Cryptocurrency

Solana / US Dollar

SOLUSD · Coinbase · USD

1 monthBearish80%
Monthly Downside probability 80%Bearish

SOLUSD 1M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Monthly: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $122.9 and stabilize above resistance $295.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $295 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

Monthly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 40.2, MACD -13.389

Monthly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $43.13 (61.79%)

Monthly

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$98.57Bearish
EMA 21$122.9Bearish
EMA 50$106.45Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 40.2 · MACD -13.389

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $43.13 · BB 138.66%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 48.1 · OBV -116.09%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$17.34 - $295

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+384.43% · 6.2 ATR above latest close

$338.13
Nearest resistance

+322.64% · 5.2 ATR above · 34-bar high

$295
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$69.8
Nearest support

-75.16% · 1.2 ATR below · 34-bar low

$17.34
Deeper support zone

-136.95% · 2.2 ATR below latest close

-$25.79
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$26.67 - $112.93

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $67.48, invalidation $253.61

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

27.2 / 20.4 / 26.6Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

-$45.85Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$163.3 / $151.5Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

4%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$43.13 (61.79%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 138.66%

12%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$200.59 / $44.07Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$26.67 / $112.93Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$295Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$17.34Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

40.2Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-13.389Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

5.0 / 7.1Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-95.0Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-125.6Bearish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 8Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

48.1Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-116.09%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.50xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $67.48, invalidation $253.61

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

27.2 / 20.4 / 26.6Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

-$45.85Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$163.3 / $151.5Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

4%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

40.2Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-13.389Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

5.0 / 7.1Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-95.0Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-125.6Bearish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 8Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$43.13 (61.79%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 138.66%

12%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$200.59 / $44.07Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$26.67 / $112.93Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

48.1Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-116.09%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.50xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$295Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$17.34Range

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