US stock / ETF

Adobe Inc.

ADBE · NASDAQ · USD

3 monthsBearish63%
3M Downside probability 63%Bearish

ADBE 3M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

3M: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $364.48 and stabilize above resistance $699.54.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $699.54 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

3M
Momentum StateRange
Momentum mixed

RSI 42.1, MACD --

3M
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $94.04 (39.56%)

3M

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$297.15Bearish
EMA 21$364.48Bearish
EMA 50--Range

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 42.1 · MACD --

Momentum is weak

Strength
Range
Volatility
ATR $94.04 · BB 114.64%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 28.1 · OBV -674.25%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$190.12 - $699.54

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+233.87% · 5.9 ATR above latest close

$793.58
Nearest resistance

+194.31% · 4.9 ATR above · 30-bar high

$699.54
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$237.69
Nearest support

-20.01% · 0.5 ATR below · 30-bar low

$190.12
Deeper support zone

-59.58% · 1.5 ATR below latest close

$96.08
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$143.65 - $331.73

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $190.12, invalidation $638.25

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

15.7 / 12.4 / 28.9Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

-$1.67Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$409.42 / --Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

11%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$94.04 (39.56%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 114.64%

16%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$525.3 / $199.62Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$143.65 / $331.73Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$699.54Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$190.12Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

42.1Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

--Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

10.6 / 8.4Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-89.4Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-116.4Bearish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 9Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

28.1Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-674.25%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.04xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $190.12, invalidation $638.25

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

15.7 / 12.4 / 28.9Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

-$1.67Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$409.42 / --Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

11%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

42.1Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

--Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

10.6 / 8.4Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-89.4Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-116.4Bearish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 9Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$94.04 (39.56%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 114.64%

16%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$525.3 / $199.62Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$143.65 / $331.73Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

28.1Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-674.25%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.04xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$699.54Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$190.12Range

Related Forecasts