Cryptocurrency

OFFICIAL TRUMP / TetherUS

TRUMPUSDT · Binance · USDT

4 hoursBearish86%
4h Downside probability 86%Bearish

TRUMPUSDT 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $1.79 and stabilize above resistance $2.02.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $2.02 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 25.4, MACD -0.015

4h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is $0.05050 (3.04%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$1.73Bearish
EMA 21$1.79Bearish
EMA 50$1.83Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 25.4 · MACD -0.015

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $0.05050 · BB 17.95%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 20.2 · OBV -17.32%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$1.62 - $2.02

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+24.5% · 8.0 ATR above latest close

$2.07
Nearest resistance

+21.46% · 7.0 ATR above · 34-bar high

$2.02
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$1.66
Nearest support

-2.47% · 0.8 ATR below · 34-bar low

$1.62
Deeper support zone

-5.52% · 1.8 ATR below latest close

$1.57
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$1.61 - $1.71

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $1.72, invalidation $1.78

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

49.6 / 4.2 / 45.1Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$1.51Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$1.76 / $1.82Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

10%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$0.05050 (3.04%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 17.95%

2%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$1.88 / $1.69Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$1.61 / $1.71Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$2.02Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$1.62Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

25.4Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.015Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

12.9 / 9.2Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-87.1Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-140.9Bearish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 13Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

20.2Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-17.32%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.69xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $1.72, invalidation $1.78

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

49.6 / 4.2 / 45.1Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$1.51Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$1.76 / $1.82Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

10%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

25.4Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.015Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

12.9 / 9.2Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-87.1Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-140.9Bearish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 13Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$0.05050 (3.04%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 17.95%

2%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$1.88 / $1.69Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$1.61 / $1.71Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

20.2Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-17.32%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.69xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$2.02Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$1.62Range

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