resistance $132.21.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $132.21 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBullish
Constructive Trend

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 49.8, MACD -0.180

4h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Low volatility

ATR is $1.9 (1.51%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bullish
EMA 8$127.55Bearish
EMA 21$126.56Bearish
EMA 50$123.86Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 49.8 · MACD -0.180

Neutral zone

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $1.9 · BB 5.58%

Low volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 37.8 · OBV -17.44%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$120.75 - $132.21

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+6.49% · 4.3 ATR above latest close

$134.12
Nearest resistance

+4.98% · 3.3 ATR above · 34-bar high

$132.21
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$125.94
Nearest support

-4.12% · 2.7 ATR below · 34-bar low

$120.75
Deeper support zone

-5.63% · 3.7 ATR below latest close

$118.85
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$124.04 - $127.85

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $132.21, invalidation $126

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

42.1 / 42.5 / 22.8Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$120.09Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$127.82 / $125.48Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

26%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$1.9 (1.51%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 5.58%

38%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$130.56 / $122.75Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$124.04 / $127.85Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$132.21Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$120.75Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

49.8Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.180Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

25.5 / 46.8Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-74.5Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-42.2Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 2Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

37.8Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-17.44%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.12xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $132.21, invalidation $126

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

42.1 / 42.5 / 22.8Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$120.09Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$127.82 / $125.48Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

26%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

49.8Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.180Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

25.5 / 46.8Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-74.5Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-42.2Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 2Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$1.9 (1.51%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 5.58%

38%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$130.56 / $122.75Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$124.04 / $127.85Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

37.8Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-17.44%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.12xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$132.21Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$120.75Range

Related Forecasts