Cryptocurrency

Solana / US Dollar

SOLUSD · Coinbase · USD

1 monthBearish83%
Monthly Downside probability 83%Bearish

SOLUSD 1M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Monthly: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover 116.15 and stabilize above resistance 295.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above 295 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

Monthly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 47.6, MACD -3.954

Monthly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is 35.42 (33.89%)

Monthly

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8101.47Bullish
EMA 21116.15Bearish
EMA 50105.65Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 47.6 · MACD -3.954

Neutral zone

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR 35.42 · BB 132.71%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 39.5 · OBV -110.49%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
60.11 - 295

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+216.19% · 6.4 ATR above latest close

330.42
Nearest resistance

+182.3% · 5.4 ATR above · 34-bar high

295
Current price

Price shown is delayed

104.5
Nearest support

-42.48% · 1.3 ATR below · 34-bar low

60.11
Deeper support zone

-76.37% · 2.3 ATR below latest close

24.69
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

69.08 - 139.92

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation 60.11, invalidation 98.39

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

22.0 / 17.2 / 29.3Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

30.97Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

135.04 / 151.5Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

23%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

35.42 (33.89%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 132.71%

37%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

169.54 / 61.47Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

69.08 / 139.92Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

295Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

60.11Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

47.6Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-3.954Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

22.9 / 25.0Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-77.1Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-35.2Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 3Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

39.5Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-110.49%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.37xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation 60.11, invalidation 98.39

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

22.0 / 17.2 / 29.3Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

30.97Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

135.04 / 151.5Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

23%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

47.6Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-3.954Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

22.9 / 25.0Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-77.1Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-35.2Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 3Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

35.42 (33.89%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 132.71%

37%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

169.54 / 61.47Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

69.08 / 139.92Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

39.5Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-110.49%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.37xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

295Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

60.11Range

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