US stock / ETF

Dollar Tree Inc.

DLTR · NASDAQ · USD

12 hoursBearish92%
12h Downside probability 92%Bearish

DLTR 12H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

12h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $120.77 and stabilize above resistance $140.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $140 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

12h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 31.0, MACD -1.077

12h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is $2.95 (2.59%)

12h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$115.6Bearish
EMA 21$120.77Bearish
EMA 50$124.06Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 31.0 · MACD -1.077

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $2.95 · BB 23.59%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 41.4 · OBV -13.72%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$111.43 - $140

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+25.57% · 9.9 ATR above latest close

$142.95
Nearest resistance

+22.98% · 8.9 ATR above · 34-bar high

$140
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$113.84
Nearest support

-2.12% · 0.8 ATR below · 34-bar low

$111.43
Deeper support zone

-4.7% · 1.8 ATR below latest close

$108.48
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$110.89 - $116.79

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $111.43, invalidation $120.8

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

51.9 / 13.1 / 50.3Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$103.96Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$120.29 / $125.72Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

10%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$2.95 (2.59%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 23.59%

20%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$126.51 / $114.47Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$110.89 / $116.79Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$140Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$111.43Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

31.0Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-1.077Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

11.6 / 9.1Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-88.4Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-98.1Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 1Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

41.4Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-13.72%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.39xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $111.43, invalidation $120.8

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

51.9 / 13.1 / 50.3Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$103.96Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$120.29 / $125.72Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

10%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

31.0Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-1.077Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

11.6 / 9.1Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-88.4Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-98.1Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 1Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$2.95 (2.59%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 23.59%

20%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$126.51 / $114.47Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$110.89 / $116.79Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

41.4Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-13.72%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.39xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$140Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$111.43Range

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