US stock / ETF

Builders FirstSource, Inc.

BLDR · NYSE · USD

1 monthBearish92%
Monthly Downside probability 92%Bearish

BLDR 1M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Monthly: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $104.94 and stabilize above resistance $214.7.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $214.7 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Monthly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 38.3, MACD -5.640

Monthly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $22.09 (31.46%)

Monthly

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$84.2Bearish
EMA 21$104.94Bearish
EMA 50$105.28Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 38.3 · MACD -5.640

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $22.09 · BB 92.31%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 33.5 · OBV -35.79%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$65.1 - $214.7

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+237.26% · 7.5 ATR above latest close

$236.79
Nearest resistance

+205.8% · 6.5 ATR above · 34-bar high

$214.7
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$70.21
Nearest support

-7.28% · 0.2 ATR below · 34-bar low

$65.1
Deeper support zone

-38.74% · 1.2 ATR below latest close

$43.01
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$48.12 - $92.3

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $94.35, invalidation $131.5

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

29.7 / 15.8 / 23.7Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$8.99Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$116.21 / $131.81Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

5%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$22.09 (31.46%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 92.31%

12%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$146.08 / $61.85Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$48.12 / $92.3Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$214.7Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$65.1Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

38.3Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-5.640Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

5.9 / 12.0Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-94.1Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-133.6Bearish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 11Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

33.5Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-35.79%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.51xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $94.35, invalidation $131.5

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

29.7 / 15.8 / 23.7Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$8.99Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$116.21 / $131.81Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

5%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

38.3Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-5.640Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

5.9 / 12.0Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-94.1Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-133.6Bearish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 11Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$22.09 (31.46%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 92.31%

12%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$146.08 / $61.85Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$48.12 / $92.3Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

33.5Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-35.79%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.51xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$214.7Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$65.1Range

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