US stock / ETF

Adobe Inc.

ADBE · NASDAQ · USD

1 monthBearish92%
Monthly Downside probability 92%Bearish

ADBE 1M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Monthly: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $328.16 and stabilize above resistance $638.25.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $638.25 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Monthly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 32.7, MACD -11.762

Monthly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $44.75 (20.26%)

Monthly

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$258.04Bearish
EMA 21$328.16Bearish
EMA 50$390.42Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 32.7 · MACD -11.762

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $44.75 · BB 87.53%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 23.6 · OBV -2002.93%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$190.12 - $638.25

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+209.22% · 10.3 ATR above latest close

$683
Nearest resistance

+188.96% · 9.3 ATR above · 34-bar high

$638.25
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$220.88
Nearest support

-13.93% · 0.7 ATR below · 34-bar low

$190.12
Deeper support zone

-34.19% · 1.7 ATR below latest close

$145.37
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$176.13 - $265.63

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $332.01, invalidation $557.9

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

48.2 / 5.2 / 31.5Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$78.95Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$332.67 / $414.19Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

8%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$44.75 (20.26%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 87.53%

11%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$417.36 / $230.76Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$176.13 / $265.63Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$638.25Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$190.12Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

32.7Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-11.762Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

13.3 / 12.4Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-86.7Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-129.3Bearish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 13Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

23.6Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-2002.93%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.40xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $332.01, invalidation $557.9

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

48.2 / 5.2 / 31.5Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$78.95Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$332.67 / $414.19Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

8%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

32.7Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-11.762Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

13.3 / 12.4Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-86.7Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-129.3Bearish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 13Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$44.75 (20.26%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 87.53%

11%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$417.36 / $230.76Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$176.13 / $265.63Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

23.6Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-2002.93%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.40xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$638.25Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$190.12Range

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