US stock / ETF

Adobe Inc.

ADBE · NASDAQ · USD

3 monthsBearish70%
3M Downside probability 70%Bearish

ADBE 3M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

3M: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $413.33 and stabilize above resistance $699.36.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $699.36 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

3M
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 33.7, MACD --

3M
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $105.6 (53.51%)

3M

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$334.5Bearish
EMA 21$413.33Bearish
EMA 50--Range

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 33.7 · MACD --

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $105.6 · BB 105.57%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 38.1 · OBV -3536.20%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$190.17 - $699.36

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+307.88% · 5.8 ATR above latest close

$804.96
Nearest resistance

+254.38% · 4.8 ATR above · 24-bar high

$699.36
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$197.35
Nearest support

-3.64% · 0.1 ATR below · 24-bar low

$190.17
Deeper support zone

-57.15% · 1.1 ATR below latest close

$84.57
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$91.75 - $302.95

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $587.53, invalidation $434.07

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

-- / -- / --Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

-$62.66Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

-- / --Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

1%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$105.6 (53.51%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 105.57%

-1%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$603.88 / $209.98Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$91.75 / $302.95Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$699.36Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$190.17Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

33.7Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

--Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

1.6 / 8.2Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-98.4Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-150.7Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 7Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

38.1Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-3536.20%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.22xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $587.53, invalidation $434.07

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

-- / -- / --Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

-$62.66Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

-- / --Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

1%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

33.7Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

--Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

1.6 / 8.2Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-98.4Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-150.7Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 7Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$105.6 (53.51%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 105.57%

-1%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$603.88 / $209.98Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$91.75 / $302.95Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

38.1Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-3536.20%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.22xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$699.36Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$190.17Range

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