US stock / ETF

AES Corporation

AES · NYSE · USD

3 monthsBearish69%
3M Downside probability 69%Bearish

AES 3M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

3M: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $17 and stabilize above resistance $29.89.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $29.89 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

3M
Momentum StateRange
Momentum mixed

RSI 48.6, MACD --

3M
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $4.58 (30.85%)

3M

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$14.71Bullish
EMA 21$17Bearish
EMA 50--Range

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 48.6 · MACD --

Neutral zone

Strength
Range
Volatility
ATR $4.58 · BB 108.68%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 48.8 · OBV -130.31%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$8.11 - $29.89

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+132.13% · 4.3 ATR above latest close

$34.47
Nearest resistance

+101.28% · 3.3 ATR above · 29-bar high

$29.89
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$14.85
Nearest support

-45.39% · 1.5 ATR below · 29-bar low

$8.11
Deeper support zone

-76.24% · 2.5 ATR below latest close

$3.53
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$10.27 - $19.43

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $9.46, invalidation $17.65

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

31.9 / 12.2 / 25.9Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$3.76Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$17.28 / --Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

26%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$4.58 (30.85%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 108.68%

33%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$24.16 / $9.55Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$10.27 / $19.43Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$29.89Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$8.11Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

48.6Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

--Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

33.1 / 27.4Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-66.9Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-58.7Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 4Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

48.8Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-130.31%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.63xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $9.46, invalidation $17.65

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

31.9 / 12.2 / 25.9Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$3.76Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$17.28 / --Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

26%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

48.6Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

--Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

33.1 / 27.4Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-66.9Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-58.7Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 4Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$4.58 (30.85%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 108.68%

33%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$24.16 / $9.55Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$10.27 / $19.43Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

48.8Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-130.31%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.63xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$29.89Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$8.11Range

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