US stock / ETF

AES Corporation

AES · NYSE · USD

3 monthsBearish62%
3M Downside probability 62%Bearish

AES 3M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

3M: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $18.73 and stabilize above resistance $29.83.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $29.83 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

3M
Momentum StateRange
Momentum mixed

RSI 47.7, MACD --

3M
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $5.08 (34.64%)

3M

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$14.69Bearish
EMA 21$18.73Bearish
EMA 50--Range

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 47.7 · MACD --

Neutral zone

Strength
Range
Volatility
ATR $5.08 · BB 107.15%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 44.9 · OBV -370.05%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$9.46 - $29.83

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+138.16% · 4.0 ATR above latest close

$34.9
Nearest resistance

+103.51% · 3.0 ATR above · 24-bar high

$29.83
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$14.66
Nearest support

-35.45% · 1.0 ATR below · 24-bar low

$9.46
Deeper support zone

-70.09% · 2.0 ATR below latest close

$4.38
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$9.58 - $19.73

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $9.46, invalidation $17.64

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

-- / -- / --Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$2.17Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

-- / --Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

26%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$5.08 (34.64%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 107.15%

30%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$26.57 / $10.24Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$9.58 / $19.73Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$29.83Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$9.46Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

47.7Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

--Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

26.5 / 24.4Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-73.5Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-68.4Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 3Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

44.9Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-370.05%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.33xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $9.46, invalidation $17.64

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

-- / -- / --Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$2.17Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

-- / --Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

26%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

47.7Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

--Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

26.5 / 24.4Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-73.5Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-68.4Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 3Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$5.08 (34.64%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 107.15%

30%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$26.57 / $10.24Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$9.58 / $19.73Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

44.9Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-370.05%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.33xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$29.83Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$9.46Range

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