US stock / ETF

Adobe Inc.

ADBE · NASDAQ · USD

1 monthBearish92%
Monthly Downside probability 92%Bearish

ADBE 1M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Monthly: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $324.32 and stabilize above resistance $638.25.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $638.25 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Monthly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 38.7, MACD -6.182

Monthly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $44.54 (17.19%)

Monthly

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$263.38Bearish
EMA 21$324.32Bearish
EMA 50$386.38Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 38.7 · MACD -6.182

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $44.54 · BB 83.77%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 31.4 · OBV -583.97%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$190.12 - $638.25

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+163.56% · 9.5 ATR above latest close

$682.79
Nearest resistance

+146.36% · 8.5 ATR above · 34-bar high

$638.25
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$259.07
Nearest support

-26.61% · 1.5 ATR below · 34-bar low

$190.12
Deeper support zone

-43.81% · 2.5 ATR below latest close

$145.58
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$214.53 - $303.61

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $190.12, invalidation $275.44

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

51.7 / 5.3 / 31.6Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$112.51Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$332.67 / $414.19Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

25%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$44.54 (17.19%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 83.77%

25%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$415.44 / $225.39Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$214.53 / $303.61Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$638.25Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$190.12Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

38.7Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-6.182Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

34.1 / 22.2Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-65.9Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-82.4Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 2Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

31.4Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-583.97%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.03xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $190.12, invalidation $275.44

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

51.7 / 5.3 / 31.6Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$112.51Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$332.67 / $414.19Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

25%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

38.7Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-6.182Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

34.1 / 22.2Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-65.9Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-82.4Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 2Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$44.54 (17.19%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 83.77%

25%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$415.44 / $225.39Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$214.53 / $303.61Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

31.4Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-583.97%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.03xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$638.25Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$190.12Range

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