US stock / ETF

TKO Group Holdings, Inc.

TKO · NYSE · USD

1 weekBearish73%
Weekly Downside probability 73%Bearish

TKO 1W chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Weekly: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $195.94 and stabilize above resistance $226.94.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $226.94 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

Weekly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 43.9, MACD -1.282

Weekly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $14.49 (7.85%)

Weekly

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$194.07Bearish
EMA 21$195.94Bearish
EMA 50$190.2Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 43.9 · MACD -1.282

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $14.49 · BB 17.60%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 56.9 · OBV -9.61%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$177.47 - $226.94

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+30.82% · 3.9 ATR above latest close

$241.43
Nearest resistance

+22.96% · 2.9 ATR above · 34-bar high

$226.94
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$184.56
Nearest support

-3.84% · 0.5 ATR below · 34-bar low

$177.47
Deeper support zone

-11.69% · 1.5 ATR below latest close

$162.98
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$170.07 - $199.05

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $218.85, invalidation $192.64

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

18.5 / 19.8 / 14.6Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$136.86Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$201.55 / $189.62Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

9%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$14.49 (7.85%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 17.60%

21%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$226.95 / $164.91Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$170.07 / $199.05Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$226.94Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$177.47Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

43.9Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-1.282Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

11.3 / 19.2Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-88.7Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-110.7Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 3Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

56.9Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-9.61%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.12xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $218.85, invalidation $192.64

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

18.5 / 19.8 / 14.6Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$136.86Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$201.55 / $189.62Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

9%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

43.9Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-1.282Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

11.3 / 19.2Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-88.7Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-110.7Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 3Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$14.49 (7.85%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 17.60%

21%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$226.95 / $164.91Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$170.07 / $199.05Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

56.9Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-9.61%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.12xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$226.94Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$177.47Range

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