Cryptocurrency

Solana / US Dollar

SOLUSD · Coinbase · USD

4 hoursBearish85%
4h Downside probability 85%Bearish

SOLUSD 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover 83.06 and stabilize above resistance 89.88.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above 89.88 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 23.8, MACD -0.222

4h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Low volatility

ATR is 1.42 (1.81%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 881.03Bearish
EMA 2183.06Bearish
EMA 5086.4Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 23.8 · MACD -0.222

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR 1.42 · BB 8.94%

Low volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 42.3 · OBV -506.63%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
77.95 - 89.88

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+16.65% · 9.2 ATR above latest close

91.3
Nearest resistance

+14.83% · 8.2 ATR above · 34-bar high

89.88
Current price

Price shown is delayed

78.27
Nearest support

-0.41% · 0.2 ATR below · 34-bar low

77.95
Deeper support zone

-2.22% · 1.2 ATR below latest close

76.53
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

76.85 - 79.69

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation 80.36, invalidation 85.34

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

52.1 / 10.3 / 40.9Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

73.81Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

82.34 / 87.59Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

4%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

1.42 (1.81%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 8.94%

-13%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

85.96 / 79.89Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

76.85 / 79.69Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

89.88Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

77.95Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

23.8Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.222Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

4.3 / 12.7Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-95.7Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-233.1Bearish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 8Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

42.3Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-506.63%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.20xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation 80.36, invalidation 85.34

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

52.1 / 10.3 / 40.9Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

73.81Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

82.34 / 87.59Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

4%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

23.8Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.222Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

4.3 / 12.7Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-95.7Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-233.1Bearish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 8Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

1.42 (1.81%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 8.94%

-13%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

85.96 / 79.89Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

76.85 / 79.69Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

42.3Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-506.63%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.20xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

89.88Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

77.95Range

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