US stock / ETF

Cboe Global Markets, Inc.

CBOE · BATS · USD

4 hoursBearish92%
4h Downside probability 92%Bearish

CBOE 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $281 and stabilize above resistance $306.29.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $306.29 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 30.2, MACD -1.161

4h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $3.99 (1.48%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$273.47Bearish
EMA 21$281Bearish
EMA 50$288.93Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 30.2 · MACD -1.161

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $3.99 · BB 11.25%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 25.0 · OBV -12.09%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$266.14 - $306.29

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+14.76% · 10.0 ATR above latest close

$310.28
Nearest resistance

+13.28% · 9.0 ATR above · 34-bar high

$306.29
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$270.37
Nearest support

-1.56% · 1.1 ATR below · 34-bar low

$266.14
Deeper support zone

-3.04% · 2.1 ATR below latest close

$262.15
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$266.38 - $274.36

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $279.93, invalidation $287.17

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

28.1 / 19.6 / 42.7Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$257.56Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$279.49 / $291.63Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

13%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$3.99 (1.48%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 11.25%

14%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$289.09 / $271.98Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$266.38 / $274.36Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$306.29Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$266.14Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

30.2Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-1.161Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

17.0 / 7.3Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-83.0Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-123.2Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 6Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

25.0Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-12.09%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.43xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $279.93, invalidation $287.17

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

28.1 / 19.6 / 42.7Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$257.56Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$279.49 / $291.63Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

13%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

30.2Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-1.161Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

17.0 / 7.3Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-83.0Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-123.2Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 6Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$3.99 (1.48%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 11.25%

14%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$289.09 / $271.98Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$266.38 / $274.36Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

25.0Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-12.09%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.43xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$306.29Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$266.14Range

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