US stock / ETF

TKO Group Holdings, Inc.

TKO · NYSE · USD

1 weekBearish79%
Weekly Downside probability 79%Bearish

TKO 1W chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Weekly: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $186.31 and stabilize above resistance $226.34.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $226.34 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Weekly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 42.2, MACD -1.420

Weekly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $10.91 (6.18%)

Weekly

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$180.66Bearish
EMA 21$186.31Bearish
EMA 50$187.47Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 42.2 · MACD -1.420

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $10.91 · BB 21.66%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 53.3 · OBV -11.17%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$170.92 - $226.34

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+34.29% · 5.6 ATR above latest close

$237.25
Nearest resistance

+28.11% · 4.6 ATR above · 34-bar high

$226.34
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$176.67
Nearest support

-3.25% · 0.5 ATR below · 34-bar low

$170.92
Deeper support zone

-9.43% · 1.5 ATR below latest close

$160.01
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$165.76 - $187.58

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $195.34, invalidation $181.21

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

21.9 / 13.6 / 18.8Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$145.46Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$189.01 / $198.93Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

12%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$10.91 (6.18%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 21.66%

22%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$207.13 / $164.91Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$165.76 / $187.58Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$226.34Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$170.92Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

42.2Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-1.420Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

17.9 / 17.9Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-82.1Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-104.3Bearish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 8Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

53.3Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-11.17%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.54xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $195.34, invalidation $181.21

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

21.9 / 13.6 / 18.8Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$145.46Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$189.01 / $198.93Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

12%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

42.2Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-1.420Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

17.9 / 17.9Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-82.1Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-104.3Bearish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 8Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$10.91 (6.18%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 21.66%

22%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$207.13 / $164.91Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$165.76 / $187.58Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

53.3Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-11.17%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.54xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$226.34Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$170.92Range

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