US stock / ETF

Carrier Global Corporation

CARR · NYSE · USD

1 monthBearish86%
Monthly Downside probability 86%Bearish

CARR 1M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

Monthly: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $62.19 and stabilize above resistance $83.32.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $83.32 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

Monthly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 46.8, MACD -0.807

Monthly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $8.87 (15.44%)

Monthly

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$61.57Bearish
EMA 21$62.19Bearish
EMA 50$57.69Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 46.8 · MACD -0.807

Neutral zone

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $8.87 · BB 35.98%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 41.5 · OBV -39.10%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$50.24 - $83.32

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+60.45% · 3.9 ATR above latest close

$92.19
Nearest resistance

+45.01% · 2.9 ATR above · 34-bar high

$83.32
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$57.46
Nearest support

-12.57% · 0.8 ATR below · 34-bar low

$50.24
Deeper support zone

-28.01% · 1.8 ATR below latest close

$41.37
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$48.59 - $66.33

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $50.24, invalidation $76.76

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

14.1 / 21.1 / 23.9Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$29.26Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$65.14 / $58.21Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

23%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$8.87 (15.44%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 35.98%

26%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$81.46 / $43.01Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$48.59 / $66.33Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$83.32Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$50.24Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

46.8Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.807Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

27.2 / 30.4Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-72.8Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-76.6Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 2Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

41.5Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-39.10%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.33xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $50.24, invalidation $76.76

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

14.1 / 21.1 / 23.9Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$29.26Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$65.14 / $58.21Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

23%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

46.8Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.807Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

27.2 / 30.4Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-72.8Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-76.6Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 2Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$8.87 (15.44%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 35.98%

26%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$81.46 / $43.01Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$48.59 / $66.33Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

41.5Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-39.10%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.33xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$83.32Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$50.24Range

Related Forecasts