US stock / ETF

Dollar Tree Inc.

DLTR · NASDAQ · USD

1 hourBearish61%
1h Downside probability 61%Bearish

DLTR 1H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

1h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $124.3 and stabilize above resistance $131.04.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $131.04 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

1h
Momentum StateRange
Momentum mixed

RSI 45.6, MACD 0.007

1h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $0.9445 (0.76%)

1h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$123.81Bearish
EMA 21$124.3Bearish
EMA 50$124.53Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 45.6 · MACD 0.007

Neutral zone

Strength
Range
Volatility
ATR $0.9445 · BB 2.53%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 27.3 · OBV 6.76%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$122.69 - $131.04

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+6.68% · 8.8 ATR above latest close

$131.98
Nearest resistance

+5.92% · 7.8 ATR above · 34-bar high

$131.04
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$123.72
Nearest support

-0.83% · 1.1 ATR below · 34-bar low

$122.69
Deeper support zone

-1.59% · 2.1 ATR below latest close

$121.75
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$122.77 - $124.66

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $124.7, invalidation $123.23

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

39.3 / 18.3 / 48.7Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$121.06Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$125.28 / $126.87Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

31%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$0.9445 (0.76%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 2.53%

35%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$126.01 / $122.52Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$122.77 / $124.66Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$131.04Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$122.69Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

45.6Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.007Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

46.1 / 38.6Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-53.9Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-47.0Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 1Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

27.3Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

6.76%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

6.43xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $124.7, invalidation $123.23

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

39.3 / 18.3 / 48.7Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$121.06Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$125.28 / $126.87Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

31%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

45.6Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.007Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

46.1 / 38.6Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-53.9Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-47.0Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 1Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$0.9445 (0.76%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 2.53%

35%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$126.01 / $122.52Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$122.77 / $124.66Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

27.3Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

6.76%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

6.43xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$131.04Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$122.69Range

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