US stock / ETF

Builders FirstSource, Inc.

BLDR · NYSE · USD

1 weekBearish92%
Weekly Downside probability 92%Bearish

BLDR 1W chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Weekly: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $67.34 and stabilize above resistance $102.43.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $102.43 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Weekly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 35.3, MACD -0.347

Weekly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $6.1 (10.72%)

Weekly

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$58.72Bearish
EMA 21$67.34Bearish
EMA 50$83.73Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 35.3 · MACD -0.347

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $6.1 · BB 59.47%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 16.5 · OBV -24.79%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$49.67 - $102.43

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+90.8% · 8.5 ATR above latest close

$108.53
Nearest resistance

+80.08% · 7.5 ATR above · 34-bar high

$102.43
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$56.88
Nearest support

-12.68% · 1.2 ATR below · 34-bar low

$49.67
Deeper support zone

-23.4% · 2.2 ATR below latest close

$43.57
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$50.78 - $62.98

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $65.1, invalidation $76.8

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

46.3 / 3.4 / 35.8Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$38.85Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$65.7 / $90.58Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

17%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$6.1 (10.72%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 59.47%

21%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$77.54 / $55.88Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$50.78 / $62.98Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$102.43Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$49.67Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

35.3Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.347Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

26.6 / 15.1Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-73.4Range
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-102.1Bearish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 8Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

16.5Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-24.79%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.68xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $65.1, invalidation $76.8

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

46.3 / 3.4 / 35.8Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$38.85Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$65.7 / $90.58Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

17%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

35.3Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.347Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

26.6 / 15.1Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-73.4Range
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-102.1Bearish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 8Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$6.1 (10.72%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 59.47%

21%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$77.54 / $55.88Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$50.78 / $62.98Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

16.5Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-24.79%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.68xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$102.43Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$49.67Range

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