US stock / ETF

TE Connectivity plc

TEL · NYSE · USD

1 weekBearish67%
Weekly Downside probability 67%Bearish

TEL 1W chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

Weekly: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $208.63 and stabilize above resistance $252.56.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $252.56 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

Weekly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 46.7, MACD -0.497

Weekly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $13.53 (6.62%)

Weekly

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$204.6Bearish
EMA 21$208.63Bearish
EMA 50$206.79Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 46.7 · MACD -0.497

Neutral zone

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $13.53 · BB 21.34%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 53.0 · OBV -43.62%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$190.27 - $252.56

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+30.29% · 4.6 ATR above latest close

$266.09
Nearest resistance

+23.66% · 3.6 ATR above · 34-bar high

$252.56
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$204.23
Nearest support

-6.84% · 1.0 ATR below · 34-bar low

$190.27
Deeper support zone

-13.46% · 2.0 ATR below latest close

$176.74
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$190.7 - $217.76

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $223.76, invalidation $190.27

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

12.6 / 18.1 / 21.7Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$162.91Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$213.42 / $221.42Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

22%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$13.53 (6.62%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 21.34%

38%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$235.48 / $181.3Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$190.7 / $217.76Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$252.56Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$190.27Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

46.7Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.497Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

41.7 / 36.0Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-58.3Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-53.4Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 3Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

53.0Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-43.62%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.11xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $223.76, invalidation $190.27

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

12.6 / 18.1 / 21.7Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$162.91Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$213.42 / $221.42Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

22%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

46.7Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.497Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

41.7 / 36.0Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-58.3Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-53.4Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 3Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$13.53 (6.62%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 21.34%

38%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$235.48 / $181.3Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$190.7 / $217.76Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

53.0Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-43.62%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.11xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$252.56Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$190.27Range

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