US stock / ETF

Carrier Global Corporation

CARR · NYSE · USD

1 monthBearish54%
Monthly Downside probability 54%Bearish

CARR 1M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Monthly: EMA8/21/50 are in bullish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $63.1 and stabilize above resistance $83.32.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $83.32 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBullish
Constructive Trend

Price is above EMA21

Monthly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 50.6, MACD -0.225

Monthly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $9.01 (14.28%)

Monthly

EMA Structure

Bullish
EMA 8$63.79Bearish
EMA 21$63.1Bullish
EMA 50$57.89Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 50.6 · MACD -0.225

Neutral zone

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $9.01 · BB 34.14%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 48.4 · OBV -36.49%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$47.64 - $83.32

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+46.31% · 3.2 ATR above latest close

$92.33
Nearest resistance

+32.02% · 2.2 ATR above · 34-bar high

$83.32
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$63.11
Nearest support

-24.52% · 1.7 ATR below · 34-bar low

$47.64
Deeper support zone

-38.8% · 2.7 ATR below latest close

$38.62
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$54.1 - $72.12

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $50.24, invalidation $76.76

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

16.2 / 26.2 / 21.1Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$34.44Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$65.14 / $58.21Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

42%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$9.01 (14.28%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 34.14%

48%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$81.98 / $44.4Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$54.1 / $72.12Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$83.32Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$47.64Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

50.6Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.225Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

41.7 / 51.4Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-58.3Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-13.6Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

48.4Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-36.49%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.03xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $50.24, invalidation $76.76

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

16.2 / 26.2 / 21.1Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$34.44Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$65.14 / $58.21Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

42%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

50.6Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.225Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

41.7 / 51.4Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-58.3Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-13.6Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$9.01 (14.28%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 34.14%

48%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$81.98 / $44.4Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$54.1 / $72.12Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

48.4Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-36.49%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.03xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$83.32Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$47.64Range

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