US stock / ETF

Carrier Global Corporation

CARR · NYSE · USD

1 monthBearish90%
Monthly Downside probability 90%Bearish

CARR 1M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Monthly: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $61.33 and stabilize above resistance $83.32.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $83.32 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

Monthly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 45.3, MACD -1.194

Monthly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $8.95 (16.24%)

Monthly

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$59.68Bearish
EMA 21$61.33Bearish
EMA 50$57.5Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 45.3 · MACD -1.194

Neutral zone

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $8.95 · BB 38.66%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 42.0 · OBV -39.29%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$50.24 - $83.32

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+67.4% · 4.2 ATR above latest close

$92.27
Nearest resistance

+51.16% · 3.2 ATR above · 34-bar high

$83.32
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$55.12
Nearest support

-8.85% · 0.5 ATR below · 34-bar low

$50.24
Deeper support zone

-25.09% · 1.5 ATR below latest close

$41.29
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$46.17 - $64.07

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $50.24, invalidation $76.76

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

13.1 / 20.9 / 23.5Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$25.66Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$65.82 / $58.21Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

16%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$8.95 (16.24%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 38.66%

20%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$80.96 / $41.71Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$46.17 / $64.07Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$83.32Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$50.24Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

45.3Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-1.194Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

18.4 / 20.7Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-81.6Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-100.2Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 3Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

42.0Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-39.29%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.13xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $50.24, invalidation $76.76

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

13.1 / 20.9 / 23.5Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$25.66Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$65.82 / $58.21Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

16%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

45.3Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-1.194Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

18.4 / 20.7Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-81.6Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-100.2Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 3Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$8.95 (16.24%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 38.66%

20%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$80.96 / $41.71Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$46.17 / $64.07Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

42.0Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-39.29%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.13xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$83.32Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$50.24Range

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