US stock / ETF

Adobe Inc.

ADBE · NASDAQ · USD

1 monthBearish92%
Monthly Downside probability 92%Bearish

ADBE 1M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Monthly: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $306.18 and stabilize above resistance $638.25.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $638.25 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Monthly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 38.6, MACD -0.194

Monthly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $49.13 (20.6%)

Monthly

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$255.67Bearish
EMA 21$306.18Bearish
EMA 50$371.23Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 38.6 · MACD -0.194

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $49.13 · BB 78.97%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 27.3 · OBV -227.43%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$190.12 - $638.25

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+188.16% · 9.1 ATR above latest close

$687.38
Nearest resistance

+167.57% · 8.1 ATR above · 34-bar high

$638.25
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$238.54
Nearest support

-20.3% · 1.0 ATR below · 34-bar low

$190.12
Deeper support zone

-40.89% · 2.0 ATR below latest close

$140.99
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$189.41 - $287.67

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $190.12, invalidation $294.53

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

53.0 / 7.9 / 25.0Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$92.02Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$308.17 / $414.19Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

21%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$49.13 (20.6%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 78.97%

24%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$404.01 / $200.96Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$189.41 / $287.67Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$638.25Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$190.12Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

38.6Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.194Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

27.9 / 29.6Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-72.1Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-77.0Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

27.3Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-227.43%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.32xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $190.12, invalidation $294.53

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

53.0 / 7.9 / 25.0Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$92.02Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$308.17 / $414.19Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

21%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

38.6Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.194Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

27.9 / 29.6Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-72.1Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-77.0Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$49.13 (20.6%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 78.97%

24%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$404.01 / $200.96Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$189.41 / $287.67Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

27.3Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-227.43%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.32xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$638.25Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$190.12Range

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