US stock / ETF

CMS Energy Corporation

CMS · NYSE · USD

1 weekBearish76%
Weekly Downside probability 76%Bearish

CMS 1W chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

Weekly: EMA8/21/50 are in bullish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $74.82 and stabilize above resistance $80.36.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $80.36 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBullish
Constructive Trend

Price is below EMA21

Weekly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 47.8, MACD -0.077

Weekly
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is $3.31 (4.49%)

Weekly

EMA Structure

Bullish
EMA 8$75.05Bearish
EMA 21$74.82Bearish
EMA 50$73.69Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 47.8 · MACD -0.077

Neutral zone

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $3.31 · BB 12.58%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 36.8 · OBV -98.56%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$68.64 - $80.36

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+13.6% · 3.0 ATR above latest close

$83.67
Nearest resistance

+9.11% · 2.0 ATR above · 34-bar high

$80.36
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$73.65
Nearest support

-6.8% · 1.5 ATR below · 34-bar low

$68.64
Deeper support zone

-11.3% · 2.5 ATR below latest close

$65.33
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$70.34 - $76.96

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $78.87, invalidation $68.84

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

22.3 / 15.6 / 25.3Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$64.94Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$74.23 / $74.5Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

42%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$3.31 (4.49%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 12.58%

31%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$81.48 / $68.21Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$70.34 / $76.96Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$80.36Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$68.64Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

47.8Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.077Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

45.8 / 60.0Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-54.2Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-36.0Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 4Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

36.8Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-98.56%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.04xRange

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $78.87, invalidation $68.84

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

22.3 / 15.6 / 25.3Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$64.94Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$74.23 / $74.5Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

42%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

47.8Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.077Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

45.8 / 60.0Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-54.2Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-36.0Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 4Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$3.31 (4.49%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 12.58%

31%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$81.48 / $68.21Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$70.34 / $76.96Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

36.8Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-98.56%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.04xRange

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$80.36Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$68.64Range

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