US stock / ETF

AES Corporation

AES · NYSE · USD

3 monthsBearish69%
3M Downside probability 69%Bearish

AES 3M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

3M: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $16.82 and stabilize above resistance $29.89.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $29.89 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

3M
Momentum StateRange
Momentum mixed

RSI 48.8, MACD --

3M
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $4.15 (27.71%)

3M

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$14.78Bullish
EMA 21$16.82Bearish
EMA 50--Range

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 48.8 · MACD --

Neutral zone

Strength
Range
Volatility
ATR $4.15 · BB 107.89%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 53.5 · OBV -108.97%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$8.11 - $29.89

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+127.24% · 4.6 ATR above latest close

$34.04
Nearest resistance

+99.53% · 3.6 ATR above · 30-bar high

$29.89
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$14.98
Nearest support

-45.86% · 1.7 ATR below · 30-bar low

$8.11
Deeper support zone

-73.57% · 2.7 ATR below latest close

$3.96
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$10.83 - $19.13

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $9.46, invalidation $17.65

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

33.7 / 13.7 / 25.2Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$5.89Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$17.28 / --Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

27%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$4.15 (27.71%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 107.89%

36%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$22.73 / $10.64Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$10.83 / $19.13Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$29.89Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$8.11Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

48.8Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

--Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

42.0 / 34.0Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-58.0Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-50.3Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 5Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

53.5Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-108.97%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.31xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $9.46, invalidation $17.65

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

33.7 / 13.7 / 25.2Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$5.89Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$17.28 / --Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

27%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

48.8Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

--Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

42.0 / 34.0Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-58.0Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-50.3Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 5Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$4.15 (27.71%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 107.89%

36%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$22.73 / $10.64Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$10.83 / $19.13Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

53.5Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-108.97%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.31xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$29.89Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$8.11Range

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