US stock / ETF

Adobe Inc.

ADBE · NASDAQ · USD

3 monthsBearish70%
3M Downside probability 70%Bearish

ADBE 3M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

3M: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $380.37 and stabilize above resistance $699.54.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $699.54 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

3M
Momentum StateRange
Momentum mixed

RSI 44.9, MACD --

3M
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $105.32 (38.26%)

3M

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$322Bearish
EMA 21$380.37Bearish
EMA 50--Range

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 44.9 · MACD --

Momentum is weak

Strength
Range
Volatility
ATR $105.32 · BB 107.53%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 32.7 · OBV -726.01%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$190.12 - $699.54

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+192.36% · 5.0 ATR above latest close

$804.86
Nearest resistance

+154.1% · 4.0 ATR above · 29-bar high

$699.54
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$275.3
Nearest support

-30.94% · 0.8 ATR below · 29-bar low

$190.12
Deeper support zone

-69.2% · 1.8 ATR below latest close

$84.8
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$169.98 - $380.62

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $190.12, invalidation $587.75

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

14.9 / 17.8 / 25.8Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

-$30.88Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$416.88 / --Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

17%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$105.32 (38.26%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 107.53%

19%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$560.94 / $197Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$169.98 / $380.62Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$699.54Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$190.12Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

44.9Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

--Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

19.0 / 8.3Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-81.0Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-117.2Bearish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 8Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

32.7Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-726.01%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.69xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $190.12, invalidation $587.75

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

14.9 / 17.8 / 25.8Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

-$30.88Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$416.88 / --Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

17%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

44.9Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

--Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

19.0 / 8.3Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-81.0Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-117.2Bearish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 8Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$105.32 (38.26%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 107.53%

19%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$560.94 / $197Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$169.98 / $380.62Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

32.7Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-726.01%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.69xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$699.54Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$190.12Range

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