US stock / ETF

Builders FirstSource, Inc.

BLDR · NYSE · USD

1 monthBearish88%
Monthly Downside probability 88%Bearish

BLDR 1M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Monthly: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $96.32 and stabilize above resistance $214.7.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $214.7 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Monthly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 34.9, MACD -5.615

Monthly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $20.05 (35.64%)

Monthly

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$72.89Bearish
EMA 21$96.32Bearish
EMA 50$101.43Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 34.9 · MACD -5.615

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $20.05 · BB 99.14%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 16.0 · OBV -38.46%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$54.75 - $214.7

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+317.32% · 8.9 ATR above latest close

$234.75
Nearest resistance

+281.69% · 7.9 ATR above · 34-bar high

$214.7
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$56.25
Nearest support

-2.67% · 0.1 ATR below · 34-bar low

$54.75
Deeper support zone

-38.3% · 1.1 ATR below latest close

$34.7
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$36.2 - $76.3

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $94.35, invalidation $131.5

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

35.5 / 8.7 / 30.2Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$0.2070Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$110.6 / $133.7Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

2%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$20.05 (35.64%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 99.14%

6%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$133.1 / $57.18Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$36.2 / $76.3Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$214.7Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$54.75Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

34.9Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-5.615Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

1.6 / 1.5Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-98.4Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-135.6Bearish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 13Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

16.0Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-38.46%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.12xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $94.35, invalidation $131.5

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

35.5 / 8.7 / 30.2Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$0.2070Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$110.6 / $133.7Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

2%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

34.9Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-5.615Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

1.6 / 1.5Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-98.4Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-135.6Bearish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 13Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$20.05 (35.64%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 99.14%

6%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$133.1 / $57.18Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$36.2 / $76.3Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

16.0Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-38.46%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.12xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$214.7Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$54.75Range

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