US stock / ETF

Cboe Global Markets, Inc.

CBOE · BATS · USD

4 hoursBearish92%
4h Downside probability 92%Bearish

CBOE 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $262.4 and stabilize above resistance $306.19.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $306.19 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 28.7, MACD -0.073

4h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is $7.15 (2.95%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$249.67Bearish
EMA 21$262.4Bearish
EMA 50$284.23Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 28.7 · MACD -0.073

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $7.15 · BB 27.36%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 23.6 · OBV -3142.81%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$241.41 - $306.19

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+29.21% · 9.9 ATR above latest close

$313.34
Nearest resistance

+26.26% · 8.9 ATR above · 34-bar high

$306.19
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$242.51
Nearest support

-0.46% · 0.2 ATR below · 34-bar low

$241.41
Deeper support zone

-3.4% · 1.2 ATR below latest close

$234.26
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$235.36 - $249.66

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $247.03, invalidation $264.59

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

50.2 / 14.8 / 32.3Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$224.66Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$263.4 / $305.2Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

2%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$7.15 (2.95%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 27.36%

22%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$273.96 / $248.91Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$235.36 / $249.66Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$306.19Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$241.41Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

28.7Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.073Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

4.8 / 4.5Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-95.2Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-91.1Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 5Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

23.6Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-3142.81%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.40xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $247.03, invalidation $264.59

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

50.2 / 14.8 / 32.3Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$224.66Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$263.4 / $305.2Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

2%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

28.7Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.073Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

4.8 / 4.5Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-95.2Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-91.1Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 5Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$7.15 (2.95%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 27.36%

22%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$273.96 / $248.91Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$235.36 / $249.66Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

23.6Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-3142.81%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.40xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$306.19Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$241.41Range

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