US stock / ETF

Walmart Inc.

WMT · NASDAQ · USD

4 hoursBearish71%
4h Downside probability 71%Bearish

WMT 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $105.24 and stabilize above resistance $116.87.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $116.87 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 31.4, MACD 0.056

4h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $0.9201 (0.9%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$103.62Bearish
EMA 21$105.24Bearish
EMA 50$108Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 31.4 · MACD 0.056

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $0.9201 · BB 4.66%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 36.5 · OBV 16.87%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$102.15 - $116.87

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+14.72% · 16.4 ATR above latest close

$117.79
Nearest resistance

+13.82% · 15.4 ATR above · 34-bar high

$116.87
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$102.68
Nearest support

-0.51% · 0.6 ATR below · 34-bar low

$102.15
Deeper support zone

-1.41% · 1.6 ATR below latest close

$101.23
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$101.76 - $103.6

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $102.36, invalidation $106.09

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

30.4 / 10.6 / 36.8Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$100.11Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$106.65 / $109.52Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

12%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$0.9201 (0.9%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 4.66%

16%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$106.78 / $103.45Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$101.76 / $103.6Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$116.87Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$102.15Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

31.4Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.056Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

7.3 / 8.4Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-92.7Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-118.2Bearish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 10Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

36.5Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

16.87%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.87xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $102.36, invalidation $106.09

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

30.4 / 10.6 / 36.8Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$100.11Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$106.65 / $109.52Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

12%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

31.4Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.056Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

7.3 / 8.4Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-92.7Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-118.2Bearish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 10Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$0.9201 (0.9%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 4.66%

16%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$106.78 / $103.45Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$101.76 / $103.6Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

36.5Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

16.87%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.87xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$116.87Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$102.15Range

Related Forecasts