US stock / ETF

Adobe Inc.

ADBE · NASDAQ · USD

1 monthBearish92%
Monthly Downside probability 92%Bearish

ADBE 1M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Monthly: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $314.27 and stabilize above resistance $638.25.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $638.25 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Monthly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 41.7, MACD -0.277

Monthly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $50.16 (18.94%)

Monthly

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$263.82Bullish
EMA 21$314.27Bearish
EMA 50$377.22Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 41.7 · MACD -0.277

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $50.16 · BB 77.02%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 39.5 · OBV -401.36%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$190.12 - $638.25

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+159.92% · 8.4 ATR above latest close

$688.41
Nearest resistance

+140.99% · 7.4 ATR above · 34-bar high

$638.25
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$264.85
Nearest support

-28.22% · 1.5 ATR below · 34-bar low

$190.12
Deeper support zone

-47.15% · 2.5 ATR below latest close

$139.96
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$214.69 - $315.01

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $190.12, invalidation $557.9

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

52.9 / 8.6 / 24.5Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$84.8Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$316.84 / $414.19Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

28%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$50.16 (18.94%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 77.02%

31%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$420.44 / $200.77Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$214.69 / $315.01Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$638.25Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$190.12Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

41.7Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.277Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

41.3 / 39.4Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-58.7Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-70.5Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 1Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

39.5Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-401.36%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.62xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $190.12, invalidation $557.9

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

52.9 / 8.6 / 24.5Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$84.8Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$316.84 / $414.19Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

28%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

41.7Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.277Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

41.3 / 39.4Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-58.7Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-70.5Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 1Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$50.16 (18.94%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 77.02%

31%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$420.44 / $200.77Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$214.69 / $315.01Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

39.5Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-401.36%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.62xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$638.25Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$190.12Range

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