US stock / ETF

AES Corporation

AES · NYSE · USD

1 monthBullish74%
Monthly Upside probability 74%Bullish

AES 1M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

Monthly: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Hold above $9.46 and reclaim $22.15.

Invalidation Trigger

Lose $9.46 and MACD turns lower again.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is above EMA21

Monthly
Momentum StateBullish
Momentum improving

RSI 49.1, MACD 0.491

Monthly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $1.79 (12.18%)

Monthly

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$14.51Bullish
EMA 21$14.62Bullish
EMA 50$17.09Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 49.1 · MACD 0.491

Neutral zone

Strength
Bullish
Volatility
ATR $1.79 · BB 53.98%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 75.7 · OBV 1143.57%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bullish
Price Levels
$9.46 - $22.15

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+63.29% · 5.2 ATR above latest close

$23.93
Nearest resistance

+51.11% · 4.2 ATR above · 34-bar high

$22.15
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$14.66
Nearest support

-35.45% · 2.9 ATR below · 34-bar low

$9.46
Deeper support zone

-47.63% · 3.9 ATR below latest close

$7.68
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$12.87 - $16.44

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $17.64, invalidation $9.46

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

30.2 / 31.4 / 4.6Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$10.09Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$15.63 / $19.64Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

64%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$1.79 (12.18%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 53.98%

71%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$17.62 / $11.52Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$12.87 / $16.44Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$22.15Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$9.46Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

49.1Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.491Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

63.5 / 62.8Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-36.5Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

74.0Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

75.7Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

1143.57%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.67xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $17.64, invalidation $9.46

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

30.2 / 31.4 / 4.6Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$10.09Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$15.63 / $19.64Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

64%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

49.1Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.491Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

63.5 / 62.8Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-36.5Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

74.0Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$1.79 (12.18%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 53.98%

71%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$17.62 / $11.52Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$12.87 / $16.44Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

75.7Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

1143.57%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.67xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$22.15Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$9.46Range

Related Forecasts