US stock / ETF

Carrier Global Corporation

CARR · NYSE · USD

1 weekBearish92%
Weekly Downside probability 92%Bearish

CARR 1W chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Weekly: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $59.83 and stabilize above resistance $76.76.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $76.76 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Weekly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 41.6, MACD -0.944

Weekly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $3.72 (6.62%)

Weekly

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$56.81Bearish
EMA 21$59.83Bearish
EMA 50$61.51Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 41.6 · MACD -0.944

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $3.72 · BB 40.80%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 23.5 · OBV -24.71%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$52.96 - $76.76

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+43.11% · 6.5 ATR above latest close

$80.48
Nearest resistance

+36.49% · 5.5 ATR above · 34-bar high

$76.76
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$56.24
Nearest support

-5.83% · 0.9 ATR below · 34-bar low

$52.96
Deeper support zone

-12.45% · 1.9 ATR below latest close

$49.24
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$52.52 - $59.96

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $76.76, invalidation $52.96

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

46.7 / 3.7 / 35.9Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$46.22Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$60.93 / $63.5Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

14%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$3.72 (6.62%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 40.80%

26%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$65.95 / $53.45Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$52.52 / $59.96Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$76.76Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$52.96Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

41.6Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.944Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

19.5 / 15.1Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-80.5Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-79.2Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

23.5Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-24.71%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.85xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $76.76, invalidation $52.96

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

46.7 / 3.7 / 35.9Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$46.22Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$60.93 / $63.5Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

14%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

41.6Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.944Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

19.5 / 15.1Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-80.5Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-79.2Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$3.72 (6.62%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 40.80%

26%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$65.95 / $53.45Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$52.52 / $59.96Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

23.5Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-24.71%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.85xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$76.76Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$52.96Range

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