US stock / ETF

TKO Group Holdings, Inc.

TKO · NYSE · USD

1 weekBearish64%
Weekly Downside probability 64%Bearish

TKO 1W chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

Weekly: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $191.95 and stabilize above resistance $226.94.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $226.94 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

Weekly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 48.8, MACD -0.493

Weekly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $13.75 (7.23%)

Weekly

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$189.49Bullish
EMA 21$191.95Bearish
EMA 50$189.68Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 48.8 · MACD -0.493

Neutral zone

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $13.75 · BB 18.98%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 40.8 · OBV 9.82%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$178.5 - $226.94

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+26.47% · 3.7 ATR above latest close

$240.69
Nearest resistance

+19.25% · 2.7 ATR above · 34-bar high

$226.94
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$190.31
Nearest support

-6.21% · 0.9 ATR below · 34-bar low

$178.5
Deeper support zone

-13.43% · 1.9 ATR below latest close

$164.75
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$176.56 - $204.06

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $178.5, invalidation $203.04

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

26.3 / 18.2 / 17.8Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$154.33Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$194.72 / $201.47Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

29%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$13.75 (7.23%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 18.98%

44%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$214.96 / $168.69Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$176.56 / $204.06Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$226.94Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$178.5Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

48.8Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.493Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

29.3 / 21.0Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-70.7Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-31.7Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 2Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

40.8Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

9.82%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.62xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $178.5, invalidation $203.04

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

26.3 / 18.2 / 17.8Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$154.33Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$194.72 / $201.47Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

29%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

48.8Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.493Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

29.3 / 21.0Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-70.7Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-31.7Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 2Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$13.75 (7.23%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 18.98%

44%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$214.96 / $168.69Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$176.56 / $204.06Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

40.8Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

9.82%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.62xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$226.94Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$178.5Range

Related Forecasts