Cryptocurrency

Solana / US Dollar

SOLUSD · Coinbase · USD

4 hoursBearish89%
4h Downside probability 89%Bearish

SOLUSD 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $70.13 and stabilize above resistance $74.92.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $74.92 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 26.0, MACD -0.500

4h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Low volatility

ATR is $1.42 (2.16%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$68.68Bearish
EMA 21$70.13Bearish
EMA 50$70.64Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 26.0 · MACD -0.500

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $1.42 · BB 13.40%

Low volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 7.5 · OBV -27.89%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$64.62 - $74.92

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+15.87% · 7.3 ATR above latest close

$76.34
Nearest resistance

+13.7% · 6.3 ATR above · 34-bar high

$74.92
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$65.89
Nearest support

-1.93% · 0.9 ATR below · 34-bar low

$64.62
Deeper support zone

-4.09% · 1.9 ATR below latest close

$63.2
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$64.47 - $67.31

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $68.08, invalidation $70.06

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

45.4 / 8.2 / 48.9Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$61.86Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$68.56 / $70.11Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

12%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$1.42 (2.16%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 13.40%

-4%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$73.01 / $67.13Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$64.47 / $67.31Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$74.92Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$64.62Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

26.0Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.500Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

12.3 / 11.3Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-87.7Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-155.8Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 2Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

7.5Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-27.89%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

3.94xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $68.08, invalidation $70.06

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

45.4 / 8.2 / 48.9Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$61.86Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$68.56 / $70.11Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

12%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

26.0Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.500Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

12.3 / 11.3Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-87.7Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-155.8Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 2Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$1.42 (2.16%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 13.40%

-4%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$73.01 / $67.13Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$64.47 / $67.31Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

7.5Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-27.89%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

3.94xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$74.92Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$64.62Range

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