US stock / ETF

Carrier Global Corporation

CARR · NYSE · USD

1 weekBearish55%
Weekly Downside probability 55%Bearish

CARR 1W chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Weekly: EMA8/21/50 are in bullish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $65.37 and stabilize above resistance $76.76.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $76.76 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBullish
Constructive Trend

Price is below EMA21

Weekly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 47.2, MACD -0.565

Weekly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $4.76 (7.54%)

Weekly

EMA Structure

Bullish
EMA 8$66.35Bearish
EMA 21$65.37Bearish
EMA 50$63.9Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 47.2 · MACD -0.565

Neutral zone

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $4.76 · BB 30.12%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 54.8 · OBV 2.17%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$50.24 - $76.76

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+29.17% · 3.9 ATR above latest close

$81.52
Nearest resistance

+21.63% · 2.9 ATR above · 34-bar high

$76.76
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$63.11
Nearest support

-20.39% · 2.7 ATR below · 34-bar low

$50.24
Deeper support zone

-27.93% · 3.7 ATR below latest close

$45.48
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$58.35 - $67.87

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $76.76, invalidation $65.77

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

35.3 / 18.1 / 24.2Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$47.08Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$66.59 / $63.5Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

41%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$4.76 (7.54%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 30.12%

39%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$75.85 / $55.12Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$58.35 / $67.87Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$76.76Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$50.24Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

47.2Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.565Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

22.8 / 30.1Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-77.2Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-42.6Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 5Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

54.8Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

2.17%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.11xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $76.76, invalidation $65.77

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

35.3 / 18.1 / 24.2Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$47.08Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$66.59 / $63.5Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

41%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

47.2Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.565Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

22.8 / 30.1Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-77.2Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-42.6Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 5Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$4.76 (7.54%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 30.12%

39%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$75.85 / $55.12Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$58.35 / $67.87Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

54.8Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

2.17%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.11xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$76.76Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$50.24Range

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