US stock / ETF

Builders FirstSource, Inc.

BLDR · NYSE · USD

3 monthsBearish64%
3M Downside probability 64%Bearish

BLDR 3M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

3M: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $96.82 and stabilize above resistance $214.61.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $214.61 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

3M
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 49.4, MACD --

3M
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $49.06 (63.94%)

3M

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$107.23Bearish
EMA 21$96.82Bearish
EMA 50--Range

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 49.4 · MACD --

Neutral zone

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $49.06 · BB 161.14%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 50.8 · OBV -109.35%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$22.51 - $214.61

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+243.63% · 3.8 ATR above latest close

$263.67
Nearest resistance

+179.7% · 2.8 ATR above · 24-bar high

$214.61
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$76.73
Nearest support

-70.66% · 1.1 ATR below · 24-bar low

$22.51
Deeper support zone

-134.6% · 2.1 ATR below latest close

-$26.55
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$27.67 - $125.79

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $102.6, invalidation $131.41

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

-- / -- / --Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

-$71.76Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

-- / --Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

21%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$49.06 (63.94%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 161.14%

31%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$198.67 / -$3.79Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$27.67 / $125.79Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$214.61Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$22.51Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

49.4Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

--Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

8.1 / 18.9Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-91.9Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-58.5Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 7Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

50.8Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-109.35%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.22xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $102.6, invalidation $131.41

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

-- / -- / --Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

-$71.76Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

-- / --Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

21%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

49.4Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

--Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

8.1 / 18.9Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-91.9Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-58.5Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 7Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$49.06 (63.94%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 161.14%

31%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$198.67 / -$3.79Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$27.67 / $125.79Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

50.8Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-109.35%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.22xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$214.61Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$22.51Range

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