US stock / ETF

TKO Group Holdings, Inc.

TKO · NYSE · USD

4 hoursBearish55%
4h Downside probability 55%Bearish

TKO 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

4h: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $176.93 and stabilize above resistance $179.8.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $179.8 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 49.1, MACD -0.020

4h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $1.83 (1.04%)

4h

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$177.28Bearish
EMA 21$176.93Bearish
EMA 50$177.53Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 49.1 · MACD -0.020

Neutral zone

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $1.83 · BB 3.73%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 73.0 · OBV 0.49%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bullish
Price Levels
$170.92 - $179.8

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+2.81% · 2.7 ATR above latest close

$181.63
Nearest resistance

+1.77% · 1.7 ATR above · 34-bar high

$179.8
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$176.67
Nearest support

-3.25% · 3.1 ATR below · 34-bar low

$170.92
Deeper support zone

-4.29% · 4.1 ATR below latest close

$169.09
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$174.84 - $178.5

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $179.78, invalidation $176.25

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

16.2 / 28.8 / 33.8Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$171.43Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$176.06 / $177.14Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

60%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$1.83 (1.04%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 3.73%

46%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$180.43 / $173.48Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$174.84 / $178.5Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$179.8Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$170.92Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

49.1Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.020Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

48.1 / 62.4Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-51.9Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-12.8Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 2Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

73.0Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

0.49%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.50xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $179.78, invalidation $176.25

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

16.2 / 28.8 / 33.8Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$171.43Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$176.06 / $177.14Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

60%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

49.1Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.020Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

48.1 / 62.4Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-51.9Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-12.8Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 2Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$1.83 (1.04%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 3.73%

46%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$180.43 / $173.48Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$174.84 / $178.5Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

73.0Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

0.49%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.50xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$179.8Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$170.92Range

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