US stock / ETF

Adobe Inc.

ADBE · NASDAQ · USD

1 monthBearish92%
Monthly Downside probability 92%Bearish

ADBE 1M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Monthly: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $320.33 and stabilize above resistance $638.25.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $638.25 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Monthly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 39.4, MACD -2.376

Monthly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $48.69 (19.3%)

Monthly

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$266.25Bearish
EMA 21$320.33Bearish
EMA 50$382.29Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 39.4 · MACD -2.376

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $48.69 · BB 80.52%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 35.7 · OBV -1111.70%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$190.12 - $638.25

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+172.35% · 8.9 ATR above latest close

$686.94
Nearest resistance

+153.04% · 7.9 ATR above · 34-bar high

$638.25
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$252.23
Nearest support

-24.62% · 1.3 ATR below · 34-bar low

$190.12
Deeper support zone

-43.93% · 2.3 ATR below latest close

$141.43
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$203.54 - $300.92

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $190.12, invalidation $557.9

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

52.6 / 8.9 / 27.2Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$103.83Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$329.78 / $414.19Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

23%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$48.69 (19.3%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 80.52%

24%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$424.72 / $208.47Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$203.54 / $300.92Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$638.25Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$190.12Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

39.4Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-2.376Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

34.4 / 36.6Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-65.6Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-71.1Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

35.7Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-1111.70%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.53xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $190.12, invalidation $557.9

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

52.6 / 8.9 / 27.2Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$103.83Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$329.78 / $414.19Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

23%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

39.4Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-2.376Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

34.4 / 36.6Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-65.6Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-71.1Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$48.69 (19.3%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 80.52%

24%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$424.72 / $208.47Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$203.54 / $300.92Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

35.7Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-1111.70%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.53xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$638.25Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$190.12Range

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