US stock / ETF

Adobe Inc.

ADBE · NASDAQ · USD

1 monthBearish92%
Monthly Downside probability 92%Bearish

ADBE 1M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Monthly: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $325.8 and stabilize above resistance $638.25.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $638.25 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Monthly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 41.0, MACD -5.146

Monthly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $46.14 (16.76%)

Monthly

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$266.98Bullish
EMA 21$325.8Bearish
EMA 50$387.02Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 41.0 · MACD -5.146

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $46.14 · BB 82.69%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 33.7 · OBV -541.70%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$190.12 - $638.25

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+148.6% · 8.9 ATR above latest close

$684.39
Nearest resistance

+131.84% · 7.9 ATR above · 34-bar high

$638.25
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$275.3
Nearest support

-30.94% · 1.8 ATR below · 34-bar low

$190.12
Deeper support zone

-47.7% · 2.8 ATR below latest close

$143.98
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$229.16 - $321.44

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $190.12, invalidation $557.9

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

51.2 / 6.8 / 30.5Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$112.03Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$332.67 / $414.19Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

31%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$46.14 (16.76%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 82.69%

31%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$421.46 / $222.46Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$229.16 / $321.44Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$638.25Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$190.12Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

41.0Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-5.146Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

42.1 / 24.8Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-57.9Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-72.7Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 2Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

33.7Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-541.70%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.58xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $190.12, invalidation $557.9

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

51.2 / 6.8 / 30.5Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$112.03Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$332.67 / $414.19Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

31%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

41.0Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-5.146Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

42.1 / 24.8Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-57.9Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-72.7Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 2Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$46.14 (16.76%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 82.69%

31%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$421.46 / $222.46Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$229.16 / $321.44Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

33.7Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-541.70%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.58xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$638.25Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$190.12Range

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