Cryptocurrency

Solana / US Dollar

SOLUSD · Coinbase · USD

4 hoursBearish70%
4h Downside probability 70%Bearish

SOLUSD 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover 104.82 and stabilize above resistance 109.13.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above 109.13 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 47.6, MACD -0.137

4h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is 1.36 (1.3%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8104.43Bullish
EMA 21104.82Bearish
EMA 50105.5Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 47.6 · MACD -0.137

Neutral zone

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR 1.36 · BB 5.12%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 64.7 · OBV -0.93%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
100.38 - 109.13

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+5.73% · 4.4 ATR above latest close

110.49
Nearest resistance

+4.43% · 3.4 ATR above · 34-bar high

109.13
Current price

Price shown is delayed

104.5
Nearest support

-3.94% · 3.0 ATR below · 34-bar low

100.38
Deeper support zone

-5.24% · 4.0 ATR below latest close

99.02
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

103.14 - 105.86

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation 109.13, invalidation 105.53

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

27.8 / 20.4 / 27.6Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

100.92Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

105.03 / 104.76Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

26%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

1.36 (1.3%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 5.12%

33%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

107.23 / 102.37Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

103.14 / 105.86Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

109.13Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

100.38Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

47.6Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.137Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

25.6 / 22.0Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-74.4Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-48.3Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 3Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

64.7Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-0.93%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.23xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation 109.13, invalidation 105.53

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

27.8 / 20.4 / 27.6Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

100.92Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

105.03 / 104.76Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

26%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

47.6Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.137Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

25.6 / 22.0Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-74.4Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-48.3Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 3Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

1.36 (1.3%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 5.12%

33%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

107.23 / 102.37Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

103.14 / 105.86Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

64.7Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-0.93%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.23xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

109.13Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

100.38Range

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