US stock / ETF

Adobe Inc.

ADBE · NASDAQ · USD

3 monthsBearish70%
3M Downside probability 70%Bearish

ADBE 3M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

3M: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $366.95 and stabilize above resistance $699.54.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $699.54 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

3M
Momentum StateRange
Momentum mixed

RSI 44.3, MACD --

3M
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $96.44 (36.41%)

3M

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$303.19Bearish
EMA 21$366.95Bearish
EMA 50--Range

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 44.3 · MACD --

Momentum is weak

Strength
Range
Volatility
ATR $96.44 · BB 112.49%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 29.1 · OBV -615.03%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$190.12 - $699.54

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+200.54% · 5.5 ATR above latest close

$795.98
Nearest resistance

+164.13% · 4.5 ATR above · 30-bar high

$699.54
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$264.85
Nearest support

-28.22% · 0.8 ATR below · 30-bar low

$190.12
Deeper support zone

-64.63% · 1.8 ATR below latest close

$93.68
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$168.41 - $361.29

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $190.12, invalidation $638.25

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

15.7 / 12.1 / 28.2Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

-$4.81Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$409.42 / --Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

17%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$96.44 (36.41%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 112.49%

21%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$534.63 / $195.48Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$168.41 / $361.29Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$699.54Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$190.12Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

44.3Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

--Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

16.7 / 10.4Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-83.3Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-107.6Bearish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 9Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

29.1Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-615.03%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.26xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $190.12, invalidation $638.25

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

15.7 / 12.1 / 28.2Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

-$4.81Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$409.42 / --Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

17%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

44.3Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

--Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

16.7 / 10.4Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-83.3Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-107.6Bearish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 9Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$96.44 (36.41%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 112.49%

21%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$534.63 / $195.48Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$168.41 / $361.29Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

29.1Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-615.03%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.26xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$699.54Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$190.12Range

Related Forecasts