US stock / ETF

CMS Energy Corporation

CMS · NYSE · USD

4 hoursBearish92%
4h Downside probability 92%Bearish

CMS 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $74.82 and stabilize above resistance $78.51.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $78.51 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 34.4, MACD -0.065

4h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $0.6057 (0.82%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$74.23Bearish
EMA 21$74.82Bearish
EMA 50$75.27Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 34.4 · MACD -0.065

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $0.6057 · BB 3.55%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 37.7 · OBV -8.91%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$73.63 - $78.51

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+7.42% · 9.0 ATR above latest close

$79.12
Nearest resistance

+6.6% · 8.0 ATR above · 34-bar high

$78.51
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$73.65
Nearest support

-0.03% · 0.0 ATR below · 34-bar low

$73.63
Deeper support zone

-0.85% · 1.0 ATR below latest close

$73.02
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$73.04 - $74.26

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $75.4, invalidation $73.98

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

17.4 / 29.2 / 19.6Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$71.61Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$74.95 / $76.28Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

1%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$0.6057 (0.82%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 3.55%

5%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$76.14 / $73.41Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$73.04 / $74.26Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$78.51Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$73.63Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

34.4Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.065Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

0.7 / 14.9Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-99.3Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-140.6Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 2Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

37.7Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-8.91%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.47xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $75.4, invalidation $73.98

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

17.4 / 29.2 / 19.6Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$71.61Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$74.95 / $76.28Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

1%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

34.4Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.065Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

0.7 / 14.9Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-99.3Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-140.6Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 2Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$0.6057 (0.82%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 3.55%

5%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$76.14 / $73.41Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$73.04 / $74.26Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

37.7Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-8.91%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.47xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$78.51Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$73.63Range

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