US stock / ETF

TE Connectivity plc

TEL · NYSE · USD

1 hourBearish92%
1h Downside probability 92%Bearish

TEL 1H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

1h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $205.11 and stabilize above resistance $219.37.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $219.37 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

1h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 32.8, MACD -0.575

1h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $2.72 (1.37%)

1h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$200.69Bearish
EMA 21$205.11Bearish
EMA 50$209.07Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 32.8 · MACD -0.575

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $2.72 · BB 10.76%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 8.8 · OBV -38.14%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$195.73 - $219.37

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+11.62% · 8.5 ATR above latest close

$222.09
Nearest resistance

+10.25% · 7.5 ATR above · 34-bar high

$219.37
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$198.98
Nearest support

-1.63% · 1.2 ATR below · 34-bar low

$195.73
Deeper support zone

-3% · 2.2 ATR below latest close

$193.01
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$196.26 - $201.7

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $202.41, invalidation $198.66

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

54.3 / 15.4 / 53.0Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$191.91Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$204.35 / $207.7Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

17%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$2.72 (1.37%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 10.76%

20%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$209.68 / $200Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$196.26 / $201.7Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$219.37Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$195.73Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

32.8Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.575Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

26.7 / 21.6Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-73.3Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-99.6Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

8.8Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-38.14%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.84xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $202.41, invalidation $198.66

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

54.3 / 15.4 / 53.0Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$191.91Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$204.35 / $207.7Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

17%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

32.8Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.575Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

26.7 / 21.6Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-73.3Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-99.6Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$2.72 (1.37%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 10.76%

20%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$209.68 / $200Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$196.26 / $201.7Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

8.8Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-38.14%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.84xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$219.37Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$195.73Range

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