US stock / ETF

Carrier Global Corporation

CARR · NYSE · USD

4 hoursBearish77%
4h Downside probability 77%Bearish

CARR 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $55.19 and stabilize above resistance $56.79.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $56.79 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 49.0, MACD -0.007

4h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $0.5985 (1.09%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$55.11Bullish
EMA 21$55.19Bearish
EMA 50$55.57Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 49.0 · MACD -0.007

Neutral zone

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $0.5985 · BB 3.89%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 41.5 · OBV 2.64%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$54 - $56.79

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+4.12% · 3.8 ATR above latest close

$57.39
Nearest resistance

+3.03% · 2.8 ATR above · 34-bar high

$56.79
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$55.12
Nearest support

-2.03% · 1.9 ATR below · 34-bar low

$54
Deeper support zone

-3.12% · 2.9 ATR below latest close

$53.4
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$54.52 - $55.72

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $56.19, invalidation $54

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

21.9 / 16.7 / 23.2Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$53.32Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$55.25 / $55.58Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

40%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$0.5985 (1.09%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 3.89%

39%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$56.38 / $53.98Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$54.52 / $55.72Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$56.79Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$54Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

49.0Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.007Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

51.1 / 47.5Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-48.9Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-49.0Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 2Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

41.5Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

2.64%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.29xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $56.19, invalidation $54

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

21.9 / 16.7 / 23.2Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$53.32Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$55.25 / $55.58Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

40%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

49.0Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.007Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

51.1 / 47.5Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-48.9Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-49.0Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 2Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$0.5985 (1.09%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 3.89%

39%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$56.38 / $53.98Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$54.52 / $55.72Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

41.5Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

2.64%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.29xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$56.79Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$54Range

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