US stock / ETF

TE Connectivity plc

TEL · NYSE · USD

1 weekBearish70%
Weekly Downside probability 70%Bearish

TEL 1W chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

Weekly: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $209.84 and stabilize above resistance $252.56.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $252.56 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

Weekly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 44.7, MACD -1.581

Weekly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $16.14 (8.03%)

Weekly

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$204.34Bearish
EMA 21$209.84Bearish
EMA 50$207.02Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 44.7 · MACD -1.581

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $16.14 · BB 22.42%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 34.6 · OBV -47.06%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$191.12 - $252.56

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+33.7% · 4.2 ATR above latest close

$268.7
Nearest resistance

+25.66% · 3.2 ATR above · 34-bar high

$252.56
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$200.98
Nearest support

-4.91% · 0.6 ATR below · 34-bar low

$191.12
Deeper support zone

-12.94% · 1.6 ATR below latest close

$174.98
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$184.84 - $217.12

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $223.76, invalidation $193.75

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

11.0 / 16.4 / 27.0Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$160.45Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$214.77 / $214.89Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

16%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$16.14 (8.03%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 22.42%

33%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$236.6 / $182.58Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$184.84 / $217.12Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$252.56Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$191.12Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

44.7Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-1.581Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

15.3 / 12.0Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-84.7Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-76.4Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 4Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

34.6Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-47.06%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.08xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $223.76, invalidation $193.75

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

11.0 / 16.4 / 27.0Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$160.45Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$214.77 / $214.89Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

16%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

44.7Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-1.581Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

15.3 / 12.0Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-84.7Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-76.4Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 4Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$16.14 (8.03%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 22.42%

33%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$236.6 / $182.58Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$184.84 / $217.12Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

34.6Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-47.06%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.08xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$252.56Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$191.12Range

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