US stock / ETF

CMS Energy Corporation

CMS · NYSE · USD

4 hoursBearish85%
4h Downside probability 85%Bearish

CMS 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $69.24 and stabilize above resistance $72.44.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $72.44 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 40.7, MACD -0.017

4h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $0.7384 (1.08%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$68.82Bearish
EMA 21$69.24Bearish
EMA 50$70.09Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 40.7 · MACD -0.017

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $0.7384 · BB 3.31%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 59.7 · OBV 14.61%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bullish
Price Levels
$67.9 - $72.44

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+7.06% · 6.5 ATR above latest close

$73.18
Nearest resistance

+5.98% · 5.5 ATR above · 34-bar high

$72.44
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$68.35
Nearest support

-0.66% · 0.6 ATR below · 34-bar low

$67.9
Deeper support zone

-1.74% · 1.6 ATR below latest close

$67.16
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$67.61 - $69.09

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $69.8, invalidation $68.3

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

21.9 / 30.1 / 13.2Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$66.43Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$69.46 / $70.17Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

16%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$0.7384 (1.08%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 3.31%

21%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$70.49 / $67.92Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$67.61 / $69.09Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$72.44Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$67.9Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

40.7Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.017Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

22.9 / 23.6Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-77.1Range
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-102.1Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 4Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

59.7Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

14.61%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.91xRange

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $69.8, invalidation $68.3

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

21.9 / 30.1 / 13.2Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$66.43Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$69.46 / $70.17Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

16%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

40.7Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.017Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

22.9 / 23.6Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-77.1Range
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-102.1Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 4Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$0.7384 (1.08%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 3.31%

21%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$70.49 / $67.92Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$67.61 / $69.09Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

59.7Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

14.61%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.91xRange

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$72.44Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$67.9Range

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