US stock / ETF

TKO Group Holdings, Inc.

TKO · NYSE · USD

4 hoursBearish70%
4h Downside probability 70%Bearish

TKO 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

4h: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $195.46 and stabilize above resistance $202.58.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $202.58 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 45.3, MACD -0.842

4h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $2.57 (1.33%)

4h

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$195.14Bearish
EMA 21$195.46Bearish
EMA 50$193.05Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 45.3 · MACD -0.842

Neutral zone

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $2.57 · BB 6.68%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 36.9 · OBV -7.85%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$185.59 - $202.58

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+6.22% · 4.7 ATR above latest close

$205.15
Nearest resistance

+4.89% · 3.7 ATR above · 34-bar high

$202.58
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$193.14
Nearest support

-3.91% · 2.9 ATR below · 34-bar low

$185.59
Deeper support zone

-5.24% · 3.9 ATR below latest close

$183.02
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$190.57 - $195.71

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $197.15, invalidation $194.25

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

17.3 / 27.5 / 41.9Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$184.79Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$197.25 / $190.79Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

11%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$2.57 (1.33%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 6.68%

22%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$201.08 / $189.95Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$190.57 / $195.71Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$202.58Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$185.59Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

45.3Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.842Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

11.1 / 14.4Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-88.9Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-89.8Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 6Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

36.9Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-7.85%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.78xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $197.15, invalidation $194.25

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

17.3 / 27.5 / 41.9Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$184.79Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$197.25 / $190.79Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

11%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

45.3Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.842Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

11.1 / 14.4Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-88.9Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-89.8Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 6Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$2.57 (1.33%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 6.68%

22%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$201.08 / $189.95Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$190.57 / $195.71Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

36.9Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-7.85%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.78xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$202.58Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$185.59Range

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