US stock / ETF

Dollar Tree Inc.

DLTR · NASDAQ · USD

1 hourBearish70%
1h Downside probability 70%Bearish

DLTR 1H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

1h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $128.51 and stabilize above resistance $135.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $135 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

1h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 39.3, MACD 0.111

1h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Low volatility

ATR is $2.33 (1.85%)

1h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$127.48Bearish
EMA 21$128.51Bearish
EMA 50$130.14Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 39.3 · MACD 0.111

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $2.33 · BB 6.87%

Low volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 67.0 · OBV 10.94%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bullish
Price Levels
$118.11 - $135

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+8.93% · 4.8 ATR above latest close

$137.33
Nearest resistance

+7.07% · 3.8 ATR above · 34-bar high

$135
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$126.08
Nearest support

-6.32% · 3.4 ATR below · 34-bar low

$118.11
Deeper support zone

-8.17% · 4.4 ATR below latest close

$115.78
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$123.75 - $128.41

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $128.69, invalidation $126.69

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

61.0 / 15.1 / 31.4Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$123.09Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$126.36 / $129.06Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

50%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$2.33 (1.85%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 6.87%

29%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$130.65 / $126.19Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$123.75 / $128.41Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$135Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$118.11Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

39.3Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.111Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

56.2 / 64.7Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-43.8Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-69.5Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

67.0Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

10.94%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.49xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $128.69, invalidation $126.69

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

61.0 / 15.1 / 31.4Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$123.09Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$126.36 / $129.06Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

50%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

39.3Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.111Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

56.2 / 64.7Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-43.8Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-69.5Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$2.33 (1.85%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 6.87%

29%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$130.65 / $126.19Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$123.75 / $128.41Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

67.0Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

10.94%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.49xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$135Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$118.11Range

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