US stock / ETF

AES Corporation

AES · NYSE · USD

4 hoursBearish74%
4h Downside probability 74%Bearish

AES 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $14.73 and stabilize above resistance $14.79.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $14.79 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is above EMA21

4h
Momentum StateRange
Momentum mixed

RSI 50.0, MACD -0.001

4h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $0.02907 (0.2%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$14.73Bullish
EMA 21$14.73Bullish
EMA 50$14.74Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 50.0 · MACD -0.001

Neutral zone

Strength
Range
Volatility
ATR $0.02907 · BB 0.60%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 29.1 · OBV -7.09%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$14.68 - $14.79

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+0.57% · 2.9 ATR above latest close

$14.82
Nearest resistance

+0.37% · 1.9 ATR above · 34-bar high

$14.79
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$14.74
Nearest support

-0.37% · 1.9 ATR below · 34-bar low

$14.68
Deeper support zone

-0.57% · 2.9 ATR below latest close

$14.65
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$14.71 - $14.76

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $14.68, invalidation $14.75

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

31.2 / 7.4 / 27.0Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$14.65Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$14.73 / $14.73Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

55%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$0.02907 (0.2%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 0.60%

42%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$14.8 / $14.67Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$14.71 / $14.76Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$14.79Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$14.68Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

50.0Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.001Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

68.7 / 51.6Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-31.3Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-20.4Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 1Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

29.1Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-7.09%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.10xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $14.68, invalidation $14.75

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

31.2 / 7.4 / 27.0Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$14.65Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$14.73 / $14.73Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

55%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

50.0Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.001Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

68.7 / 51.6Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-31.3Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-20.4Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 1Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$0.02907 (0.2%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 0.60%

42%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$14.8 / $14.67Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$14.71 / $14.76Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

29.1Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-7.09%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.10xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$14.79Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$14.68Range

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