Cryptocurrency

OFFICIAL TRUMP / TetherUS

TRUMPUSDT · Binance · USDT

4 hoursBearish92%
4h Downside probability 92%Bearish

TRUMPUSDT 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover 2.07 and stabilize above resistance 2.25.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above 2.25 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 46.6, MACD -0.006

4h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is 0.0539 (2.64%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 82.06Bearish
EMA 212.07Bearish
EMA 502.07Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 46.6 · MACD -0.006

Neutral zone

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR 0.0539 · BB 7.57%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 61.2 · OBV -16.21%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
1.93 - 2.25

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+12.93% · 4.9 ATR above latest close

2.3
Nearest resistance

+10.29% · 3.9 ATR above · 34-bar high

2.25
Current price

Price shown is delayed

2.04
Nearest support

-5.39% · 2.0 ATR below · 34-bar low

1.93
Deeper support zone

-8.03% · 3.0 ATR below latest close

1.88
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

1.99 - 2.09

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation 1.98, invalidation 2.21

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

35.0 / 18.6 / 26.0Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

1.87Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

2.09 / 2.09Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

23%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

0.0539 (2.64%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 7.57%

28%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

2.18 / 1.95Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

1.99 / 2.09Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

2.25Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

1.93Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

46.6Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.006Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

26.9 / 28.6Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-73.1Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-82.9Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 4Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

61.2Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-16.21%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.11xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation 1.98, invalidation 2.21

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

35.0 / 18.6 / 26.0Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

1.87Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

2.09 / 2.09Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

23%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

46.6Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.006Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

26.9 / 28.6Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-73.1Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-82.9Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 4Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

0.0539 (2.64%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 7.57%

28%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

2.18 / 1.95Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

1.99 / 2.09Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

61.2Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-16.21%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.11xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

2.25Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

1.93Range

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