US stock / ETF

TE Connectivity plc

TEL · NYSE · USD

1 weekBearish74%
Weekly Downside probability 74%Bearish

TEL 1W chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Weekly: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $213.68 and stabilize above resistance $252.39.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $252.39 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

Weekly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 45.0, MACD -0.957

Weekly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $16.71 (8.22%)

Weekly

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$210.57Bearish
EMA 21$213.68Bearish
EMA 50$208.16Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 45.0 · MACD -0.957

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $16.71 · BB 25.34%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 46.4 · OBV -61.81%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$191.52 - $252.39

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+32.44% · 3.9 ATR above latest close

$269.1
Nearest resistance

+24.22% · 2.9 ATR above · 34-bar high

$252.39
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$203.18
Nearest support

-5.74% · 0.7 ATR below · 34-bar low

$191.52
Deeper support zone

-13.96% · 1.7 ATR below latest close

$174.81
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$186.47 - $219.89

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $223.55, invalidation $200.64

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

18.1 / 26.1 / 22.7Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$161.32Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$215.39 / $209.68Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

19%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$16.71 (8.22%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 25.34%

30%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$245.52 / $181.61Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$186.47 / $219.89Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$252.39Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$191.52Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

45.0Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.957Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

15.6 / 29.8Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-84.4Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-49.3Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

46.4Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-61.81%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.18xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $223.55, invalidation $200.64

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

18.1 / 26.1 / 22.7Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$161.32Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$215.39 / $209.68Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

19%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

45.0Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.957Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

15.6 / 29.8Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-84.4Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-49.3Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$16.71 (8.22%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 25.34%

30%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$245.52 / $181.61Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$186.47 / $219.89Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

46.4Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-61.81%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.18xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$252.39Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$191.52Range

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