US stock / ETF

TKO Group Holdings, Inc.

TKO · NYSE · USD

4 hoursBearish91%
4h Downside probability 91%Bearish

TKO 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $179.24 and stabilize above resistance $193.39.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $193.39 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 38.8, MACD -0.140

4h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $2.46 (1.4%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$176.19Bearish
EMA 21$179.24Bearish
EMA 50$183.36Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 38.8 · MACD -0.140

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $2.46 · BB 7.27%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 30.7 · OBV 6.61%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$171.58 - $193.39

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+11.55% · 8.2 ATR above latest close

$195.85
Nearest resistance

+10.14% · 7.2 ATR above · 34-bar high

$193.39
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$175.58
Nearest support

-2.28% · 1.6 ATR below · 34-bar low

$171.58
Deeper support zone

-3.68% · 2.6 ATR below latest close

$169.12
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$173.12 - $178.04

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $171.58, invalidation $180.61

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

63.0 / 5.6 / 53.3Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$167.88Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$178.56 / $184.68Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

30%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$2.46 (1.4%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 7.27%

23%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$184.15 / $173.89Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$173.12 / $178.04Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$193.39Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$171.58Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

38.8Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.140Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

34.2 / 27.1Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-65.8Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-85.5Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 2Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

30.7Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

6.61%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.08xRange

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $171.58, invalidation $180.61

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

63.0 / 5.6 / 53.3Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$167.88Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$178.56 / $184.68Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

30%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

38.8Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.140Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

34.2 / 27.1Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-65.8Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-85.5Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 2Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$2.46 (1.4%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 7.27%

23%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$184.15 / $173.89Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$173.12 / $178.04Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

30.7Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

6.61%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.08xRange

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$193.39Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$171.58Range

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