US stock / ETF

TKO Group Holdings, Inc.

TKO · NYSE · USD

1 dayBearish92%
Daily Downside probability 92%Bearish

TKO 1D chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Daily: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $179.41 and stabilize above resistance $195.34.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $195.34 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Daily
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 42.4, MACD -0.086

Daily
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is $4.93 (2.8%)

Daily

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$176.2Bearish
EMA 21$179.41Bearish
EMA 50$183.93Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 42.4 · MACD -0.086

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $4.93 · BB 11.57%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 37.6 · OBV -10.49%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$170.92 - $195.34

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+13.78% · 4.9 ATR above latest close

$200.27
Nearest resistance

+10.97% · 3.9 ATR above · 34-bar high

$195.34
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$176.02
Nearest support

-2.9% · 1.0 ATR below · 34-bar low

$170.92
Deeper support zone

-5.7% · 2.0 ATR below latest close

$165.99
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$171.09 - $180.95

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $170.92, invalidation $183.36

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

48.7 / 17.8 / 29.1Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$161.49Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$180.13 / $186.98Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

24%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$4.93 (2.8%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 11.57%

33%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$188 / $170.37Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$171.09 / $180.95Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$195.34Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$170.92Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

42.4Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.086Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

41.0 / 29.5Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-59.0Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-65.3Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 4Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

37.6Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-10.49%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.35xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $170.92, invalidation $183.36

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

48.7 / 17.8 / 29.1Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$161.49Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$180.13 / $186.98Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

24%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

42.4Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.086Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

41.0 / 29.5Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-59.0Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-65.3Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 4Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$4.93 (2.8%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 11.57%

33%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$188 / $170.37Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$171.09 / $180.95Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

37.6Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-10.49%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.35xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$195.34Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$170.92Range

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