US stock / ETF

TE Connectivity plc

TEL · NYSE · USD

4 hoursBullish75%
4h Upside probability 75%Bullish

TEL 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bullish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Hold above $199.82 and reclaim $213.71.

Invalidation Trigger

Lose $199.82 and MACD turns lower again.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBullish
Constructive Trend

Price is above EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBullish
Momentum improving

RSI 63.0, MACD 0.687

4h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $2.13 (1.01%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bullish
EMA 8$208.86Bullish
EMA 21$207.16Bullish
EMA 50$206.56Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 63.0 · MACD 0.687

Momentum is strong

Strength
Bullish
Volatility
ATR $2.13 · BB 5.61%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 37.6 · OBV -16.15%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$199.82 - $213.71

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bullish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+1.83% · 1.8 ATR above latest close

$215.84
Nearest resistance

+0.83% · 0.8 ATR above · 34-bar high

$213.71
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$211.96
Nearest support

-5.73% · 5.7 ATR below · 34-bar low

$199.82
Deeper support zone

-6.73% · 6.7 ATR below latest close

$197.69
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$209.83 - $214.09

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $200.5, invalidation $210

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

23.5 / 44.4 / 29.7Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$205.57Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$206.94 / $206.5Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

87%Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$2.13 (1.01%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 5.61%

88%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$211.49 / $202.96Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$209.83 / $214.09Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$213.71Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$199.82Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

63.0Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.687Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

86.8 / 92.8Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Overbought zone

-13.2Bearish
CCI (20)

Strong expansion

122.5Bullish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 3Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

37.6Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-16.15%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.50xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $200.5, invalidation $210

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

23.5 / 44.4 / 29.7Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$205.57Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$206.94 / $206.5Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

87%Bullish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

63.0Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.687Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

86.8 / 92.8Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Overbought zone

-13.2Bearish
CCI (20)

Strong expansion

122.5Bullish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 3Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$2.13 (1.01%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 5.61%

88%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$211.49 / $202.96Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$209.83 / $214.09Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

37.6Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-16.15%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.50xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$213.71Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$199.82Range

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