US stock / ETF

Carrier Global Corporation

CARR · NYSE · USD

4 hoursBearish71%
4h Downside probability 71%Bearish

CARR 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $63.24 and stabilize above resistance $73.52.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $73.52 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBullish
Momentum improving

RSI 46.3, MACD 0.358

4h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Low volatility

ATR is $1.05 (1.67%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$62.45Bullish
EMA 21$63.24Bearish
EMA 50$65.32Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 46.3 · MACD 0.358

Neutral zone

Strength
Bullish
Volatility
ATR $1.05 · BB 17.49%

Low volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 47.8 · OBV -14.95%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$58.78 - $73.52

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+18.16% · 10.9 ATR above latest close

$74.57
Nearest resistance

+16.49% · 9.9 ATR above · 34-bar high

$73.52
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$63.11
Nearest support

-6.86% · 4.1 ATR below · 34-bar low

$58.78
Deeper support zone

-8.53% · 5.1 ATR below latest close

$57.73
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$62.06 - $64.16

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $63.24, invalidation $60.5

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

43.9 / 18.8 / 24.0Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$60.64Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$64.01 / $66.15Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

29%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$1.05 (1.67%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 17.49%

53%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$64.82 / $61.49Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$62.06 / $64.16Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$73.52Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$58.78Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

46.3Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.358Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

97.1 / 89.8Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Overbought zone

-2.9Bearish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

10.6Range
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

sell 10Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

47.8Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-14.95%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.03xRange

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $63.24, invalidation $60.5

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

43.9 / 18.8 / 24.0Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$60.64Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$64.01 / $66.15Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

29%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

46.3Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.358Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

97.1 / 89.8Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Overbought zone

-2.9Bearish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

10.6Range
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

sell 10Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$1.05 (1.67%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 17.49%

53%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$64.82 / $61.49Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$62.06 / $64.16Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

47.8Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-14.95%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.03xRange

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$73.52Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$58.78Range

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