Cryptocurrency

OFFICIAL TRUMP / TetherUS

TRUMPUSDT · Binance · USDT

4 hoursBearish92%
4h Downside probability 92%Bearish

TRUMPUSDT 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover 1.12 and stabilize above resistance 1.2.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above 1.2 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 29.8, MACD -0.002

4h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is 0.0299 (2.83%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 81.09Bearish
EMA 211.12Bearish
EMA 501.2Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 29.8 · MACD -0.002

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR 0.0299 · BB 8.80%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 32.2 · OBV -9.23%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
1.05 - 1.2

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+16.27% · 5.8 ATR above latest close

1.23
Nearest resistance

+13.45% · 4.8 ATR above · 34-bar high

1.2
Current price

Price shown is delayed

1.06
Nearest support

-0.57% · 0.2 ATR below · 34-bar low

1.05
Deeper support zone

-3.4% · 1.2 ATR below latest close

1.02
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

1.03 - 1.09

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation 1.07, invalidation 1.13

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

24.1 / 11.2 / 33.5Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

0.9680Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

1.11 / 1.24Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

5%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

0.0299 (2.83%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 8.80%

-16%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

1.18 / 1.06Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

1.03 / 1.09Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

1.2Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

1.05Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

29.8Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.002Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

5.0 / 19.5Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-95.0Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-253.0Bearish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 9Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

32.2Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-9.23%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.71xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation 1.07, invalidation 1.13

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

24.1 / 11.2 / 33.5Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

0.9680Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

1.11 / 1.24Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

5%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

29.8Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.002Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

5.0 / 19.5Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-95.0Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-253.0Bearish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 9Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

0.0299 (2.83%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 8.80%

-16%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

1.18 / 1.06Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

1.03 / 1.09Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

32.2Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-9.23%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.71xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

1.2Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

1.05Range

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