US stock / ETF

Adobe Inc.

ADBE · NASDAQ · USD

1 monthBearish92%
Monthly Downside probability 92%Bearish

ADBE 1M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Monthly: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $338.37 and stabilize above resistance $638.1.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $638.1 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Monthly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 29.4, MACD -13.140

Monthly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $46.06 (23.34%)

Monthly

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$266.97Bearish
EMA 21$338.37Bearish
EMA 50$401.28Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 29.4 · MACD -13.140

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $46.06 · BB 90.67%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 27.8 · OBV -407.15%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$190.17 - $638.1

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+246.67% · 10.6 ATR above latest close

$684.16
Nearest resistance

+223.33% · 9.6 ATR above · 34-bar high

$638.1
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$197.35
Nearest support

-3.64% · 0.2 ATR below · 34-bar low

$190.17
Deeper support zone

-26.98% · 1.2 ATR below latest close

$144.1
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$151.29 - $243.41

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $332.51, invalidation $556.84

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

45.3 / 10.5 / 30.7Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$89.86Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$332.87 / $414.13Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

2%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$46.06 (23.34%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 90.67%

2%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$429.56 / $239.02Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$151.29 / $243.41Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$638.1Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$190.17Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

29.4Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-13.140Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

3.1 / 10.1Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-96.9Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-141.6Bearish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 13Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

27.8Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-407.15%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.56xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $332.51, invalidation $556.84

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

45.3 / 10.5 / 30.7Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$89.86Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$332.87 / $414.13Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

2%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

29.4Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-13.140Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

3.1 / 10.1Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-96.9Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-141.6Bearish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 13Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$46.06 (23.34%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 90.67%

2%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$429.56 / $239.02Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$151.29 / $243.41Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

27.8Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-407.15%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.56xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$638.1Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$190.17Range

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