US stock / ETF

Carrier Global Corporation

CARR · NYSE · USD

1 monthBearish68%
Monthly Downside probability 68%Bearish

CARR 1M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Monthly: EMA8/21/50 are in bullish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $62.85 and stabilize above resistance $83.32.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $83.32 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBullish
Constructive Trend

Price is below EMA21

Monthly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 48.7, MACD -0.400

Monthly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $9.36 (15.5%)

Monthly

EMA Structure

Bullish
EMA 8$63.18Bearish
EMA 21$62.85Bearish
EMA 50$57.78Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 48.7 · MACD -0.400

Neutral zone

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $9.36 · BB 34.49%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 46.9 · OBV -39.66%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$47.64 - $83.32

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+53.51% · 3.5 ATR above latest close

$92.68
Nearest resistance

+38.02% · 2.5 ATR above · 34-bar high

$83.32
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$60.37
Nearest support

-21.09% · 1.4 ATR below · 34-bar low

$47.64
Deeper support zone

-36.59% · 2.4 ATR below latest close

$38.28
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$51.01 - $69.73

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $50.24, invalidation $76.76

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

16.2 / 25.2 / 20.3Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$33.39Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$65.14 / $58.21Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

33%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$9.36 (15.5%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 34.49%

36%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$82.68 / $43.18Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$51.01 / $69.73Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$83.32Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$47.64Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

48.7Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.400Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

32.8 / 48.4Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-67.2Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-23.1Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

46.9Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-39.66%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.49xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $50.24, invalidation $76.76

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

16.2 / 25.2 / 20.3Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$33.39Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$65.14 / $58.21Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

33%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

48.7Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.400Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

32.8 / 48.4Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-67.2Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-23.1Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$9.36 (15.5%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 34.49%

36%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$82.68 / $43.18Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$51.01 / $69.73Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

46.9Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-39.66%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.49xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$83.32Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$47.64Range

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