US stock / ETF

Builders FirstSource, Inc.

BLDR · NYSE · USD

1 monthBearish92%
Monthly Downside probability 92%Bearish

BLDR 1M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Monthly: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $105.03 and stabilize above resistance $214.7.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $214.7 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Monthly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 38.6, MACD -5.576

Monthly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $21.81 (30.62%)

Monthly

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$84.43Bearish
EMA 21$105.03Bearish
EMA 50$105.32Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 38.6 · MACD -5.576

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $21.81 · BB 91.98%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 34.3 · OBV -38.07%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$65.1 - $214.7

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+232.12% · 7.6 ATR above latest close

$236.51
Nearest resistance

+201.5% · 6.6 ATR above · 34-bar high

$214.7
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$71.21
Nearest support

-8.58% · 0.3 ATR below · 34-bar low

$65.1
Deeper support zone

-39.2% · 1.3 ATR below latest close

$43.29
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$49.4 - $93.02

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $94.35, invalidation $131.5

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

29.7 / 16.0 / 24.0Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$7.93Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$116.21 / $131.81Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

6%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$21.81 (30.62%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 91.98%

12%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$145.38 / $62.74Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$49.4 / $93.02Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$214.7Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$65.1Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

38.6Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-5.576Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

7.1 / 12.3Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-92.9Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-136.9Bearish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 11Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

34.3Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-38.07%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.04xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $94.35, invalidation $131.5

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

29.7 / 16.0 / 24.0Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$7.93Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$116.21 / $131.81Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

6%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

38.6Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-5.576Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

7.1 / 12.3Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-92.9Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-136.9Bearish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 11Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$21.81 (30.62%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 91.98%

12%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$145.38 / $62.74Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$49.4 / $93.02Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

34.3Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-38.07%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.04xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$214.7Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$65.1Range

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