US stock / ETF

TE Connectivity plc

TEL · NYSE · USD

4 hoursBearish92%
4h Downside probability 92%Bearish

TEL 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $206.67 and stabilize above resistance $222.23.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $222.23 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 39.5, MACD -0.183

4h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $2.28 (1.12%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$203.61Bullish
EMA 21$206.67Bearish
EMA 50$208.99Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 39.5 · MACD -0.183

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $2.28 · BB 11.43%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 38.0 · OBV -1149.51%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$199.45 - $222.23

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+10.14% · 9.1 ATR above latest close

$224.51
Nearest resistance

+9.02% · 8.1 ATR above · 34-bar high

$222.23
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$203.85
Nearest support

-2.16% · 1.9 ATR below · 34-bar low

$199.45
Deeper support zone

-3.27% · 2.9 ATR below latest close

$197.17
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$201.57 - $206.12

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $199.45, invalidation $204.18

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

46.7 / 21.4 / 40.4Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$197.02Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$205.53 / $210.84Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

23%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$2.28 (1.12%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 11.43%

35%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$210.56 / $202.38Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$201.57 / $206.12Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$222.23Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$199.45Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

39.5Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.183Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

46.6 / 29.4Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-53.4Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-52.7Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 4Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

38.0Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-1149.51%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.05xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $199.45, invalidation $204.18

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

46.7 / 21.4 / 40.4Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$197.02Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$205.53 / $210.84Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

23%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

39.5Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.183Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

46.6 / 29.4Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-53.4Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-52.7Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 4Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$2.28 (1.12%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 11.43%

35%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$210.56 / $202.38Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$201.57 / $206.12Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

38.0Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-1149.51%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.05xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$222.23Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$199.45Range

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