US stock / ETF

TKO Group Holdings, Inc.

TKO · NYSE · USD

1 weekBearish59%
Weekly Downside probability 59%Bearish

TKO 1W chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Weekly: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $193.54 and stabilize above resistance $226.94.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $226.94 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

Weekly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 49.7, MACD -0.362

Weekly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $14.32 (7.42%)

Weekly

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$191.76Bullish
EMA 21$193.54Bearish
EMA 50$190.01Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 49.7 · MACD -0.362

Neutral zone

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $14.32 · BB 18.86%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 54.1 · OBV 1.73%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$178.5 - $226.94

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+24.92% · 3.4 ATR above latest close

$241.26
Nearest resistance

+17.5% · 2.4 ATR above · 34-bar high

$226.94
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$193.14
Nearest support

-7.58% · 1.0 ATR below · 34-bar low

$178.5
Deeper support zone

-15% · 2.0 ATR below latest close

$164.18
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$178.82 - $207.46

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $218.85, invalidation $178.5

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

26.6 / 24.7 / 11.7Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$155.14Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$200.7 / $201.47Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

36%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$14.32 (7.42%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 18.86%

51%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$221.71 / $165.19Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$178.82 / $207.46Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$226.94Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$178.5Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

49.7Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.362Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

36.3 / 37.6Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-63.7Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

27.1Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 3Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

54.1Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

1.73%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.62xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $218.85, invalidation $178.5

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

26.6 / 24.7 / 11.7Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$155.14Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$200.7 / $201.47Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

36%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

49.7Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.362Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

36.3 / 37.6Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-63.7Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

27.1Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 3Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$14.32 (7.42%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 18.86%

51%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$221.71 / $165.19Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$178.82 / $207.46Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

54.1Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

1.73%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.62xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$226.94Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$178.5Range

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