US stock / ETF

Builders FirstSource, Inc.

BLDR · NYSE · USD

1 monthBearish85%
Monthly Downside probability 85%Bearish

BLDR 1M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Monthly: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $96.38 and stabilize above resistance $214.7.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $214.7 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Monthly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 35.0, MACD -5.574

Monthly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $20.41 (35.88%)

Monthly

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$73.03Bearish
EMA 21$96.38Bearish
EMA 50$101.45Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 35.0 · MACD -5.574

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $20.41 · BB 98.89%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 15.5 · OBV -41.82%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$49.67 - $214.7

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+313.34% · 8.7 ATR above latest close

$235.11
Nearest resistance

+277.46% · 7.7 ATR above · 34-bar high

$214.7
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$56.88
Nearest support

-12.68% · 0.4 ATR below · 34-bar low

$49.67
Deeper support zone

-48.56% · 1.4 ATR below latest close

$29.26
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$36.47 - $77.29

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $94.35, invalidation $131.5

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

35.6 / 8.5 / 31.4Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

-$3.86Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$108.05 / $132.18Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

7%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$20.41 (35.88%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 98.89%

7%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$134.18 / $56.22Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$36.47 / $77.29Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$214.7Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$49.67Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

35.0Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-5.574Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

7.1 / 3.3Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-92.9Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-139.3Bearish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 13Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

15.5Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-41.82%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.73xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $94.35, invalidation $131.5

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

35.6 / 8.5 / 31.4Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

-$3.86Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$108.05 / $132.18Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

7%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

35.0Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-5.574Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

7.1 / 3.3Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-92.9Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-139.3Bearish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 13Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$20.41 (35.88%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 98.89%

7%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$134.18 / $56.22Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$36.47 / $77.29Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

15.5Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-41.82%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.73xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$214.7Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$49.67Range

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