US stock / ETF

Carrier Global Corporation

CARR · NYSE · USD

4 hoursBearish92%
4h Downside probability 92%Bearish

CARR 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $61.34 and stabilize above resistance $64.73.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $64.73 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 36.0, MACD -0.018

4h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $0.6400 (1.06%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$60.62Bearish
EMA 21$61.34Bearish
EMA 50$62.56Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 36.0 · MACD -0.018

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $0.6400 · BB 5.93%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 36.0 · OBV -1.81%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$60.01 - $64.73

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+8.28% · 7.8 ATR above latest close

$65.37
Nearest resistance

+7.22% · 6.8 ATR above · 34-bar high

$64.73
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$60.37
Nearest support

-0.6% · 0.6 ATR below · 34-bar low

$60.01
Deeper support zone

-1.66% · 1.6 ATR below latest close

$59.37
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$59.73 - $61.01

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $60.01, invalidation $61.2

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

19.3 / 31.6 / 30.3Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$58.6Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$61.46 / $63.32Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

11%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$0.6400 (1.06%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 5.93%

23%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$62.46 / $60.11Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$59.73 / $61.01Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$64.73Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$60.01Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

36.0Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.018Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

15.0 / 18.9Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-85.0Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-93.3Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 2Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

36.0Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-1.81%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.69xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $60.01, invalidation $61.2

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

19.3 / 31.6 / 30.3Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$58.6Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$61.46 / $63.32Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

11%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

36.0Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.018Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

15.0 / 18.9Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-85.0Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-93.3Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 2Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$0.6400 (1.06%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 5.93%

23%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$62.46 / $60.11Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$59.73 / $61.01Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

36.0Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-1.81%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.69xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$64.73Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$60.01Range

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