US stock / ETF

TE Connectivity plc

TEL · NYSE · USD

4 hoursBearish86%
4h Downside probability 86%Bearish

TEL 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $209.47 and stabilize above resistance $223.55.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $223.55 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 36.8, MACD -1.785

4h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is $5.2 (2.61%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$206.24Bearish
EMA 21$209.47Bearish
EMA 50$210.29Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 36.8 · MACD -1.785

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $5.2 · BB 12.06%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 47.4 · OBV -13.72%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$195.73 - $223.55

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+14.96% · 5.7 ATR above latest close

$228.75
Nearest resistance

+12.35% · 4.7 ATR above · 34-bar high

$223.55
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$198.98
Nearest support

-1.63% · 0.6 ATR below · 34-bar low

$195.73
Deeper support zone

-4.24% · 1.6 ATR below latest close

$190.53
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$193.78 - $204.18

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $211.63, invalidation $219.28

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

21.4 / 12.0 / 40.5Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$184.81Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$207.6 / $208.82Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

14%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$5.2 (2.61%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 12.06%

6%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$219.87 / $198.9Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$193.78 / $204.18Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$223.55Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$195.73Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

36.8Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-1.785Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

13.6 / 12.9Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-86.4Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-126.9Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 4Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

47.4Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-13.72%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.68xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $211.63, invalidation $219.28

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

21.4 / 12.0 / 40.5Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$184.81Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$207.6 / $208.82Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

14%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

36.8Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-1.785Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

13.6 / 12.9Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-86.4Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-126.9Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 4Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$5.2 (2.61%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 12.06%

6%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$219.87 / $198.9Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$193.78 / $204.18Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

47.4Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-13.72%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.68xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$223.55Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$195.73Range

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