US stock / ETF

Builders FirstSource, Inc.

BLDR · NYSE · USD

4 hoursBearish86%
4h Downside probability 86%Bearish

BLDR 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $57.32 and stabilize above resistance $61.5.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $61.5 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 42.9, MACD -0.006

4h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Low volatility

ATR is $1.08 (1.93%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$56.76Bearish
EMA 21$57.32Bearish
EMA 50$58.62Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 42.9 · MACD -0.006

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $1.08 · BB 6.30%

Low volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 28.2 · OBV -1.29%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$54.75 - $61.5

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+11.26% · 5.8 ATR above latest close

$62.58
Nearest resistance

+9.33% · 4.8 ATR above · 34-bar high

$61.5
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$56.25
Nearest support

-2.67% · 1.4 ATR below · 34-bar low

$54.75
Deeper support zone

-4.59% · 2.4 ATR below latest close

$53.67
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$55.17 - $57.33

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $59.55, invalidation $56.19

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

38.3 / 21.7 / 19.3Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$52.42Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$57.19 / $58.29Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

31%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$1.08 (1.93%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 6.30%

21%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$59.84 / $54.72Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$55.17 / $57.33Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$61.5Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$54.75Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

42.9Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.006Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

31.3 / 35.3Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-68.7Range
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-147.0Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 2Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

28.2Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-1.29%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.50xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $59.55, invalidation $56.19

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

38.3 / 21.7 / 19.3Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$52.42Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$57.19 / $58.29Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

31%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

42.9Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.006Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

31.3 / 35.3Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-68.7Range
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-147.0Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 2Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$1.08 (1.93%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 6.30%

21%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$59.84 / $54.72Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$55.17 / $57.33Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

28.2Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-1.29%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.50xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$61.5Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$54.75Range

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