US stock / ETF

Carrier Global Corporation

CARR · NYSE · USD

1 monthBearish78%
Monthly Downside probability 78%Bearish

CARR 1M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Monthly: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $61.44 and stabilize above resistance $83.32.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $83.32 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

Monthly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 46.2, MACD -1.122

Monthly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $9.02 (16.04%)

Monthly

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$59.93Bearish
EMA 21$61.44Bearish
EMA 50$57.54Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 46.2 · MACD -1.122

Neutral zone

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $9.02 · BB 38.23%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 40.8 · OBV -36.11%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$50.24 - $83.32

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+64.19% · 4.0 ATR above latest close

$92.34
Nearest resistance

+48.15% · 3.0 ATR above · 34-bar high

$83.32
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$56.24
Nearest support

-10.67% · 0.7 ATR below · 34-bar low

$50.24
Deeper support zone

-26.71% · 1.7 ATR below latest close

$41.22
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$47.22 - $65.26

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $50.24, invalidation $76.76

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

13.1 / 20.8 / 23.4Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$25.43Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$65.82 / $58.21Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

19%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$9.02 (16.04%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 38.23%

24%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$81.26 / $41.62Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$47.22 / $65.26Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$83.32Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$50.24Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

46.2Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-1.122Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

22.6 / 22.1Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-77.4Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-95.3Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 3Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

40.8Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-36.11%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.59xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $50.24, invalidation $76.76

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

13.1 / 20.8 / 23.4Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$25.43Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$65.82 / $58.21Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

19%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

46.2Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-1.122Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

22.6 / 22.1Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-77.4Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-95.3Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 3Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$9.02 (16.04%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 38.23%

24%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$81.26 / $41.62Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$47.22 / $65.26Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

40.8Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-36.11%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.59xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$83.32Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$50.24Range

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