US stock / ETF

Adobe Inc.

ADBE · NASDAQ · USD

3 monthsBearish63%
3M Downside probability 63%Bearish

ADBE 3M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

3M: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $378.89 and stabilize above resistance $699.54.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $699.54 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

3M
Momentum StateRange
Momentum mixed

RSI 43.7, MACD --

3M
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $104.55 (40.36%)

3M

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$318.39Bearish
EMA 21$378.89Bearish
EMA 50--Range

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 43.7 · MACD --

Momentum is weak

Strength
Range
Volatility
ATR $104.55 · BB 108.76%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 32.0 · OBV -758.17%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$190.12 - $699.54

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+210.38% · 5.2 ATR above latest close

$804.09
Nearest resistance

+170.02% · 4.2 ATR above · 29-bar high

$699.54
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$259.07
Nearest support

-26.61% · 0.7 ATR below · 29-bar low

$190.12
Deeper support zone

-66.97% · 1.7 ATR below latest close

$85.57
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$154.52 - $363.62

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $190.12, invalidation $587.75

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

15.0 / 17.8 / 26.0Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

-$33.04Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$416.88 / --Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

14%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$104.55 (40.36%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 108.76%

16%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$557.23 / $197.61Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$154.52 / $363.62Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$699.54Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$190.12Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

43.7Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

--Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

15.4 / 7.1Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-84.6Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-122.8Bearish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 8Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

32.0Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-758.17%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.47xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $190.12, invalidation $587.75

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

15.0 / 17.8 / 26.0Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

-$33.04Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$416.88 / --Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

14%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

43.7Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

--Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

15.4 / 7.1Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-84.6Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-122.8Bearish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 8Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$104.55 (40.36%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 108.76%

16%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$557.23 / $197.61Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$154.52 / $363.62Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

32.0Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-758.17%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.47xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$699.54Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$190.12Range

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